|3/28/2023 - NBA||WINNER|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden St Warriors minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans. Golden State comes into tonight's game off a rare home loss, as it fell, 99-96, on Sunday to the Minnesota Timberwolves. We'll lay the points with Steve Kerr's men tonight, as they're 81-50 ATS off a straight-up loss, when playing an unrested foe, including 59-33-3 ATS at home. And the Pelicans are 4-14 ATS on the road off a win, if playing an opponent off an upset loss. Finally, over the past 10 years, the Pelicans are a woeful 2-20 straight-up, and 7-14-1 ATS at Golden State, including 0-8-1 ATS when priced from +6.5 to +10.5 points. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/28/2023 - College Basketball||PUSH|
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over the North Texas Mean Green. The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the NIT Tourney since 1990, and especially at the 2nd round forward, where it's gone 54-33-3 ATS vs. non-conference foes. We'll grab the points with the Badgers, as they're 34-13 ATS as a non-conference underdog/PK since 2004, and 9-0 ATS the past two years away from home when playing a non-conference foe, and not favored by 4+ points. Meanwhile North Texas is 2-4 ATS vs. Big 10 opponents. And Conference USA teams are a horrible 7-24 ATS away from home vs. Big 10 foes when not getting 14+ points. Take Wisconsin + the points in this NIT semi-final game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/27/2023 - NBA||LOSER|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. These two teams met earlier this month in Minneapolis, and the Wolves upset the Kings, 138-134, as a 4.5-point home underdog. The NBA season has less than 10 games left, and both of these Western Conference foes are locked into tight battles for playoff positioning. The Kings sit two games behind 2nd-seeded Memphis with eight to play, while Minnesota is in 7th place, a half-game behind 6th-seeded Golden State, and a half-game ahead of 8th-seeded New Orleans. Last night, the T-Wolves upset the Warriors in San Francisco. Not many teams go into Golden State's building and win. And even less follow a victory up with another victory their next game. Indeed, teams off wins at Golden State are 32-49-5 ATS, including 1-8 ATS their last nine. Likewise, teams off a win over the Warriors (regardless of venue) are a poor 1-12 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Sacramento also falls into 150-70 and 488-347 ATS revenge systems of mine. Lay the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/26/2023 - NBA||LOSER|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Boston Celtics. The Spurs may be bereft of talent, but they still compete hard. Today, they're playing the 4th of a 4-game road trip against a Celtics team which only beat them by 5 points earlier this season (as a 15-point favorite). The Spurs are once again a massive underdog vs. Boston, which enters off back to back SU/ATS wins over Sacramento and Indiana. We'll grab the points, as San Antonio is 90-58-2 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes that are off an ATS Win or Tie in their previous game. And Boston is 9-20-2 ATS as a favorite following back-to-back covers as a favorite. Take San Antone. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/26/2023 - NBA||WINNER|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets blew out the Miami Heat last night, while the Magic were off for the 2nd straight night after upsetting New York here, on Thursday, 111-106. We'll go against Brooklyn, as it's 14-25 ATS when playing without rest off a SU win. Meanwhile, the Magic have quietly covered five straight games to move their season ATS record to 41-30-3 ATS. And home favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered 59% since 1990 in the final 10 games of the regular season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/26/2023 - XFL||WINNER|
At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the San Antonio/Arlington game. In a scheduling quirk, this is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these two XFL South Division rivals. Last Sunday, these two teams met in the Alamo City, and Arlington won, 12-10, as a 1-point road favorite. The game also went under the posted total of 35. This afternoon's game will be played in Arlington, and the Over/Under line is significantly lower than it was a week ago. And it's also the lowest posted total yet this season for an XFL game. Certainly, I understand WHY the oddsmakers have dropped the Over/Under line. But, by my math, it's too low. We'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on Sunday. One reason I like the Over is that it will be the 2nd game for the Brahmas under new offensive coordinator, Jimmie Johnson, who took over last week for Jaime Elizondo. Improvement following a coaching change can take a game or two to kick in, and I expect San Antonio's offense to take a step forward this Sunday. And with a much lower number this week, the value squarely rests on the OVER. Take the Brahmas and Renegades OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/26/2023 - College Basketball||WINNER|
At 2:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Creighton/San Diego State game. Dating back to head coach Brian Dutcher's first season, San Diego State has gone 17-4 under its last 21 post-season games. Likewise, Greg McDermott's Bluejays have gone 20-9 under their last 29 post-season games. We'll look for this Elite 8 game to go UNDER the total, as the Aztecs have now played 13 of their last 14 games under the total, including 11-0 under since February 15. Additionally, the quarterfinal rounds of the NCAA/NIT Tournaments have gone under 33-19 their last 52. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/26/2023 - NBA||LOSER|
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Mavs lost a game they really couldn't afford to lose on Friday when Charlotte went into American Airlines Center and stunned the Mavs, 117-109, as a 15.5-point underdog. That was the biggest upset in the NBA this season. Dallas is now in the precarious position of being 11th in the Western Conference standings, so it has to have a strong record over its last 8 games if it is to supplant any of the T-Wolves, Lakers, Pelicans or Thunder for a Play-in berth. We'll lay the points with the Mavs in this revenge spot, as NBA teams have covered 59% on the road if they were playing back to back games against the same opponent, and failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in the previous game. Moreover, the Hornets are 8-15-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, while Dallas is a super 58-29-2 ATS on the road when in the regular season when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/25/2023 - College Basketball||LOSER|
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs + the points over Connecticut. The Huskies come into this game off three straight blowout wins over Iona (87-63), St Mary's (70-55) and Arkansas (88-65). But off those three double-digit wins, we'll fade the Huskies in this Elite 8 Round. Indeed, favorites of 5 points or less, off three straight wins by 7+ points, have covered just 6 of 28 Elite 8 Round games since 1995. Additionally, the Huskies are a soft 15-23 ATS as a single-digit favorite off 3 SU/ATS wins. And Gonzaga is 75-47-7 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .750. Take the Bulldogs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|3/25/2023 - NBA||LOSER|
Our 3 selections include the Miami Heat, Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers.<br><br>At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets (39-34) and Heat (40-34) are in a tight battle for playoff seeding. But the Nets are on a 5-game losing streak, and that doesn't bode well for them tonight. Indeed, in the final 10 games of a season, in match-ups between winning teams with win percentages below .575, teams off back-to-back losses have covered just 16% over the past 25 seasons. Even better: the Heat are 9-0 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite of -1.5 (or more) points vs. winning foes. Take Miami minus the points.<br><br>At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. This is a great match-up between the two #1-seeded teams in their respective conferences. Denver's been installed as a home favorite. And we'll lay the points, as Milwaukee's 0-18 ATS since May 19, 2019 when getting more than 1 point, if it's owned a win percentage of .650 (or better). And the Bucks are also 100-156-7 ATS off 3+ wins when playing a rested foe. Take Denver.<br><br>At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over New Orleans. The Pelicans blew out the Clippers, 112-91, in the last meeting. We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as New Orleans is 0-12 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. a revenge-minded foe which New Orleans defeated earlier in the season. Take the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.