Handicapper Articles
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 Tinder Box: College Home-Field Advantage?Tom Scott - 10/22/2003 12:00 AM THE TINDER BOX by Tom Scott Sometimes it’s just nice to be home. In college football, the home-field advantage is a significant factor in handicapping games. I have studied thousands of theories that direct you to the home team, most of them not worth the paper used to print them. Some, however, are worthy of a second look. This study reveals one of the best. I looked at... |
| The Importance of Defense and Special Teams Big Al McMordie - 10/21/2003 12:00 AM The Importance of Defense and Special Teams By Al McMordie Casual sports fans like to talk about offense. High scoring games and gun-slinging quarterbacks get a lot of attention, but remember that when it comes to winning games -- both straight up and against the number -- you win with defense and special teams. I know this may sound like simplifying things a bit too much,... |
| Injuries Can be Overrated Big Al McMordie - 10/18/2003 12:00 AM Injuries Can be Overrated By Al McMordie Don't get crazy over injury reports. Yes, it's important for sports bettors to pay attention to injury logs. If a team's defensive line is depleted by injuries, for example, that can help you find a play on the other team, or perhaps even an 'over' the total spot. And I'm not going to dispute that Quarterbacks are the single most importa... |
| The Tinder Box by Tom Scott Tom Scott - 10/18/2003 12:00 AM THE TINDER BOX by Tom Scott Last week, I talked about embarrassing losses and how teams respond the week after suffering one. I’ll continue in that vein this week and look at teams who lost SU as favorites the week before and are favored again. The idea is that favorites are supposed to win the games, that’s what the Linemaker is telling you and that’s what the... |
| System of The Week Tom Scott - 10/10/2003 12:00 AM THE TINDER BOX by Tom Scott Nothing is more embarrassing to a team than to be favored by double digits and lose the whole game. That’s happened 645 times in college football since 1980. Since there are five teams who suffered that fate on the schedule this Saturday, the subject of this week’s study asks, “How does a humiliated team respond in its next game?”... |
| Motivation and Revenge! Big Al McMordie - 10/8/2003 12:00 AM Motivation and Revenge! By Al McMordie There are many different takes and angles on a sporting event, which is what makes professional handicapping so challenging. But if one looks carefully, keeps his perspective, and does his homework, it can be VERY profitable. One area that I like to focus on is the schedule. Some teams approach certain games on the schedule differently... |
| Halftime Wagering Tips By Big Al Big Al McMordie - 10/4/2003 12:00 AM Halftime Wagering Tips By Big Al With the increase in the offshore sports betting industry over the last few years, sports books have been forced to become more competitive to attract clients. This is capitalism in action, and in this instance, the bettors benefit. More choices are becoming increasingly available. Some books will offer a whole range of proposition bets on Sunday a... |
| College Football News and Notes Week 6 Phil Steele - 9/30/2003 12:00 AM NEWS AND NOTES WEEK 6 BY PHIL STEELE NORTHCOAST SPORTS Ohio St got their first shutout in 62 games doing just enough to get the win, as usual, 20-0 over Northwestern but for the 4th straight week did not get the cover... Kansas dominated Missouri holding them to 13 FD's and 196 total yds in front of 50,071 which was the largest crowd for KU in a non-Nebraska game... |
| CHOOSING A SERVICE OR HANDICAPPER AND NOT GETTING SCREWED Rick George - 9/29/2003 12:00 AM First of all this is not an article to try and get people to buy my service. It is to help you or steer you in the right direction and most importantly keep you away from people you should not waste your time or money with. I do ok because people that follow me know I am honest and know what I am doing and am very good on my big games. As you well know it is now football sea... |
| Extra Points College Trend Report! Rocco Vincintore - 9/25/2003 12:00 AM COLLEGE EXTRA POINTS By Rocco Vincintore OREGON (4 - 1) at UTAH (3 - 1) The eyes of the college football world will again turn to Utah as the Utes host Pac 10 foe Oregon. Just three weeks ago Utah hosted and beat another Pac 10 team, Cal. That win improved the Utes record vs the Pac 10 to 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS. They come in off a huge win at Colorado St and are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS overa... |
| News and Notes Week 5 Phil Steele - 9/25/2003 12:00 AM NEWS AND NOTES - WEEK 5 2003 Texas A&M/Virg Tech played in 20-40 mph winds and heavy rain due to Hurricane Isabel. A&M actually had a 216-109 yd edge on VT at the half and only trailed 21-19 mid-4Q. VT got the cover when they drove 80 yds for a TD with 8:20 left and after A&M fmbl'd the KO VT got ahead of the spread with a 33 yd, 6 play drive for a TD with 5:33 l... |
| Run The Football by Bryan Leonard Bryan Leonard - 9/25/2003 12:00 AM Run the Football! by Bryan Leonard “Run the football more times, and you win.” I hear this all the time, on television and on radio. When examining key games, analysts often conclude one team failed to run the football enough times, and the opponent won the game simply because they had more rushing attempts. We heard this a lot after Super Bowl 36. In that game, the t... |
| The Smokin' Home Dog by Tom Scott Tom Scott - 9/17/2003 12:00 AM THE SMOKIN' HOME DOG by Tom Scott OK, so last week’s angle on the Eagles didn’t work. Still, at 16-2, it’s better than 90% of the systems you read about. I felt bad about giving you a double-sided loser but, undaunted, I’m back into the thick of my database and presenting you another awesome angle. This time we’re going to look at college teams who have more than a couple of t... |
| NEWS AND NOTES - WEEK 4 2003 Phil Steele - 9/16/2003 12:00 AM NEWS AND NOTES - WEEK 4 2003 By Phil Steele of Northcoast NEWS AND NOTES - Big plays in a 6:00 stretch killed Colorado vs Washington St. In the 1H WSU got 74 and 77 yd TD passes and also had a 40 yd int return for a TD and led 23-13. They ret'd the opening KO of the 3Q 99 yds for a TD and added a TD and a FG following CU TO's to blow it open, 47-13, 6:00 into the 3Q and... |
| A FREE sample of Lorenzo's Pointspread Prognosis! Lorenzo's Last Word - 9/12/2003 12:00 AM INDIANAPOLIS (-3, -2) over Tennessee by 7 Playing against a team who just got playoff revenge has always been a good proposition. It sweetens when that team is now on the other side of the equation, like the Titans. A big 25-20 win, in front of a national audience, over the Raiders to avenge last year's AFC title game loss. The Titans just completed a pre-season sweep as well. Now the content Tit... |
| The Egg and I (NFL Football System) Tom Scott - 9/11/2003 12:00 AM THE EGG AND I by Tom Scott This article was provided by Tom Scott, editor of the Steam Sheet. To see a sample copy of this outstanding football newsletter, go to www.SteamSheet.com and click on "Sample Copy" I'm not sure if anyone has ever done more research on the effect of shutouts than I have. In both college and pro football, I have studied every aspect of a sh... |
| College Football Angle of the Week Tom Scott - 9/4/2003 12:00 AM $$COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANGLE OF THE WEEK$$ EVEN A BLIND HOG FINDS AN ACORN ONCE IN A WHILE For the purposes of this article the following terms are translated thusly: SU = Straight Up • ATS = Against the spread • PLON = Play ON • PLAG = Play AGAINST DD = Double Digit • BB = B... |
| Preseason Numbers and Week 1 Bryan Leonard - 9/4/2003 12:00 AM Preseason Numbers and Week 1 By Bryan Leonard Preseason football is history, and now the real games begin. Can anything of value be cultivated from what took place in preseason? The truth is, not much. Other than injuries and how players respond to new coaching staffs, there’s little to get excited about, other than the fact that it’s over. There were several NFL tea... |
| What the Pointspread Represents Dr Bob Sports - 8/28/2003 12:00 AM What the Pointspread RepresentsBy Br. Bob Before engaging in methods to help you beat the pointspread, it is important that you understand the pointspread and what it represents. Most people view the pointspread (or line) as the predicted margin of victory of one team over another. In fact, that is not the case. The job of an oddsmaker is to get half of the wagered money on one side and the other... |
| What it takes to Win Dr Bob Sports - 8/28/2003 12:00 AM What it takes to winBy Dr. BobThe large majority of people that wager on sporting events believe that they are going to win, but the fact is that the large majority of sports betters lose in the long run. In fact, the average sports bettor wins at a rate of 48%, which is worse than if they had just flipped a coin. So what does it take to beat the break even mark of 52.4% (you need to win 11 bets f... |
| Money Management Dr Bob Sports - 8/28/2003 12:00 AM Money ManagementBy Dr. Bob This money management section is for those of you that have some sort of logical method for picking the games that they are wagering on and are looking for a strategy to bet those games that will result in a profitable season. First off, if you pick more losers than winners, no money management system is going to lead you to making a profit in the long run. Later in thi... |
| Determining The National Champ Phil Steele - 8/27/2003 12:00 AM Determining The National Champ, by Phil Steele One of the hottest topics in college football over the past few years is how to determine the National Champion. There have been many times at the end of the year that one team emerges from the polls as the No. 1 team and National Champion, but the public may feel that another team or teams were deserving of the title and were not given the chance to... |
| Phil Steeles 2003 Pre Season Top 40 Phil Steele - 8/27/2003 12:00 AM Here is my 2003 Preseason Top 40. Two quick notes: First of all, my preseason rankings are NOT my power ratings. As an example - LSU is not rated in the Top 20 in any of my 7 sets of power ratings, but due to a manageable schedule I have them #11 overall and two of my sets of ratings show them going 12-0. My talent ratings only rate Hawaii #52 overall, but they made the list due to their softer sc... |
| Heisman Trophy Phil Steele - 8/27/2003 12:00 AM Heisman Trophy, by Phil Steele The best college football player of the season receives the Heisman Trophy, the most talked about trophy in college football. Every week, sports shows list which prospective candidates are rising & falling on the list to win the trophy. Predicting who will win the Heisman is a tough task, even with a couple of weeks left in the regular season and there is always... |
| Turnovers = Turnarounds Phil Steele - 8/27/2003 12:00 AM Turnovers = Turnarounds, by Phil Steele Turnovers can have a big impact on games and on a team's season. They can also lead to many misleading final scores. ALL of the previous week's misleading final scores are listed on the front page of my Power Sweep Newsletter. By reading about them each week you can uncover some solid line value for the upcoming week's games. Let's take a look at several ex... |
| College Football Today 9/8 Rocco Vincintore - 8/27/2003 12:00 AM College Football Today ^STARS= _Lee Evans and Anthony Davis, Wisconsin. Evans had 214 yards receiving and Davis had 247 yards rushing as No. 18 Wisconsin beat Akron 48-31. _Josh Harris, Bowling Green, passed for 357 yards and three touchdowns as Bowling Green upset No. 16 Purdue 27-26. _Brock Berlin, Miami, threw for 340 yards and two TDs as the No. 3 Hurricanes rallied from... |
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