At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Arizona game.  The Cardinals' started the season great, with an upset win at the LA Chargers, 26-14.  But their defense has been porous since, as they gave up 31 points vs. the Seahawks, 36 vs. the 49ers, and 36 vs. the Giants.  Meanwhile, the Lions' defense is giving up 31.75 ppg, and they have played all 4 of their games OVER the total.  But that's led to this O/U line being inflated, as it's moved 2 points higher off the Opener.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on this Sunday, as NFL teams have gone UNDER 60% the past 47 seasons if it was Game 5 forward, the O/U line was 44+, and they had played all their previous games OVER the total.  Additionally, teams (like Arizona) that gave up more than 70 points combined in their two previous games have gone 58.2% UNDER the total since 1980 when the O/U line was 47+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over the New England Patriots.  Before the season, not many people would have tabbed the Las Vegas Raiders to be the only 4-0 ATS team going into Week 5.  But that's exactly where we are, as the Raiders covered the spread in defeat last week against the Kansas City Chiefs.  And that ATS win followed point spread victories vs. the Dolphins, Chargers and Saints.  Meanwhile, the Patriots return home after upsetting rival, Buffalo, 29-26, last Sunday.  I'm well-aware that New England is currently riding a 9-0 SU/7-1-1 ATS run when installed as a home favorite.  But the last team to upset the Patriots in Foxborough was this Raiders squad, when Vegas won outright, 20-13, as a 2.5-point underdog, on September 7, 2025.  For technical support, consider that, over the last 47 years, road underdogs with an undefeated ATS record (at Game 5 forward) have covered the point spread at a 60% clip.  Take Las Vegas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over the Cleveland Browns.  We cashed our AFC North Game of the Year on the Cleveland Browns in their most recent game -- a 27-24 upset win over division rival, Pittsburgh.  And that was the Browns' 3rd straight upset win, as they also upended Tampa Bay and Carolina in their two previous games.  Unfortunately for Cleveland, teams off three straight ATS wins as an underdog are an awful 37-57 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Lay the points with the Jets.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/New England Patriots game.  Last week, we cashed our AFC East Division Total of the Year on the Patriots/Bills OVER, and we'll come right back with the OVER in New England's home game today vs. Las Vegas.  After starting the season slowly on offense, with 10 points vs. Seattle, 20 vs. Pittsburgh, and 6 vs. Jacksonville, the Patriots' offense broke out in a big way vs. Buffalo, with a season-high 29 points.  That 29 points was very much in line with what New England averaged on offense in the regular season last year (28.82 ppg).  Las Vegas' offense, meanwhile, has hummed all season long, with 27 points vs. Miami, 26 vs. the Chargers, 35 vs. the Saints and 27 vs. the Chiefs.  The Raiders' last two games have gone for 62 and 57 points.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Georgia.  When these two teams last met, in last season's SEC Conference title game, the Bulldogs blew out the Crimson Tide, 28-7.  We'll take Alabama to avenge that defeat, as NCAA teams are 43-26-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a post-season loss, when priced from -3.5 to +7 points.  Additionally, the Crimson Tide are 17-8 ATS when playing with revenge, including 7-0 ATS when not favored by 6+ points, while Georgia is 49-64 ATS when facing a revenge-minded foe.  Take 'Bama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include the Oregon State Beavers, Memphis Tigers, and the UNDER in the Alabama/Georgia Game.<br><br>At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over San Diego State.  Last week, the Aztecs hosted Texas St., and upset the Bobcats, 31-29.  They'll travel to Corvallis this evening and face a Beavers squad which is a perfect 4-0 ATS vs. FBS foes this season, including a 30-point blowout win at Colorado State last Saturday.  We'll ride the momentum and lay the points with Oregon St., as home favorites have gone 315-252 ATS in conference games off a 30-point (or greater) SU/ATS win on the road.  Meanwhile, San Diego St. is a wallet-busting 0-13 ATS when priced from +4.5 to +14.5 in conference games off an upset win.  Take Oregon St.<br><br>At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over UAB.  The Tigers destroyed Charlotte, 59-8, last week as an 18.5-point favorite.  Off that 51-point blowout (and 32.5-point cover), we'll lay the double-digits tonight with the home team.  Indeed, double-digit home favorites have gone 137-96 ATS since 1980 off wins by 50+ points the previous week.  Take Memphis.<br><br>At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Alabama/Georgia game.  These teams have met five times since 2022, and four of those five went UNDER the total.  We'll look for another low-scoring game in this series, as Georgia is 10-4-1 UNDER when installed as an underdog, including 4-0 UNDER its last four, while 'Bama is 5-1-1 UNDER when not favored by 4 points.  It's true that the Crimson Tide racked up 56 points last week in a 56-23 blowout of Miss State.  But Alabama is 40-26-2 UNDER the total in FBS games after going Over the total vs. an FBS foe the previous game.  Finally, the UNDER falls into an 83-48-1 Totals system of mine.  Take Alabama/Georgia Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include Duke, Oregon and Mississippi.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets have played 3 FBS games this season, and are 0-3 SU/ATS in those games.  They lost at home to Colorado as a 6.5-point favorite to open the season, and then lost at home to Tennessee, 45-24 the next week, and also lost to a woeful Stanford team, in Palo Alto, 34-27, as a 3-point favorite.  Georgia Tech is now 1-7 SU/ATS its last eight FBS contests.  Duke is going in a different direction.  It's 3-0 SU/ATS in its three FBS games this season, including a 35-7 blowout of Stanford (which beat Georgia Tech) in its last game.  The Blue Devils are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS their last seven FBS games, dating back to last season (and 34-17-1 ATS the last five seasons).  Lay the points.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over UCLA.  The Bruins are undefeated on the season, including a 54-3 blowout of Maryland in their previous game (UCLA also defeated California, San Diego State and Purdue).  This will be a huge step-up in class for #22 UCLA, as Oregon is ranked #13.  The Ducks struggled early with a narrow win vs. Boise State, and a loss to Oklahoma State, but righted the ship with an 84-0 win over FCS Portland State, and a 41-27 road win at USC last week. QB Dante Moore sustained a concussion early in that game, but #2 QB, Dylan Raiola (former Nebraska starter), stepped in and completed 19-of-25 passes for 289 yards and 2 TDs.  We'll fade Bob Chesney's men, as undefeated underdogs of 5+ points, off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, are a poor 3-31 SU and 9-21-4 ATS their last 44.  Lay the points.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The 9th-ranked Rebels will look to bounce back off a 52-28 blowout loss at Florida.  We'll lay the points, as road favorites are a solid 87-60-2 ATS off a road loss by more than 10 points.  Take Ole Miss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Florida/South Carolina game.  The Florida Gators come into this game off a 45-17 loss at Missouri.  And that was the Gators' 3rd straight high-scoring game, as their previous two games were a 52-28 win vs. Ole Miss and a 44-39 victory at Auburn.  In the aggregate, the Gators' last three games combined for 225 points.  That high-scoring has inflated this Total, and we'll look for the UNDER to cash in this afternoon game.  Indeed, the UNDER has gone 385-316-5 in games where an NCAA team's three previous games combined for more than 218 points, and the O/U line ranged from 57.5 to 77.5.  The UNDER also falls into 92-55 and 62-36 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Gators and Gamecocks to go UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.