College Blowout System

Sometimes sports investors think too much. I can’t tell you the number of times I didn’t wager on a certain team because I “felt” the situation wasn’t right. Admit it or not, but karma has a lot to do in the mindset of a gambler. I’m guilty.

Thankfully, I have my college football database to keep things simple. Hey, why bother with technical reason? If the computer says a team is in a 65 percent or 85 percent winning situation, who am I to disagree! This week’s College System of the Week is an excellent example of the point I'm trying to make.

Put yourself in this situation for a moment. You’re on your way up to the window in Las Vegas with a winning ticket in hand. Your “play on” team just crushed its opponent - a wire-to-wire winner - and already you’re thinking in your head on why you shouldn’t invest on this same team in its next game. Why? Does it state somewhere in the book “Gambling for Dummies” that a team coming off a blowout win can’t repeat its most recent performance in its next game? No! I'm not sure that chapter even exists. And, if it does, it should be removed immediately because momentum-building wins are an excellent handicapping parameter in any sport!

At times, your “gambling mind” tries to out think every possible situation and scenario in pursuit of its next victory. Instead of going with the flow or riding a streak until it ends we sometimes beat ourselves up trying to find ways for games to fail. When you feel yourself going into that zone, try and remember the KISS philosophy – you know, "Keep It Simple Stupid". You’ll get the idea after you take a look at my College Football Blowout System. Take a look.

Since 1980, game two or later college football home dogs or home favorites of -26 or less are a mind-boggling 159-85 ATS for 65.1 percent provided they own a won/loss percentage of .500 or better, scored 55 points or more in its last game and enter off a victory of 21 points or more. What’s so hard about that? All that amazing system has done is produce a 65.1 percent winning situation over 25 years! It's really quite simple. You invest on a good team off a blowout win at a reasonable price playing with momentum. Sounds like a good mix to me!

There is one other area where this set improves dramatically. If our “play on” host is running without revenge, this system improves to a blistering 64-26 ATS for 71.1 percent. There are two blowout encore teams in this situation on Saturday: Bowling Green and Louisville. It should be noted that this tightener does improve to 50-18 ATS for 73.5 percent if our host is off an ATS victory as well. Both the Falcons and Cardinals apply.

Momentum-building wins can be a very good tool in college football handicapping. The system I just provided proves that point with an exclamation mark! Good luck with Bowling Green and Louisville on Saturday and be sure to check back next week for another winning system. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

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