At 7 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over the Connecticut Sun.  The Sun are 9-27, but have won their last 3 games -- both straight-up and ATS.  Meanwhile, the defending champion Liberty are riding a 2-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll take New York to bounce back tonight, as defending champs have covered 69% as favorites in the regular season off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, the Sun fall into negative 4-23 ATS and 56-92-5 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Oakland A's.  Logan Gilbert will get the start for Seattle this afternoon, and will be pitching with an extra day of rest.  This season, when starting with regular rest, Gilbert's ERA is an elevated 5.78.  But with extra rest, Gilbert's ERA is 2.98.  Gilbert has also been better at home this season (2.22 ERA compared to a 6.23 road ERA), and in the daytime (3.60 ERA vs. 4.08 ERA).  Oakland has struggled as an underdog of +150 (or more), going 11-26 (minus 7.1 net games) this season (and 65-157 (minus 34.1 net games) its last 222.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston State Bearkats + the points over Western Kentucky.  Both of these teams went 6-2 in Conference USA play last season, and are expected to have strong records this season (but not as strong as Liberty, which is projected to win Conference USA).  Overall, the Bearkats were 10-3, including a win over Georgia Southern in the New Orleans Bowl (31-24), while the Hilltoppers were 8-6, including a loss in the C-USA Championship game to Jacksonville St (52-12), and in the Boca Raton Bowl to James Madison (27-17).  In last season's lone meeting between these teams, Western Kentucky defeated Sam Houston, 31-14, in Huntsville.  There has been a change on the sideline for Sam Houston, as Phil Longo replaced K.C. Keeler as head coach in December.  Longo does have a history with the Bearkats, as he was the team's offensive coordinator from 2014-16, and was named the national Coordinator of the Year in 2016.  Importantly, in that 3-year period, Sam Houston St. went 34-10, and won the Southland Conference in two of those three seasons.  I like the underdog Bearkats + the points, as Western Kentucky's coach Tyson Helton (and his staff) will be at a slight disadvantage because there is no videotape of Longo (and his tendencies) with this Bearkats team.  Additionally, the Bearkats fall into 378-278 and 36-13 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Finally, Sam Houston St. is 10-4-1 ATS as an underdog since hitting the board as an FBS team in 2023.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders and Saskatchewan Roughriders OVER the total.  It's true that the last two meetings between these teams have been very low-scoring.  The first meeting this season went to the Stamps by a score of 24-10.  That game sailed under the total of 52 by 18 points.  And their game at the end of last season finished 10.5 points below the over/under line, with the Stampeders winning 27-12.  I like this game to be much higher-scoring, as CFL games have gone OVER 34-21 if the previous meeting went Under by 16+ points.  Even better:  if each of the two previous meetings went Under by more than 5 points, the Over is 14-0 the last 14.  Finally, the OVER falls into one of my favorite totals systems, which is 95-55.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders over the Saskatchewan Roughriders.  Saskatchewan has lost just once this season, and that was at home to these Stampeders, 24-10.  We played on the Stamps in that upset win, and will come back with them here, at home, on Saturday.  One advantage for Calgary in this game is that it is playing with rest, having last week off, while the Roughriders were saddled with a home game vs. Hamilton.  Saskatchewan is a poor 5-13-1 ATS when unrested in the regular season and having to travel to play a rested foe, while the Stamps are a super 21-12-2 ATS in the regular season when rested.  Calgary is a solid 23-13-2 ATS in this series, and it also falls into 16-1, 71-42 and 98-57 ATS systems of mine.  Take Calgary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Indiana.  The Lynx lost back-to-back games for the first time all season last night, when they fell by two points, 75-73, at Atlanta.  The good news for Minnesota is that it still has the WNBA's best record (by far), at 28-7.  More good news:  its best player, and leading MVP candidate, Napheesa Collier, may make her return from injury tonight.  Minnesota will be playing with revenge from a 74-59 home loss to the Fever.  The Lynx are an awesome 37-12 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite off a SU loss (and 18-3 if off back-to-back losses).  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Las Vegas Aces.  Becky Hammon's women were mired in a mediocre season, and hit rock bottom on August 2nd, when they were destroyed by Minnesota, 111-58.  That 53-point loss was the 2nd-worst in WNBA history, only surpassed by Indiana's 59-point loss to Minnesota in 2017.  But a funny thing happened after that debacle:  the Aces used that ignominious defeat as fuel, and have ripped off eight straight wins, including an upset win at Phoenix six days ago, as a 4.5-point road underdog.  Las Vegas is now in the 5th spot in the standings, with a 22-14 record, and will leapfrog the 4th-seeded Mercury with a win tonight.  I don't think that will happen, and like Phoenix to avenge its home loss to the Aces with an upset win tonight.  Indeed, the Aces are 8-19 ATS as a favorite when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset in the season's previous meeting.  And Phoenix also falls into a 79-41 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  In a scheduling quirk, this will be Minnesota's 3rd straight game vs. the Liberty (though New York played games against Los Angeles and Las Vegas in between its games vs. the Lynx).  New York lost those previous two games vs. Minnesota, and is 0-3 vs. Minnesota this season.  We'll lay the points with the Liberty, as .555 (or better) teams have cashed 64% at home when playing with triple-revenge.  Additionally, Minnesota, at 28-5, has a huge 6.5-game lead over the #2-seed, Atlanta.  But the Liberty, with a 22-12 record, are in a dogfight with Atlanta, Phoenix and Las Vegas for a top 4-seed, and home field advantage in the quarterfinal round of the playoffs.  At game 30 forward, WNBA teams with an .820 (or better) win percentage have covered just 29.6%, including 1-10 ATS their last 11.  Take New York minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.