TOM SCOTTS ANGLE OF THE WEEK
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| Tom Scott - 10/23/2007 5:05 PM |
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TOM SCOTT'S ANGLE OF THE WEEK Except for the rare occurrences of teams like New England this season, the NFL is a series of ups and downs throughout the season. It is always more prudent to take the contrary side in an NFL game as we will show with this study. Looking at all NFL teams who failed to score more than ten points in either of their last two games, we found that the home underdogs are the ones who respond the best, especially against less than mighty opponents who have displayed current defensive weaknesses. We define "less than mighty" as teams with a WL% less than .666 and "current defensive weakness" as teams who allowed more than 14 points in their last game. When you put all of those things together, you get this angle: PLAY ON any NFL home dog or pick who scored ten or less points in each of its last two games if his opponent has a WL% of less than .666 and allowed more than 14 points in his last game. 26 Year ATS = 39-19 for 67.2% winners. This week's play = SAINT LOUIS plus the points over Cleveland Tom Scott is starting to pick up the pace again. One of the nation's most feared late season handiappers, Scott will blister the linemaker with five solid picks this weekend. Be sure to check the guaranteed picks page nightly for Tom Scott's featured plays. |
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