Date | W/L |
9/27/2023 - MLB | LOSER |
At 7:07 pm, our
selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the New York Yankees.
Despite having everything to play for, the Blue Jays couldn't score a
run against the Yankees last night and now the AL Wild Card race is even
tighter. These two will go at it again tonight in Toronto with likely
AL Cy Young Gerrit Cole going to the mound for the final time this
season. Toronto's Jose Berrios, on
the other hand, isn't in line for a post-season award, but he has a chance to shine tonight, and be a difference-maker. With the Jays' post-season
chances hanging in the balance, I look
for the 29-year-old veteran RHP to turn in a quality start in
what just might be the biggest game of his career. Berrios is 11-11 with a 3.58 ERA
overall this season but here at Rogers Centre he is 6-5 with a 3.11 ERA
in 14 starts (vs. just 5-6 and 3.97 in 17 on the road). Toronto is 40-20 after scoring less than 2 runs, including 15-6 off a shutout loss. Take the Jays.
As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
9/26/2023 - MLB | WINNER |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Houston Astros. Houston blew out Seattle, 5-1, last night to move to 1.5 games ahead of the Mariners in the chase for the final playoff spot in the American League. Seattle will turn to RHP George Kirby tonight, as it looks to close the gap between the teams. The Mariners have been solid as a favorite of -150 (or less), as they've gone 71-44 (+15.9 net games), including 9-2 at home behind Kirby. And Kirby has been sensational vs. the powerful Astros lineup, as he has a 1.53 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in his three career starts. He has faced Houston just once here, at home, and it was his best performance, as he scattered six hits over seven scoreless innings. The Mariners are a super 52-34 (+22.2 net games) after scoring less than 3 runs. Take Seattle. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
9/25/2023 - NFL | LOSER |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles come into this Monday Night Football game with a 2-0 record after beating the Patriots and Vikings to start the season. We'll go against Philly, as undefeated teams have cashed just 39.5% as a road favorite on Monday Night Football since 1980, including 2-11 ATS vs. opponents off a straight-up and against-the-spread win. With Tampa, indeed, in off a 10-point victory over the Bears, I'll grab the points with the Buccaneers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
9/24/2023 - NFL | LOSER |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs. The Bears have started the season 0-2 SU/ATS, with an 18-point loss to Green Bay in Week 1, and a 10-point defeat last Sunday at Tampa. Meanwhile, KC is 1-1 SU/ATS as it lost to the Lions at home, but rebounded to take down the Jaguars in Jacksonville last week. I like taking underdogs in Week 3 off back to back double-digit losses, as they’ve covered 63% since 1980. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
9/24/2023 - NFL | WINNER |
Our 3 selections include the Houston Texans, New England Patriots and Washington Commanders.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Jacksonville. I'm not a big fan of laying a lot of points with teams that don't have a winning record. And especially not against a winless team like Houston. Consider that .500 or worse teams are 69-109-3 ATS when laying 9 or more points to winless opposition. I’ll take the double-digits with Houston.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Jets. The Patriots come into this divisional match-up off back to back home losses in which they were underdogs, and failed to cover the point spread. I'll take New England on the road vs. New York as NFL teams that failed to cover their first two games as underdogs have cashed 62% as favorites in Week 3. Also, the Patriots are 16-0 ATS in the regular season on the road off a straight-up home loss, when not favored by 7+ points. And the Jets are a miserable 68-120 ATS at home vs. foes that don't own a winning record. Take New England.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Commanders are a surprising 2-0 following wins over the Cardinals and Broncos, and have been installed as a big home underdog vs. Buffalo, which blew out the Raiders by 28 points at home last week. I'll take the home team, as winning home underdogs have gone 99-60 ATS since 1980 vs. foes off a 15-point (or greater) blowout home win. Take the Commanders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
9/24/2023 - NFL | WINNER |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Green Bay Packers. The Saints come into this week's game with one of the four best scoring defenses, along with Dallas, Baltimore and San Francisco. New Orleans has allowed just 16 ppg in its wins over Tennessee and Carolina. That bodes well for them in Week 3, as NFL teams have cashed 72.3% off a win in Week 2, if their defense was giving up less than 20 points per game, and their opponent was off a straight-up loss. Even better: New Orleans is a solid 68-49 ATS as a road underdog off an ATS loss/tie in its previous game. Take the Saints. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
9/23/2023 - College Football | LOSER |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points
over UAB. The #1-ranked Bulldogs are 3-0 on the season, but 0-2-1 ATS
in Vegas after escaping last week with a too-close-for-comfort, 24-14
win vs. South Carolina. We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as
defending National Champs have covered 60.2% since 1980 as double-digit
home favorites off an ATS loss. And Georgia is 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS as
a favorite of -3 (or more) points off an ATS loss, while UAB is 0-8 ATS
its last eight games away from Birmingham. Take Georgia. Good luck,
as always...Al McMordie. |
9/23/2023 - College Football | PUSH |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the
points over Ohio State. The Irish have easily won their first three
games behind the brilliant
play of ex-Wake Forest QB, Sam Hartman. He's already passed for over
1000 yards, and has 13 TDs and 0 interceptions. In what will no doubt
be a raucous South Bend environment, I would rather have the veteran
presence of Hartman than the relative inexperience of Kyle McCord (who
will be making just his 5th career start). The Irish have been
installed as a home underdog vs. the Buckeyes, and we'll happily take
the points, as Notre Dame is 19-8-1 ATS at home when priced from -2 to
+6 points. Even better: Notre Dame plays this game with revenge from a
21-10 loss at Columbus last season. And undefeated, single-digit,
revenge-minded home underdogs have cashed 58% of non-conference games
since 1980. Take the Irish. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
9/23/2023 - College Football | LOSER |
Our 3 selections include Colorado State, Utah State and the UNDER in Buffalo/Louisiana.<br><br>At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Rams suffered a brutal overtime loss to rival Colorado last Saturday. But they easily covered the 23.5-point spread in defeat. Today, the Rams will be seeking revenge against an MTSU squad which defeated it last season, 34-19, in Fort Collins. The Rams are 8-1 ATS with revenge vs. non-conference foes when not getting 7+ points. And they're 50-24 ATS off a point spread win, when not getting 3+ points in their current game. Take Colorado State.<br><br>At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/Louisiana game. The Rajin' Cajuns have tended to go over the total away from home, but under the total at home. To wit: Louisiana is 9-3 OVER their last 12 games away, but it's gone UNDER the total in 15 of 18 home games, including 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 57 points. I look for another low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 103-55 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over James Madison. The Dukes come into this game off an upset win of conference rival, Troy, and are now 3-0 on the season (but 1-2 ATS). Meanwhile, Utah State is 1-2 SU, but 2-1 ATS. We played against Utah State last Friday, and easily got the $$$ when Air Force blew out the Aggies, 39-21, as a 9-point favorite. We'll take Utah State to bounce back on Saturday, as Mountain West conference teams have cashed 59.3% vs. non-conference foes off upset wins. And James Madison also falls into a negative system of mine, which is 60-104 ATS since 1980, that goes against certain teams off upset conference wins. Take Utah State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
9/23/2023 - College Football | LOSER |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Arkansas State. The Red Wolves are 1-2 on the season, but 0-2 in games vs. FBS foes. And they've been outscored, 117-34 on the season, for a negative scoring margin of -27.66. That doesn't bode well here, as Southern Miss is 40-4 SU and 32-10-2 ATS as a favorites of less than 24 points vs. conference foes with a negative scoring margin of -8.5 points (or worse). Admittedly, Golden Eagles RB Frank Gore, Jr. did get injured in last week's loss to Tulane. But Southern Miss head coach, Will Hall, gave promising news Monday when he stated that Gore "had a great workout this morning. He's looking good." Regardless of whether Gore ultimately suits up on Saturday, we'll lay the points with the road favorite. Take the Golden Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |