At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Texas State.  Last week, Arizona State was upset, 24-20, by Mississippi State.  Still, the Sun Devils have been terrific against the spread, dating back to September 23, 2023, which was Kenny Dillingham's first season as head coach.  They've gone 17-6-1 (73.9%) ATS, including a virtually perfect 9-1 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  I like ASU to bounce back Saturday night vs. Texas State.  The Bobcats did upset Texas-San Antonio, 43-36, last week.  But they're a brutal 9-27 SU and 12-22-1 ATS (with one non-lined game) off a straight-up win.  And Big 12 (or Big 8) teams off upset losses have cashed 64.2% as favorites since 1980 vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU.  Last week, the Gators lost outright, 18-16, as an 18-point home favorite to South Florida.  Still, Florida was 9-1 ATS its previous 10 games vs. FBS foes, so I wouldn't overreact to that upset loss.  Florida is also 103-79-2 ATS on the road, including 22-14-1 ATS off a SU loss.  And .500 (or better) SEC Conference teams have gone 97-54 ATS away from home off upset losses, when matched against foes with .500 (or better) point spread records.  Finally, LSU has covered just 30% of home games vs. SEC Conference foes off upset losses, if LSU was off a SU win.  So, we'll happily grab the points with the Gators in this SEC showdown.  Take Florida. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Arkansas/Mississippi game.  Both the Razorbacks and the Rebels enter tonight's conference game with 2-0 records.  Arkansas is giving up just 10.5 ppg, and outscoring its foes by 43.5 ppg, while Ole Miss is allowing just 15 ppg, and is outscoring its opposition by 31.5 ppg.  I like the UNDER tonight, as Ole Miss has gone 15-0 UNDER the total when installed as a favorite in FBS games, when the O/U line was 61+, while Arkansas has gone 6-1 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog in SEC games.  Additionally, NCAA FBS games have gone 111-67 UNDER the total if both teams own a defense which gives up 16 (or less) points, and the O/U line was greater than 48 points.  And the Under also falls into an 87-34 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Montreal Alouettes + the points over Saskatchewan.  The Alouettes are mired in a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  The good news for Montreal -- at least for its bettors -- is that teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks have done well in the CFL, and especially when matched up against winning opposition, as they've cashed 59%.  More good news:  the Roughriders are a rough 9-36 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes off back-to-back losses.  With Montreal playing with revenge from a 34-6 defeat last month, we'll grab the points with the Alouettes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include Arkansas, Texas A&M and Vanderbilt.<br><br>At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Mississippi.  Last year, the Rebels rolled into Fayetteville and annihilated Arkansas, 63-31.  With payback on its mind, we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded underdog on Saturday evening.  Indeed, Arkansas is 26-13-2 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference rival, if the Razorbacks owned a winning record.  Grab the points.<br><br>At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Notre Dame.  Last season, the Fighting Irish went into College Station and trounced Texas A&M, 23-13.  Unfortunately for Notre Dame, it's a nasty 14-33-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Irish won the previous meeting away from home.  Take the Aggies + the points.<br><br>At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks won, 28-7, at Vandy last season, as a 6-point road favorite.  And that was the 16th straight loss by the Commodores to the Gamecocks.  We'll take Vandy + the points, as it has gone 20-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a game it failed to cover by more than 7 points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies are off to an 0-2 start.  And they're 1-6 SU/ATS their last seven, dating back to last season.  This Saturday evening, they'll welcome cross-state rival, Old Dominion, to Blacksburg.  And the Monarchs will be seeking revenge from a 37-17 thrashing last season.  We'll grab the points with ODU, as Va Tech is a woeful 11-27 ATS when favored by less than 15 points vs. revenge-minded foes.  The Monarchs also fall into a 205-112 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls have opened this season with two straight upset wins:  34-7 at home vs. Boise State in Week 1, as a 4-point dog, and 18-16, as an 18-point underdog at Florida last Saturday.  The Bulls are back on the road this week, and will take on the also-undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes.  We'll fade the Bulls, as NCAA teams have covered just 30% since 1980 away from home off back-to-back upset wins to start the season (and just 17% if off a win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas Tech/Oregon State game.  The Red Raiders come into this afternoon's game off back-to-back high-scoring wins.  They pounded Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 67-7, and then crushed Kent State, 62-14.  They'll now host Oregon State, which lost two home games to California and Fresno State to start the season.  I like the UNDER, as non-conference games have gone UNDER 60.6% if a team averaged 52+ points on offense, and the O/U line was greater than 59.  The UNDER also falls into 129-63 and 144-75 totals systems of mine.  Take the Beavers and Red Raiders UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include Purdue, West Virginia and Texas Tech.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over USC.  The Boilers are 2-0 following wins over Ball State (31-0) and Southern Illinois (31-17).  We'll grab the double-digits with the home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of 8 (or more) points have cashed 59% off back to back wins by more than 7 points.  Take Purdue.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a big rivalry game, and the Mountaineers will be seeking revenge from a 38-34 upset loss to the Panthers last season.  The revenger has gone 14-6 ATS as an underdog in this series, and the revenger has also gone 9-2 ATS if it was upset the previous season.  Additionally, WVU is 16-8-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take the Mountaineers.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oregon St.  The Red Raiders are off to a great 2-0 start, after blowing out Kent State, 62-14, and are 2nd in scoring margin (54.0 points) behind only Oregon (56.0 points).  Texas Tech is 67-43-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 12-4-2 ATS if it won its previous game by 48+ points.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Washington State.  The Mean Green are off to a 2-0 start this season after blowing out Lamar, 51-0, and defeating Western Michigan, 33-30.  They're favored by single digits this week at home, vs. Washington State.  And North Texas is a dominant 27-2 SU and 22-7 ATS as a favorite off back-to-back wins.  The Mean Green also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 303-199 ATS since 1980.  Lay the points with North Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.