Last Home Game Honey
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| Tom Stryker - 11/7/2008 10:56 AM |
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It's called "Senior Day" – the final home game of the regular season. If you truly are a senior, it's the last time you'll button up your chinstrap, run out of the tunnel and hear the roar of the home crowd. Emotions run very high. No one wants to leave the field of play on this day a loser. The blood, sweat and tears…well, they're almost over. You get one more chance to experience the thrill of victory and you give it everything you've got. Since emotions play a big part in college football handicapping, "Last Home Game" sets can be very profitable. I've been monitoring a handful of great "LHG" systems and the one I'm going to share with you today is pretty powerful. This one is called "Last Home Game Honey" and its results have been phenomenal. Take a look. On the blind, teams playing in their last home game of the season hold a 359-312 ATS record for 53.5 percent provided they enter off a straight up road win. That's a huge sample and certainly there is no way you would want to play every school in that set. There's simply not enough profit there. But, by adding one simple parameter, we can convert this technical situation into one that "shows us the money.” Since 1980, PLAY ON any college football team running in their last home game of the season provided they enter off a straight up road win and this is NOT their last regular season game. 28 Year ATS Record = 197-133 ATS for 59.6 percent! This Week’s Play = BYU and MISSOURI Teams running in their last regular season home game tend to do much better if this is not their final battle. From our original 359-312 ATS set we were able to remove a 162-179 ATS losing record. That is definitely significant! Favorites in this role tend to perform better than underdogs too. With our 197-133 ATS, we can improve this situation to 150-93 ATS for 61.7 percent provided our host is laying points. This tightener eliminates a 47-40 ATS mark from our original set. Both BYU and Missouri apply. There is one more additional tightener that applies to both sides on Saturday that demands more attention. It seems those "play on" schools that enter this contest off exactly one road affair perform much better. Check this out! If our last home game honey played at home or at a neutral site two games back, this technical gem zips to a money-making 101-55 ATS for 64.7 percent! The fatigue of not having to be away from home for two weeks straight isn’t there and that factor improves this college system significantly. Both the Cougars and Tigers apply. Good luck BYU and Missouri on Saturday! |
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