At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Auburn.  This game will be played in Atlanta, at Mercedez-Benz Stadium.  These two teams also met in the season opener last year, at Waco.  Baylor was a 1-point home dog to the Tigers, and lost, 38-24, so they'll be seeking revenge here.  We'll grab the points, as NCAA teams have cashed 60% since 1980 in season-opening, non-conference games if they were playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) blowout home loss the previous year.  And Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 67% as revenge-minded underdogs vs. SEC Conference foes.  Take the Bears + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over James Madison.  Last season, the Dukes went into Lynchburg, and blew out the Flames, 31-13, as a 7.5-point favorite.  And the Dukes went on to have a great season, winning the Sun Belt and going 12-2, including their first-ever appearance in the College Football Playoffs (where they lost to Oregon).  After reaching the Playoffs last season, it would be natural for the program to stumble out of the gates this season.  And in Game 1, teams that made the Playoffs and/or the BCS Championship game have gone 0-6 SU/ATS (including 5 upset losses as a favorite) when not favored by 7+ points, and playing a team which wasn't involved in the Playoffs or the BCS Championship the previous season.  Even worse:  Sun Belt teams have gone 68-101-3 ATS as a favorite (or PK) in non-conference games if they didn't have a losing record.  Take Liberty.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal got a win and (improbable) cover last week vs. Hawaii when they scored the game's last 14 points in a 37-27 win, including a 31-yard fumble return for a TD with 1:12 to go.  Today, they're hosting Miami-Fla, which will be playing its first game of the season.  We played on the Hurricanes last year vs. Stanford, and got the $$$ when they won 42-7, as a 28.5-point home favorite.  We'll take Miami-Fla again here, in Palo Alto, as Stanford is a wallet-busting 25-47-3 ATS its last 75, including 1-8 ATS as a dog of 15+ points off a SU win.  And the Cardinal also fall into a negative 13-33 ATS system following their win over Hawaii.  Meanwhile, Miami-Fla is 21-2 SU and 19-4 ATS in its first road game of the season when laying more than 5 points (and 10-1 ATS when laying more than 14).  Take the Hurricanes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Fresno State.  Last week, the Trojans broke out to a 28-0 halftime lead over Fresno, and then took their feet off the brakes and held on for a 42-26 victory.  They're at home again for this match-up vs. the Bulldogs, who will be making their debut in the Pac-12 Conference.  We'll lay the points with USC, as it's 15-5 ATS in non-conference games at home off a point spread defeat.  And the Trojans also fall into 50-17 and 61-38 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 runs over the St. Louis Cardinals.  The Dodgers lost for the first time this season in extra innings, after winning their first five extra inning games this season.  It was one of the more frustrating defeats for Los Angeles this season.  Yoshinobu Yamamoto had a no-hitter thru 5 innings, and the Dodgers led 3-0.  But St. Louis kept clawing back, while the Dodgers couldn't get a big hit with runners in scoring position.  For the game, L.A. was 1-for-18 with runners in scoring position, and left 13 men on base.  In contrast, St. Louis was 4-for-8 with runners in scoring position, and only left 3 men on base.  The Dodgers have fallen to 3rd place in the National League standings, and will hand the ball to Tarik Skubal tonight to try to right the ship.  Skubal has been solid his last two outings (both Dodger wins), as he allowed just 9 hits and 4 runs across 13 innings with 18 strikeouts and just 1 walk.  The Dodgers are 12-4 since 2018 when trying to avoid a home sweep.  We'll lay the 1.5 runs tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over Georgia Tech.  These two teams met last season in Boulder, and the Yellow Jackets won on the road, 27-20, as a 3-point favorite.  I like Colorado to avenge that defeat tonight, as NCAA teams have cashed 56% since 1989 in season-opening, non-conference games if they were playing with revenge from a home loss the previous year.  Even better:  the Buffaloes are a super 94-67-4 ATS when playing with revenge, including 9-0-1 ATS their last 10, while Georgia Tech is an atrocious 9-28-1 ATS at home when priced from -13.5 to +6.5.  Grab the points with Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Cincinnati Reds.  With 23 games to go, the Padres find themselves deadlocked with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the last Wild Card berth.  Today, San Diego will hand the ball to newly-acquired Casey Mize, who came over a month ago in a trade with the Detroit Tigers.  This will be Mize's 6th start since the trade, and the Padres have won three of his five outings.  He'll match up against Brandon Williamson, who has been on the injured list with left shoulder fatigue since making his last start in April.  Williamson's numbers in limited action weren't great (6.11 ERA in 28 innings, with a 19:20 K:BB ratio).  Casey Mize has been stronger in the daytime, as his teams have gone 26-18 (+11.2 net games) in afternoon action, compared to 30-35 (+0.9 net games) at night.  Take the Padres.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago White Sox over the Houston Astros.  The White Sox lost 6-3 last night, but continue to hold a comfortable lead in the AL Central as they look to win their first division title in five years.  Righthander Sean Burke will be on the mound for Chicago tonight as he goes in his 24th start of the season (he also has four relief appearances).  The 26-year-old is having a breakout campaign with seven victories and a 3.32 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 161 strikeouts in 149 innings.  Burke has led the Pale Hose to a victory in 9 of his last 12 starts.  And he's done his best work on the road, where he is 5-2, with a 3.05 ERA.  Take the White Sox.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over British Columbia.  The Redblacks are 0-10 on the season, while the Lions are 5-5 after blowing out Saskatchewan, 30-16, as a 3-point home favorite.  I like Ottawa as a big home underdog tonight, as sub-.187 teams have gone 12-1-1 ATS (at Game 5 forward) vs. foes that covered the spread by 10+ points in their previous game.  Additionally, the Lions are 1-9 ATS their last 10 when favored on the road by more than a touchdown.  Grab the points with Ottawa.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.