The Golden Goose Egg

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Tom Stryker - 10/3/2008 12:00 PM

Let's face it.  Anytime a team can post a shutout in college football it's a noteworthy event.
 
Out of curiosity, I turned to my database to see how often a shutout occurred.  Amazingly, since 1980, there have been 1,260 goose eggs posted!  That's an average of around 45 a season!
 
Of course, you know the technical lover in me had to dig a little deeper to see if posting a shutout led to profits anywhere else.  Surprisingly, there wasn't much.  Overall, teams coming off a shutout victory owned a reliable 73-43-1 ATS record provided they were matched up against an opponent that entered off a straight up loss as a favorite.  You can store that one for later because no teams apply this weekend.
 
After a bundle of searches, I did find one shutout situation that worked like a charm.  Take a look.
 
Since 1980, PLAY ON any college football road team that posted a shutout road win in their last game.

28 Year ATS Record = 53-21-2 ATS for 71.6 percent!

This Week’s Play = NORTHERN ILLINOIS
 
The results of this system caught me by surprise.  My knee-jerk reaction would have been to fade this team on foreign soil coming off such an emotional performance.  That's exactly what you don't want to do!  We can actually improve this awesome system to 29-8 ATS for 78.3 percent provided our “play on” guest is priced as an underdog in this game.  NIU applies to this sweet tightener!
 
Good luck with the Huskies on Saturday!


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