| Date | W/L |
| 10/4/2026 - NFL | LOSER |
Our 3 selections include the Tennessee Titans, Los Angeles Chargers and the OVER in the Bears/Jets game.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the point over Baltimore. The Ravens defeated Dallas last week, 34-31. And that was the 3rd straight game where the Ravens gave up 23+ points. For the season, Baltimore's defense is allowing 26 ppg. I'm not a big fan of laying a lot of points with teams that give up more than 24 ppg, as they're a poor 76-115-4 ATS as favorites of -9 (or more) points. Take Tennessee + the points.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Chicago Bears/New York Jets game. The Bears opened the season with a bang, as they blew out Carolina, 59-37. Their next two games were much lower-scoring, as they lost to the Minnesota Vikings, 9-3, in the rain, and then they defeated the Eagles last Monday, 27-7. We'll look for a higher-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL teams have gone 197-148 OVER the total after not giving up more than 20 points across their previous two games. Take the Bears/Jets OVER.<br><br>At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Seattle. The Chargers have started the season 0-3 SU/ATS after reaching the Playoffs last season. We'll grab the points with Jim Harbaugh's men on Sunday afternoon, as winless teams, with an 0-2 (or worse) record, that made the Playoffs the previous season, have gone 71-41-2 ATS as underdogs. Additionally, defending Super Bowl Champs have covered just 43 of their last 109 when priced from -6.5 to -13 points, including 11-24 ATS in the first 6 games of the season. Take the Chargers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/4/2026 - NFL | LOSER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Chicago Bears. Last Monday, we played on Chicago as a home dog vs. Philadelphia, and got the $$$ when Case Keenum led the Bears to a 27-7 win. Unfortunately for Chicago, .363 (or better) teams with a winning ATS record, and priced from +2 to -5.5 points, are an ugly 0-22 ATS off an upset win at home by more than 10 points. Additionally, Chicago falls into a negative 84-152-4 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off a good defensive game. Grab the points with the Jets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/4/2026 - NFL | WINNER |
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Buffalo Bills. Last season, the Patriots reached the Super Bowl, but they've stumbled to a 1-2 start this season. Of course, their two losses were to last season's Champs -- the Seahawks -- and the Jacksonville Jaguars (who are 10-1 SU/ATS their last 11 regular season games). I look for New England to bounce back off its 35-6 blowout loss last week, as losing teams have cashed 63% the past 47 seasons on the road vs. winning foes, if our losing team was getting 4+ points, and off a loss by more than 28 points. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS vs. the Bills in the last six meetings, and did not lose any of those games by more than 6 points. Indeed, the only two games of their last 25 that resulted in a loss by more than 7 points were last week's game, and the 29-13 Super Bowl defeat to Seattle. Finally, the Bills are a soft 14-23 ATS when laying 6+ points, including 7-18 ATS off a SU win, and 4-11 ATS in division games. Take New England + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/4/2026 - NFL | WINNER |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota has been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. the Dolphins. But the Vikings have generally not been trustworthy when laying a lot of points, as they're 44-64 ATS when favored by 7+. Admittedly, the Vikings come into this game off back to back upset wins on the road (at Chicago; at Tampa Bay). Unfortunately, NFL teams off back to back road upset wins have covered just seven of 27 games vs. foes off back-to-back losses. And winless, double-digit dogs are 56-39 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. The Dolphins lost by 14 to the Kansas City Chiefs last week. But that was a deceptive score, as Miami was only outgained by 5 yards (334-329). Grab the points with Miami. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/4/2026 - NFL | WINNER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Arizona Cardinals/New York Giants game. The Giants come into this game off back-to-back low-scoring games, with a 12-7 win against the Tennessee Titans last week, and a 28-6 loss at the Los Angeles Rams in Week 2. However, it must be noted that both the Rams (#2) and Titans (#8) rank among the Top 10 defensive teams in the league in yards per play allowed. Los Angeles gives up just 4.6 ypp, and Tennessee allows 4.9 ypp. The Arizona Cardinals are dead last in the league (tied with the Indianapolis Colts) at 6.5 ypp allowed, so expect the sledding to be easier this Sunday for Jameis Winston & Co. Also, it's certainly true that, for the season, John Harbaugh's team's games are averaging just 33.66 ppg. And with the Over/Under line significantly higher than that, many bettors might look for another low-scoring game here. But be careful, as the OVER has CASHED 60.3% the past 20 seasons if one (or both) teams' games averaged 34 or less points, and the O/U line was not greater than 46 points. We'll take the Giants and Cardinals OVER the total on Sunday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/4/2026 - NFL | WINNER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New England/Buffalo game. The Bills have gone 7-2-1 OVER the total in their last 10 games. The two games that went under were last week's 24-16 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers (when Buffalo had 5 turnovers) and last year's 13-12 home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in a heavy rain storm. The weather is expected to be beautiful in Buffalo on Sunday afternoon, and I expect a game similar to when these teams last met (December 14), a 35-31 Bills win. Admittedly, the Patriots mustered just 6 points last week in their 35-6 defeat at the hands of the Jaguars. But NFL teams have gone OVER the total more often than not after scoring less than 7 points, including 35-19 OVER their last 54 in this situation. The OVER also falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which is 265-179. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/3/2026 - MLB | WINNER |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the San Diego Padres. It's been a huge season for the Brewers' Jacob Misiorowski and it's about to get even bigger. The 24-year-old righthanded ace is soon going to be crowned with his first Cy Young award, and tonight he will get his first MLB start in the post-season. The Miz is a big reason why the Brewers are the top seed with the best record in the Majors and although he pitched in relief three times in last fall's playoffs, he is about to be handed the ball at the start of a post-season game for the first time. Misiorowski led all Major League pitchers with a 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and 252 strikeouts and he did it while starting a full load of 32 games covering just under 175 innings. The Miz faced the Padres once this season, and he threw a gem -- seven innings of shutout ball, allowing just four hits with 10 strikeouts and no walks. If you think his overall numbers were good, check out Misiorowski's stats here at home: an 8-1 record with a 1.52 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 16 starts covering 95 innings. Take Milwaukee. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| 10/3/2026 - College Football | WINNER |
Our 5 selections include TCU, Washington, Indiana, Arkansas State, and Arizona.<br><br>At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over BYU. The Frogs are allowing just 12.5 ppg this season, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. 3-0 BYU. Last season, the Cougars blew out TCU, 44-13. We'll take the Horned Frogs on Saturday night, as revenge-minded teams are 70-29 ATS vs. Big 12 Conference foes, if they lost the previous meeting by double-digits, including 28-7 ATS as a home underdog. Take TCU.<br><br>At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over USC. The Huskies were upset at home last Saturday night by Minnesota, 27-24, as a 12-point favorite. Off that upset defeat, we'll take Washington to rebound in Los Angeles vs. the Trojans. Washington is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings vs. USC. And it falls into a 75-19 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off home upset defeats. Take the Huskies.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Rutgers. Indiana has yet to cover the spread this season, as it's 0-3 ATS in its three FBS games. But it also has covered the spread in its FBS games by an average of 9.76 ppg since Curt Cignetti took over as head coach. Rutgers is 1-2 ATS in its three FBS games this season. But it's also failed to cover the spread this season by an average of 11.83 ppg (which is worse than Indiana's line differential of -8.50). The Scarlet Knights have covered just one of their last 14 games when getting 14+ points vs. winning foes. And Indiana falls into a 65.3% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that are winless ATS on the season. Lay the points.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Cajuns moved to 3-1 this season with a 34-7 blowout at Charlotte last Saturday. Meanwhile, the Wolves defeated Kennesaw St., 17-14, to level their record at 2-2. Last season, the Rajin' Cajuns upset the Red Wolves in Jonesboro, 34-30, as a 2.5-point road underdog. We'll take the revenge-minded road team, as .727 (or better) Sun Belt home teams have gone 13-39 ATS as a favorite off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe. Take Arkansas St.<br><br>At 11 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Cincinnati. The Bearcats upset Kansas State last week, 31-26, as a 6-point home underdog. Off that big win, we'll fade Cincinnati in Tucson on Saturday night, as it falls into a negative 52-134 ATS system of mine which fades certain road teams off upset wins. Additionally, the Bearcats are 19-36-2 ATS their last 57, including 0-8 ATS when getting 7 (or more) points. Take Arizona. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. |
| 10/3/2026 - College Football | LOSER |
At 6 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Colorado State/Oregon State game. The Rams were blown out last week, 59-45, by Texas-San Antonio, and that game went over the total by 47 points. We'll look for a much lower-scoring game on Saturday evening in Corvallis, as NCAA teams that gave up 59+ points in their previous game have proceeded to go 211-157 UNDER in their following game. Likewise, teams that went over the total by more than 45 points have then gone 63-42 UNDER in their next game. Take the Rams/Beavers UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 10/3/2026 - Canadian Football | WINNER |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions minus the points over Toronto. The Argonauts come into this game off 4 straight wins, including back-to-back upset wins against Edmonton and Winnipeg the past two weeks. They're a home dog on Saturday afternoon vs. BC, and we'll lay the points with the Lions. BC is a solid 18-11 ATS on the road vs. foes off an upset win, while Toronto is 16-25 ATS at home off an upset win. The Argos also fall into a negative 3-22 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins. Take the Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |