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50 is the Magic Number - By Tom Stryker
Over the years, I’ve come across a ton of scoring angles. Some are good, some aren’t. The one I’m about to break down for you is one of my best. It’s simplistic in approach. All I wanted to see was how well a reasonably priced home favorite did after a solid offensive performance on foreign soil. As you know, momentum is huge when it comes to handicapping college football and, off a solid road performance in which the offense played extremely well, my thought was that these cheap home teams would be profitable. My assumption was correct. Take a look at this technical gem.
Since 1980, PLAY ON any college football home favorite priced at -27’ or less provided they scored 50 or more points on the road last and they’re matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage less than .600. 29 Year ATS Record = 60-29-2 ATS for 67.4 percent This Week’s Play’s = FLORIDA ATLANTIC
As you can see, there’s not much to this system. But, it definitely packs plenty of reward. There are a couple of ways you can make this situation better. First, if our host enters with serious momentum off back-to-back straight up victories, this technical situation explodes to a fantastic 39-15-2 ATS for 72.2 percent. After opening the season with four consecutive losses, the Owls have bounced back nicely the last two weeks winning by scores of 44-40 at North Texas and 51-29 at Louisiana Lafayette.
Finally, with our 39-15-2 ATS in hand, this system tightens up to a spectacular 36-10-1 ATS for 78.2 percent provided we are at game 10 of the regular season or less. FAU will be fighting in just its seventh game of the season and they apply to this incredible money-making parameter. Good luck with the Owls on Saturday night!
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