Win One Lose Lots

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Tom Stryker - 12/30/2008 9:38 PM

There are plenty of technical situations that flat out work during bowl week. Some like to take dogs while others like to back teams with a reason to play. This system I’m about to show you is as simple as it gets yet works like a charm. I call it “Win Won – Lose Lots”. Check it out:

Since 1980, neutral bowl underdogs or favorites of -9.5 or less are a soft 12-34-2 ATS provided both teams own a won/loss percentage greater than .700, our “play against” team enters off a SU and ATS win and our “play on” side arrives off a SU and ATS loss. Think about this basic set for a moment. Two good teams with one off a win and cover in its last regular season game while the other enters off a SU and ATS loss. Surely, the good team coming off the blemish will be more motivated to erase the memory of a bitter season-ending loss.

Wait, this angle gets better. If our “play against” team is NOT playing with revenge and is battling a foe that enters off a loss of 17 points or less (i.e. not a blowout loss), this amazing system dips to a mind-boggling 5-31 ATS! That’s an 86.1 percent winning situation men!

Guess what? There is one team stuck in this awful set on Friday, January 2 nd – the Utah Utes. Good luck with Alabama (-) and be sure to check back next week for an NFL Playoff angle that will blow you away! Thanks, TS!


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