| Date | W/L |
| 9/28/2022 - MLB | WINNER |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the St Louis Cardinals. The Brewers will try to close the gap (for the final playoffs spot) between themselves and the Phillies tonight. The Brewers sit 1.5 games behind the Phils, but enjoy an advantage in the schedule to end the season. Milwaukee will play its final eight games at home, while Philly will be on the road for its final nine games. Tonight, Milwaukee will hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff for his 26th start of the season (and 12th here, at home). Woodruff is 12-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. And he's a perfect 7-0 at home (Milwaukee has won 10 of his 11 home starts). In his career, Woodruff has made six home starts vs. St. Louis, including one this season (5 IP, 0 ER). Milwaukee's won four of those six starts. And it's 35-17 at home with Woodruff in his career. Meanwhile, his mound opponent, Jose Quintana, has made 10 starts at Milwaukee, including one this year (4 1/3 IP, 4 ER). In those 10 starts, covering 57 2/3 innings, Quintana's allowed 26 earned runs (4.05 ERA). The Cardinals are a poor 8-20 (minus 9.2 net games) this season when installed as an underdog of +125 to +175 (and 28-49 their last 47). Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 9/27/2022 - MLB | LOSER |
At 9:40 pm,
our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Texas Rangers. Once
-- not long ago -- one of the hottest teams in the AL, the Mariners have
been scuffling lately, going 3-7 over their last 10 games. Fortunately
for them, their main competition for the final Wild Card spot -- the
Orioles -- have gone 4-6 in their last 10, so Seattle still maintains a
four-game lead with just 10 games to go. So it would be especially
beneficial for the M's if their ace could win a couple of starts down
the stretch. LH Robbie Ray was the 2021 Cy Young Award winner with the
Blue Jays, but he's 0-2 in his last three starts -- with his ballclub
going 0-3 in those. The Mariners need Ray to step up here in the last
week-and-a-half. The good news is that Ray has been very successful
this season against the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 0.87 WHIP
in two starts vs. Texas covering just under 13 innings. He's also done
his best work at home, going 6-4 with a 2.73 ERA in 16 starts here
covering 99 innings (vs. 6-6 and 4.69 in 14 starts on the road). Take
the Mariners. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| 9/26/2022 - MLB | WINNER |
At 7:05 pm,
our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the New York Yankees.
Aaron Judge hit his 60th home run -- tying him with Babe Ruth and
putting him one behind Yankee Roger Maris -- on September 20th against
the Pirates. That game was the first of a six-game home stand so it was
expected that Judge would hit his historic 61st homer -- and possibly
even a bigger 62nd -- at Yankee Stadium in front of the home crowd and
the Maris family who have been in attendance. But Judge didn't hit
another one and now the Yanks travel north for a three-game series
against the Jays. Kevin Gausman will go in Game 1 for the home team
tonight. Gausman came to Toronto from San Francisco in the off-season
and he's been a big part of the Jays' success, going 12-10 with a 3.32
ERA in 29 starts covering 165 1/3 innings. And his 7.19 K:BB ratio is a
career-best, and leads the league this season. Gausman comes into this
start off of six shutout innings in a no-decision against the Phillies . And the Jays are 4-2 in his last six starts after allowing no runs in
his last. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 3-15 their last 18 on the road vs. winning teams. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| 9/25/2022 - MLB | LOSER |
At 1:10 pm,
our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Toronto Blue Jays.
There isn't much separating these two teams right now as they prepare to
meet for the final time in this regular season. The Rays get to wrap
things up by sending out their Ace LH, Shane McClanahan, who started for the AL in this
season's All Star Game. The 25-year-old is 12-6 with a
2.36 ERA in 26 starts covering just over 156 innings for the Rays. None
of his starts to date have been any more important than this one as the
Rays try to position themselves as the #1 Wild Card in the American
League. In two previous starts this season against Toronto, McClanahan
is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.67 WHIP, with 15 strikeouts and two walks in
12 innings. He'll look to keep that dominance going tonight in his
home ballpark. In 17 starts here this season covering 100 2/3 innings,
McClanahan is 9-4 with a 2.59 ERA. The Blue Jays are also 0-4 in their last
four games vs. southpaw starters (and 1-7 in their last eight road games vs.
lefthanders). Take Tampa. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| 9/25/2022 - NFL | WINNER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Kansas City. The Colts were shut out, 24-0, by the Jaguars last Sunday. However, off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take Indy as a big home underdog against the Chiefs. The Colts are a solid 48-23 ATS off a straight-up loss, while KC has covered just 38 of 93 games as a favorite vs. foes off back to back losses. And since 1980, NFL teams, like Indianapolis, that scored less than 6 points in an upset loss have gone 104-74-4 ATS in their subsequent game. Take the home underdog Colts. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 9/25/2022 - NFL | WINNER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the New York Jets. Last year, the Bengals reached the Super Bowl. This season, they've not yet found similar success. Indeed, Cincy is 0-2 SU/ATS after its first two games. But I love the Bengals to bounce back on Sunday. Since 1980, NFL teams that made the playoffs the previous season have cashed 60% in Game 3 after starting the season winless SU/ATS. That bodes well for the Bengals here. As does the fact that the Jets are a horrid 66-116-6 ATS at home vs. foes that don’t have a winning record, including 13-32 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss. Lay the points with the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
| 9/24/2022 - College Football | LOSER |
At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Wyoming. The Cougars were blown out last week, 41-20, at Oregon, while Wyoming upset Air Force, 17-14. We'll look for BYU to crush the Cowboys, as BYU has covered 70.5% over the last 42 years off a loss, when installed as a home favorite against non-conference foes, including 6-0-1 ATS their last seven when also off a double-digit loss! Lay the points with Brigham Young. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 9/24/2022 - College Football | LOSER |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes and Wisconsin
Badgers UNDER the total. Last week, we had our biggest play of the
season-to-date on Ohio State, and the Buckeyes rolled up 77 points
against the Toledo Rockets — the 5th most points scored in school
history. But off that high-scoring win, I’ll look for a much
lower-scoring affair here. For technical support, consider that NCAA
teams have gone Under 55% over the past 10 years after scoring 60 (or
more) points in their previous game. Take the Under. Good luck, as
always...Al McMordie. |
| 9/24/2022 - College Football | WINNER |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin. We played on the Buckeyes last week as our NCAA Favorite of the Month, and were rewarded with a 77-21 blowout over Toledo, as a 31-point favorite. This Saturday, the Buckeyes are hosting Wisconsin in their Big 10 Conference opener. Ohio State has won 10 straight conference openers, and is 5-0-1 ATS their last six (and 26-3 SU, 18-7-4 ATS their last 29). Even better: the Buckeyes have won 11 of the last 12 meetings, and are 8-3-1 ATS in those games (and 4-0-1 ATS here in Columbus). We'll lay the points on Saturday night, as undefeated teams have covered 65.1% of conference home games since 1980 off a home game where they covered the spread by 25+ points. Take the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 9/24/2022 - College Football | WINNER |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Charlotte. The Gamecocks were blown out here, at home in Columbia, last Saturday. The #1-ranked Georgia Bulldogs rolled into town, and roasted the Gamecocks, 48-7. But off that debacle, I love Shane Beamer's men to rebound on Saturday night. Indeed, over the last 42 years, NCAA home favorites of -16 (or more) points, off a home loss by 16+ points, have covered 82.3% vs. non-conference foes off a win. With Charlotte off a 42-41 win at Georgia State, we'll fade the 49ers in this game. Lay the points with South Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
