Date | W/L |
6/19/2025 - NBA | WINNER |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, in Game 6 of the NBA Finals, our selection is on the Pacers and Thunder to go UNDER the total. The Pacers find themselves with their backs against the wall tonight. They lost Game 5 to fall behind 3-games-to-2, and now face elimination. It's also the very first time in Indiana's four Playoff series that it has even trailed by a single game. Then, to add to the pressure tonight, its best player, Tyrese Haliburton, is dealing with a calf strain. Haliburton will play tonight but the conditions are far from ideal. Teams (like Indiana) off a loss in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, and facing elimination in Game 6 have gone UNDER the total 67% since 1990. The Pacers are also 10-6 UNDER when facing elimination, while OKC is 5-3 UNDER when attempting to close out a series. We'll take Game 6 UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
6/19/2025 - MLB | WINNER |
At 1:05 pm,
our selection is on the New York Yankees minus 1.5 runs over the Los Angeles Angels.
In one of the most unlikely scenarios in MLB this entire season, the
Angels go for the four-game sweep in the Bronx over the defending AL
Champions. After the Halos shut out the Yanks in the first two games,
they won their 3rd straight over New York on Wednesday night by beating them, 3-2. In the series finale this afternoon,
the Angels will hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, while the Yankees will turn to one of their two southpaw aces as Carlos Rodon
takes the mound for the 16th time this season. Anderson has struggled outside of Anaheim this season. In 7 starts, he has a 6.31 ERA. He's also 0-3 in six daytime starts, with a 5.64 ERA. And his ERA over his last five outings is 7.30. Meanwhile, Rodon -- along with
teammate Max Fried -- is having an All Star-worthy first half with an
8-5 record, 3.01 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in just under 90 innings. Rodon's
overall numbers vs. the Angels may not stand out much (a 4-4 record with
a 4.40 ERA) but most of the eight starts were when he was with other
teams. In his last two outings against them as a Yankee, Rodon is 2-0
with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings with 15 strikeouts and one walk. Rodon is
29-22 with a 3.67 ERA in 75 career daytime games (72 starts). Take New
York minus 1.5 runs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
6/18/2025 - WNBA | WINNER |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Phoenix. The Sun lost, 88-71, at Indiana last night, as a 17.5-point underdog, while Phoenix won at Las Vegas, 76-70, on Sunday. We'll take the Sun as a double-digit home dog, as unrested home dogs have gone 26-11-1 ATS vs. rested foes, including 15-3-1 ATS off an ATS win. Additionally, double-digit dogs off double-digit losses have gone 35-19-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. We'll grab the points with the Sun. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
6/17/2025 - NHL | LOSER |
At 8:00 pm,
our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. With
their 5-2 victory on Saturday night, the Florida Panthers are now
one win away from defending their NHL Championship. And tonight they
get to try to close it out at home in Game 6. But don't count the
Oilers out of this thing yet. Edmonton has shown it can come back in a
series, as it went 3-1 in last year's Stanley Cup Final when facing elimination (Game 4-7), and is 6-2 the last three seasons when facing elimination. And Edmonton is a dominant 16-4 the last three seasons when trailing in a Playoff series. Florida, meanwhile, is 14-11 (minus 1.3 net games) when leading in a Playoff series, and 7-8 when its opponent was facing elimination. And it's a poor 45-41 (minus 17.8 net games) as a home favorite of -200 (or less). The Oilers have not yet announced if it will be Stuart Skinner or Calvin Pickard in goal, but Skinner's puck-handling ability could be the deciding factor. Regardless, we'll take Edmonton as an underdog.
As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
6/16/2025 - MLB | LOSER |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Anaheim Angels. The Yankees return home to the Bronx this evening after ending a 6-game road trip on a 3-game losing streak. The Yankees lost to rival, Boston, by scores of 2-1, 4-3 and 2-0 over the weekend. We'll take New York to bounce back on this Monday, as it is 26-13 (+10.1 net games) off back to back losses, and 35-16 (+8.4 net games) when priced at home between -150 and -200. The Angels are a poor team being outscored by 0.88 runs per game this season. And the Yankees' Clarke Schmidt has been very profitable in his career vs. bad teams outscored by at least 0.5 runs per game (17-5, +8.0 net games, compared to 17-27 (minus 15.1 net games) otherwise). Take the Yankees. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
6/15/2025 - MLB | LOSER |
At 1:40 pm,
our selection is on the New York Mets over the Tampa Bay Rays. Griffin
Canning spent his first three seasons in the Majors in Anaheim with the
Angels, then missed all of 2022 due to injury and came back in 2023 and
2024. Those last two seasons in Los Angeles were not particularly good
and so the Angels granted him free agency last November. Canning then
signed with the Mets on a team-friendly one-year deal and it's one that
New York must be very happy with at this point. In his first season in
Queens, the 29-year-old RH is 6-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 13 starts. Start
number 14 will come this afternoon against the Rays as Tampa goes for
the three-game sweep. Canning is only 1-2 vs. the Rays but has a decent 4.01 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in five games (four starts) against them.
In four daytime starts this season, Canning has a 2.79 ERA (vs. 3.40 in
nine starts under the lights). And his teams have gone 36-20 (+15.6 net games) in his home starts in his career. Finally, Canning has been the ultimate "stopper" this season, as New York has gone 7-0 with Canning this season following a loss in their previous game. Take the Mets. As always, good
luck...Al McMordie.
|
6/14/2025 - NHL | LOSER |
At 8:00 pm,
our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. It's
hard to recall a bigger game in their history for the Oilers than Game 4
of this Stanley Cup Finals on Thursday night. If Edmonton lost, they would trail 3-1 -- a seemingly impossible situation. And yet it looked like
that's exactly what was going to happen at the end of the first period
as the Panthers took a 3-0 lead. And dating back to Florida's overtime winner in Game 2, the Panthers had outscored the Oilers 10 goals to 1. But the Oilers clawed their way back with 3 goals in the 2nd period, and finally ended it in dramatic fashion in OT with a goal from their
star, Leon Draisaitl. For the second straight game, Edmonton replaced
goalie Stuart Skinner with Calvin Pickard but this time the 33-year-old
from New Brunswick was outstanding, allowing just one goal with 19 seconds left in the 3rd period, while making
22 saves -- including a couple of critical ones in the overtime period.
There's no doubt the Oilers should go with Pickard from the
get-go this evening at home, but skipper Kris Knoblach has not announced a
starter as of this writing. Regardless, we're on the Oilers, as Edmonton is 66-29 (+13.3 net games) as a home favorite, while Florida has burned money as a road underdog (10-15, -2.5 net games). Take the Oilers. As
always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
6/14/2025 - MLB | LOSER |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Boston Red Sox. If last night's game is any indication, this series is going to be a good one, perhaps harkening back to Yankee-Red Sox clashes of old. Yankee skipper Aaron Boone didn't get to see the walk-off win by the Sox in the 10th inning from the field as he was ejected after a heated argument with the umps in a game that Boston really needed. Tonight, New York will send Carlos Rodon to the mound for his 15th start of the season. The veteran LHP is having an All-Star-caliber season, with an 8-4 record and 2.87 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in just under 85 innings. After battling injuries for years -- including 2023 in his first campaign with the Yanks -- Rodon is healthy for the second straight season and paying huge dividends. In five career starts here at Fenway Park, Rodon has a very nice 3.72 ERA with 41 strikeouts and 10 walks in 29 innings. And this season he has done his best work on the road with a 4-1 record and 2.61 ERA in six starts away from the Bronx (vs. 4-3 and 3.09 at home). These two pitchers (Rodon and Hunter Dobbins) matched up in the Bronx last week, and Boston won, 11-7. We'll take New York and Rodon to avenge that defeat. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
6/14/2025 - Canadian Football | LOSER |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Saskatchewan. The Ti-Cats have been installed as a home underdog on this Saturday after dropping their season-opening game at Calgary, 38-26. We'll happily grab the points, as Hamilton is a solid 76-56-5 ATS as an underdog, including 39-21-2 ATS off a point spread loss, while Saskatchewan is a wallet-busting 19-43-1 ATS as an unrested favorite vs. losing teams. Additionally, in Week 2, CFL underdogs off a double-digit loss have cashed 64% vs. foes off a SU win. Take Hamilton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
6/14/2025 - Canadian Football | WINNER |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toronto/Calgary game to go UNDER the total. The Over/Under in this game has been installed north of 50 points. And these two teams have gone UNDER the total in 12 of the last 16 meetings when the O/U line was 50+ points. Last week Calgary blew out Hamilton, 38-26, while Toronto lost to Montreal, 28-10. Teams off high-scoring wins, in which they tallied 38+ points have gone 57% UNDER over the last 20 years. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |