TOM SCOTTS ANGLE OF THE WEEK
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| Tom Scott - 12/4/2007 12:30 PM |
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TOM SCOTT'S ANGLE OF THE WEEK Sometimes, no matter how bad the opponent is, a team should not be favored. There's a situation in the NFL this week that finds a substantial home favorite who has been unable to crack the 21-point mark in any of his last three games. If you can't score 21 in the NFL it's difficult to win the game let alone cover a spread as a favorite. For example: All NFL teams who failed to score 21 points in games since 1980 went 2003-4735-179 to the spread, less than 30% winners. Favorites who didn't come up with the black jack went 594-2063-75 ATS or 22.3% winners. Favorites of -4 or more were 274-1112-21 to the number and less than 20% of the tickets got cashed. With that idea in mind and a little tweak here and there, I present my Angle of the Week: PLAY AGAINST any NFL division home favorite of -4 or more who failed to score 21 or more points in any of his last three games if he is off a SU and ATS win and is going into revenge. 26 Year ATS = 13-1 for 92.8% This week's play = MIAMI over Buffalo Tom Scott presents his NFL Game of the Month this Sunday on the guaranteed picks page. This game features an unbelievable 55-5 angle and is backed by several positive team trends. Scott will also post two rock solid college basketball plays for Saturday afternoon and evening as well as spot plays during the week. Be sure to check the Tom Scott page daily for outstanding wagering opportunities. |
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