Date | W/L |
10/6/2024 - NFL | WINNER |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cowboys come into this game off 3 straight ATS losses to the Saints, Ravens, and Giants, though they did win straight-up, 20-15, in the Thursday Night Football game vs. New York. We'll take Dallas to get off the point spread schneid tonight, and grab the points with the underdog. Indeed, Dallas is a solid 61.2% since 1980 off back-to-back ATS losses, if they won their previous game, straight-up (and 73% off 3 ATS losses). Also, in NFL match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, underdogs of less than 6 points off 3 ATS losses have gone 68-46-3 ATS, including 31-9-1 ATS off a straight-up win. Take Dallas + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - WNBA | WINNER |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx. The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series. We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%. Even better: the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat. We'll lay the points with Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - MLB | WINNER |
At 4:08 pm,
our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the New York Mets.
The Mets' magical 2024 post-season continued on Saturday as they were
silent for seven innings in Philadelphia before exploding for five runs
in the top of the eighth and going on to a relatively easy 6-2 victory
in Game 1. So this becomes almost a must-win situation for the Phils. But instead of going with their regular #2 RH Aaron Nola, Philly will
instead switch it up and send out LHP Cristopher Sanchez. Sure, Nola
has a lot more experience than the 27-year-old southpaw. However, the
home-road splits make this a sensible move for Manager Rob Thomson. In
17 home starts this season, Sanchez is 7-3 with a sparkling 2.21 ERA and
0.97 WHIP, while in 14 road starts he is just 4-6 with a 5.02 ERA and
1.66 WHIP. And when you also consider that Citi Field will be a pretty
hostile place for whoever is on the mound for the Phils, then it makes
more sense to let the seasoned veteran Nola deal with that. Sanchez was 1-0
in three starts this season vs. NY and the Phils went 2-1 in those.
Take Philadelphia. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
10/6/2024 - NFL | WINNER |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco. The Cardinals were favored by 3.5 at home vs. Washington last Sunday, but were blown out 42-14. Meanwhile, San Francisco smashed New England, 30-13. We'll take Arizona to rebound , as road underdogs off double-digit upset losses have covered 63% since 1980 vs. division foes off double-digit wins. That bodes well for Arizona. As does the fact that San Francisco is 4-18 ATS at home when favored against an opponent not off a win. Take the Cardinals + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - WNBA | WINNER |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas. The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday. I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship. Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg. That bodes well for the road team. Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%. With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%. And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss. Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - NFL | LOSER |
Our 3 selections include Carolina, Miami and Cleveland.<br><br>At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago. The Panthers were 2-15 last season, and scored just 13 points in their first two games this season before benching QB Bryce Young. With Andy Dalton under center, the offense has looked much better, and the Panthers scored 36 at Las Vegas, and then put up 24 in defeat vs. Cincy. This week, the Panthers have been installed as a road underdog at Chicago. We'll grab the points, as Carolina is 49-30 ATS as a road dog vs. .500 (or worse) teams, including a perfect 8-0 ATS off a point spread loss, if their foe was off a SU win. Additionally, the Bears are a brutal 43-64-4 ATS off a SU/ATS win if their foe was off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Panthers.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins over the New England Patriots. Miami was embarrassed on Monday Night Football when they got blown out by Tennessee, 31-12, as a 2.5-point home favorite. We'll look for the Fish to bounce back on Sunday, as underdogs (or Pk'em teams) off upset losses by more than 17 points on MNF have gone 10-1 ATS. Even better: the Patriots are a poor 0-8 SU/ATS vs. losing teams. Take Miami.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Washington. The Browns were a 2.5-point road favorite at Las Vegas, but were upset by the Raiders, 20-16. They're now a road underdog at Washington, which comes into this game off back to back upset wins. We'll grab the points with Cleveland as underdogs off upset losses have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off back to back upset wins. Additionally, Washington is a woeful 31-72 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) vs. opponents that don't own a winning record. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - NFL | LOSER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game. The Ravens have been installed as a small road favorite at Cincinnati. And when the Ravens are a road favorite, they've gone UNDER the total 50-31-2. That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Sunday. As does the fact that division games that are competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 or less, have gone 211-156 (57.4%) UNDER when the O/U line was 45 (or more) points. Take the Ravens + Bengals Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - NFL | LOSER |
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Indianapolis. The Jaguars have started the 2024 season with four straight losses. We did play on the Jags last week, and were rewarded with an ATS win when the Jags fell by just four points, 24-20. Here, they're favored vs. Indianapolis, and we'll lay the points, as winless teams (at Game 5 forward) have gone 83-59 ATS vs. division rivals. Take Jacksonville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/6/2024 - NFL | LOSER |
At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning (in a game played in London, England), our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Minnesota. The Jets were upset, 10-9, by the Denver Broncos last week. But off that upset loss, we'll take New York to bounce back on Sunday. Indeed, Aaron Rodgers' teams have been terrific with him under center when coming off a SU/ATS loss, as they've gone 58-29 ATS, including 10-3 ATS as an underdog. And Rodgers' teams have also gone 56-35 ATS in his starts vs. opponents off a SU/ATS win. Take New York + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
10/5/2024 - College Football | LOSER |
At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Iowa State. The Bears enter this game off an upset home loss to Big 12 Conference rival, BYU, last Saturday. But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Bears to bounce back in Ames on Saturday night, as Baylor is a super 14-3-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss. The Bears also play this game with revenge from a 30-18 loss in Waco last October. And the revenger in this rivalry is 11-2-1 ATS, including 6-0-1 ATS as an underdog. Take Baylor. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |