| Date | W/L |
| 4/14/2024 - NHL | LOSER |
At 3:35 pm,
our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Vegas Golden
Knights. For most of the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche have
enjoyed the biggest home ice advantage in the NHL. But lately, some of
that home cooking has gone bad. After losing to the Jets last night in
Denver, the Avs are now just 2-4 in their last six games here at Ball
Arena. It hasn't helped its cause that Colorado was without star winger
Mikko Rantanen for a few games as he went through concussion protocol.
Rantanen should be back to full strength this afternoon for this
critical match-up with the Knights in Vegas. This has become one of the
best rivalries in the West and with both teams still trying to improve
their positions today's clash should have the feel of a playoff game.
These two have alternated wins and losses over their last four meetings
with the last three being shutouts (two by the Avs and one by the
Knights). The Knights blew out the Wild, 7-2, in their last game but
they are just 2-5 in their last seven after scoring six goals or more in
their previous. Take the Avs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
| 4/14/2024 - NBA | WINNER |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis. Nikola Jokic has been upgraded to 'probable,' and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver. The Nuggets were shocked, 121-120, on Friday by San Antonio. And Denver was favored by 11 points in that game. We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back today, as defending champs have gone 62-37 ATS on the road when favored off a SU loss, if they were rested, and playing an opponent off an ATS win. Lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/14/2024 - NBA | LOSER |
Our 3 selections include the New Orleans Pelicans, Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves.<br><br>At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Los Angeles. The Pels lost, 139-122, as a 2-point road favorite to the Lakers in the previous meeting. We'll lay the points today, as the Lakers are a poor 27-52-1 ATS when playing a foe it upset in the season's prior meeting. Take New Orleans.<br><br>At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas. We played on Oklahoma City on Friday night vs. Milwaukee, and will come right back with the Thunder today. OKC has won four straight games, and needs to win today to lock down the #1 seed in the West (though there's a remote possibility OKC would not be seeded #1 if it and Minnesota wins, and Denver loses). OKC is 51-30 ATS at home its last 81, including 11-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Take the Thunder.<br><br>At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun nine days ago, and Phoenix bested Minnesota, 97-87. We'll lay the points with Minnesota today, as it's 26-15 ATS when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 6-20 ATS as an underdog vs. .466 (or better) foes. Take the T-Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/14/2024 - OTHER | WINNER |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Battlehawks minus the points over the San Antonio Brahmas. St. Louis is 1-1, and sits one game behind undefeated San Antonio in the XFL Division. Last week, the Brahmas registered a major comeback win over the Memphis Showboats. Trailing 16-0 in the 3rd quarter, and 19-8 with less than a minute to go, the Brahmas scored a touchdown to cut the deficit to 19-14. They then elected to go for a 4th-and-12 play rather than an onside kick, and were successful, so they retained possession. That led to a game-winning 5-yard touchdown pass with 3 seconds remaining. Still, the Brahmas did not score a point through the first three quarters, and gained only 36 rushing yards (on 11 carries) for the game. In contrast, the Battlehawks rushed for 110 yards on 18 carries in last week's 27-24 victory over Arlington. For the season, St. Louis is averaging 4.52 ypr, compared to just 3.32 ypr for San Antonio. And these numbers are similar to last season, where the Battlehawks averaged 4.2 ypr, while San Antonio averaged 3.4. We'll lay the short price with the Battlehawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/14/2024 - NBA | WINNER |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Sixers enter today's game on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak. And they've covered nine straight games, overall. We won't step in front of this freight train today, as NBA teams have cashed 59.4% since 1990 when they've covered nine (or more) games in a row. Even better: the Sixers play with double-revenge, and they're 42-20 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't getting 7+ points. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/14/2024 - NBA | WINNER |
Our 3 selections include the Cleveland Cavaliers, Boston Celtics and Orlando Magic.<br><br>At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Cavaliers play this game with revenge from a 118-111 loss last month to Charlotte. We'll lay the points, as revenge-minded NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 when favored by more than 5 points, and playing their final home game of the season. Take Cleveland.<br><br>At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Washington. Boston blew out Charlotte here, at home, on Friday, 131-98. We'll lay the points with the Celtics today, as they are 79-44-2 ATS off a 20-point home win. Take Boston.<br><br>At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Milwaukee. Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play today, so the Bucks will be a road underdog. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, it's a poor 14-38 ATS when getting more than 2 points. Take the Magic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/13/2024 - MLB | WINNER |
At 8:05 pm,
our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Pittsburgh Penguins. In
the bouncing ping-pong ball world that is the Eastern Conference Wild
Card chase, the Penguins had a huge overtime win here at home over the
Red Wings on Thursday night. That victory has vaulted the Pens back
into the final WC position with three teams -- the Caps, Red Wings, and
Flyers -- all one point behind them. Pittsburgh has only three games
left but those are all against contending teams, starting tonight with
the Bruins. Going into Saturday, Boston is barely holding on to a lead
in the Atlantic -- just one point ahead of the Panthers, who are playing
today at home against the Sabres. The Bruins have dominated this
series, taking four of the last five meetings going back to November of
2022. They trounced the Pens in the last meeting a little more than a
month ago, 5-1, and Pittsburgh is 5-11 in its last 16 games revenging a
blowout loss by more than 3 goals to an opponent. Take the Bruins.
As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
| 4/12/2024 - NBA | LOSER |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans. When these two teams last met, the Pelicans destroyed Golden State, 141-105, as a 2.5-point home underdog. We'll take Golden State to avenge that 36-point defeat, as it's 28-11-1 ATS at home vs. an unrested opponent off a SU win. And it's also 46-24-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/12/2024 - NBA | WINNER |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Thunder, Nuggets and Timberwolves are currently locked in a tight battle for the top seed in the Western Conference. OKC is currently the #3 seed, so this is a must-win game. Likewise, the Bucks can fall from the #2 seed to the #4 seed if they drop their last two games, so they're incentivized to win. Unfortunately, Giannis Antetokounmpo is currently sidelined with a calf injury, and Damian Lillard is also unlikely to play tonight. So, the Bucks have been installed as a huge underdog at Oklahoma City. That doesn't bode well for Doc Rivers' crew, as Milwaukee is 14-37 ATS when getting more than 2 points. Even worse: the Thunder play tonight with revenge from a 25-point loss at Milwaukee last month. And OKC is 54-30 ATS when playing with revenge vs. an Eastern Conference foe, provided such foe won its previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/11/2024 - NHL | WINNER |
At 7:05 pm,
our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Washington Capitals.
The Caps broke out of their six-game slump in a big way, beating the Red
Wings in Detroit on Tuesday night and leap-frogging back into a Wild
Card spot in the process. But if they're going to win games
consistently, the Caps are going to have to do something more than they
have been -- shoot the puck. Washington's shot production over the last
two weeks has been abysmal. Over their last seven games, the Caps have
managed more than 26 shots on just one occasion. With the exception of
their April 4 loss to the Penguins (31 shots), the Caps have only
averaged a measly 21.8 shots per game. That scant offensive production
won't get you many wins in the NHL and the Caps desperately need another
win tonight to stay in the Eastern Conference Playoff picture. The
Sabres were eliminated from playoff contention, but this is their final home game of the season, so I don't expect a lackluster effort. They have taken three of the last five meetings with the Caps,
including a 6-2 thrashing in the last meeting on April 2. The Caps are
also 8-14 in their last 22 revenging a blowout loss of four goals or more.
Take Buffalo. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
