At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  This is a huge number for a team playing at home.  And, since 1990, NBA home dogs getting north of 15 points have covered 61%.  (In this situation, the 76ers have gone 5-0-1 ATS.)  There's no denying that the 76ers have been horrible ATS this season (26-49-2 ATS).  But that goes hand-in-hand with the oddsmakers installing them as an underdog at this price.  And Philly, actually, has been profitable when getting more than 6 points (15-13-1 ATS), including 2-0-1 ATS when getting 14+ points.  We'll take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Florida/Auburn game.  We have a relatively-high over/under line for this Final Four game between #1-seeded teams.  And games between teams seeded #4 (or better) have gone 73% UNDER when the O/U line has been greater than 144 points, including 9-2 UNDER at the Elite Eight round, forward.  Additionally, teams (like Florida) that average 84.5 (or more) points on offense have gone UNDER 70% in the NCAA Tournament if their previous NCAA Tourney game went Over the total.  With Florida, indeed, coming off a high-scoring, 84-79 win over Texas Tech (which went Over the total of 159.5), we'll take the Florida/Auburn game UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 5 selections include the Sacramento Kings, Houston Rockets, Chicago Bulls, Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers.<br><br>At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets covered the 15-point spread on Wednesday, at Indiana (by a single point).  But that was their first ATS win in 7 games.  Charlotte is 19-57 on the season, and is 2 games clear of the 21-55 Pelicans in the race for a bottom three finish, and the best odds to land Cooper Flagg.  Sacramento, meanwhile, is one game ahead of the Suns for the final Play-In spot.  The Kings have dropped their last three games, but are a solid 37-22 ATS off back to back losses.  Lay the points.<br><br>At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets plus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  OKC has ripped off 11 SU/ATS wins in a row.  A lot of bettors won't want to step in front of this freight train, but I'm not one of those.  Indeed, we had our NBA Game of the Month in March on these Rockets +10.5 at OKC, and got the $$$ in a 137-128 ballgame.  We'll come right back with Houston as a home dog tonight.  For those intimidated by OKC's 11-game SU/ATS win streak, consider that NBA teams on 11-game (or better) SU/ATS win streaks have gone a pedestrian 12-11 ATS since 1990, so that doesn't worry me.  Houston is well-motivated to win, as it's locked in a battle with the Lakers and Nuggets for the #2 seed in the Western conference.  Moreover, at Game 8 forward, .649 (or better) home dogs have cashed 57% since 1990 if both teams entered off SU wins.  Take Houston.<br><br>At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland.  The Bulls had the last two nights off following a 137-118 blowout of Toronto, while the Blazers played last night -- also vs. Toronto -- and notched a 112-103 win.  We'll take the Bulls, as they are rested and will play with revenge from a 113-102 upset loss at Portland earlier this season.  The Blazers are a wallet-busting 30-49 ATS on the road vs. rested, revenge-minded foes.  Take Chicago.<br><br>At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Golden State Warriors.  It's hard to imagine a Steph Curry-led team would have lost nine straight games to a single opponent, but that's the case in this Warriors/Nuggets series.  Denver even won the last meeting, less than three weeks ago, when it rested all its players, and was a 13.5-point road underdog.  No matter...the Nuggets upset the Warriors, 114-105.  I like Denver to stretch its win streak to 10 games in this series, as it will play an unrested Golden State squad off a win in Los Angeles last night.  Denver is 10-0 SU its last 10 (and 20-3 SU its last 23) when rested and playing an unrested foe.  Take the Nuggets.<br><br>At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas.  This is the first of back-to-back games between these teams in Los Angeles.  Dallas is seemingly locked into the 9/10 seed, while the Clippers are currently seeded 8, but are just 2.5 games in back of the #3-seeded Nuggets, so they could land anywhere in that wide range.  The Mavs come into this game off a win over Atlanta, but are an awful 35-67 ATS vs. .333 (or better) revenge-minded foes.  With Los Angeles playing with revenge from a 16-point loss at Dallas, we'll lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include the Minnesota Timberwolves, Orlando Magic, and Philadelphia 76ers.<br><br>At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Washington.  We played on the Wizards last night, as a 13.5-point underdog, and got the $$$ with them winning outright, 116-111, over Sacramento.  We'll fade Washington tonight, as it is 27-55 ATS as a double-digit dog off an upset win, including 9-26 ATS when playing its 3rd game in four nights.  Lay the points with Orlando.<br><br>At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers plus the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks are favored by double-digits tonight over Philly.  We'll fade the Bucks, as they're 18-39-2 ATS when laying more than 8 points, including 1-7-1 ATS their last nine on the road.  Take the 76ers.<br><br>At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets upset Dallas, 113-109, on Monday.  And they also won two games back, 115-112, vs. Washington.  We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, as it's a brutal 28-57-2 ATS at home off an upset win, if it also won 2 games back.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Sacramento Kings.  Washington comes into this game off a 26-point loss here, at home, to Miami on Monday.  We'll grab the points with the Wizards, as double-digit home dogs have gone 403-338-15 ATS off a loss, including 52-35-2 ATS off a loss by 26+ points, when playing with rest.  And the Kings have burned money as a favorite this season, including 16-23-1 ATS their last 40.  We'll take Washington as a big home dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers minus the points over UT-Chattanooga.  The Mocs enter this semi-final game off 3 straight upset wins, as they knocked off Middle Tennessee, Dayton, and Bradley.  Meanwhile, the Ramblers opened the Tourney with road wins over San Jose St. and San Francisco, before returning home to bomb Kent State, 72-62.  I like Loyola in this match-up, and will fade Chattanooga off its trio of upset wins.  Indeed, NIT Tourney teams have cashed just 30 percent off 3 upset wins since 1990.  Additionally, the Ramblers are 37-15 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, including a perfect 10-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes when Loyola was not laying more than 6 points.  And Chattanooga is 15-26 ATS as an underdog off an upset win.  Lay the points with the Ramblers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors come into this game off a 42-point blowout of the Spurs.  And they also bested Memphis when these teams last met, 121-113, in San Francisco.  We'll fade GSW, as it is 42-95 ATS off a point spread win, if its opponent was playing with revenge.  Take Memphis as a home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include the Portland Trail Blazers, Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets.<br><br>At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks are laying a big number tonight to Phoenix.  We'll side with the Underdog Suns, as Milwaukee is a wallet-busting 30-53-3 ATS as a home favorite of -7 or more points.  And Phoenix is a solid 16-7 ATS off 3 (or more) SU/ATS losses.  Take the Suns + the points.<br><br>At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks upset the Milwaukee Bucks, 145-124, as a 4-point underdog on Sunday.  We'll fade Atlanta tonight, as it is 6-26 ATS off an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog, when matched-up against a foe off a SU/ATS loss (including 0-14 ATS if the Hawks' win percentage was greater than .460).  Take Portland.<br><br>At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The Nuggets play this game with double-revenge from two losses to the T-Wolves.  I like Denver as a small home favorite, as it's 7-2-1 ATS its last 10 (and 46-28-2 ATS its last 76) games where it was playing with double-revenge.  Meanwhile, Minnesota is a dreadful 42-76 ATS in games between .500 (or better) teams when the T-Wolves won the season's prior meeting by more than 8 points.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over New York.  The Sixers have been a horrible team this year against the spread, as they're 26-47-2 ATS.  But when one delves deeper into the numbers, they're exceptionally bad as a favorite (7-18 ATS) and as an underdog of +6 or less (4-18 ATS).  When Philly has gotten more than 6 points, they've gone 15-11-1 ATS.  Tonight, they're catching double-digits from the Knicks, who are 88-117-4 ATS when laying 9+ points, including 18-39-3 ATS inside the division.  Take Philadelphia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, in the CROWN Tournament, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Nebraska.  Both of these teams come into this game on 5-game losing streaks.  Since 1990, in post-season, non-conference tournaments, favorites have covered just 40% when they lost their five previous games.  That doesn't bode well for Nebraska, here.  Additionally, the Big 12 Conference is 18-11-1 ATS vs. the Big 10 in the post-season.  I'll happily take the points with the Sun Devils, as they fall into a 48-13 ATS Tourney system of mine.  Take Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.