At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Carolina.  We played on the Panthers when they were a home underdog earlier this month vs. Tampa, and got the $$$ in a 23-20 upset win.  This re-match will be played in Tampa, and the Bucs are once again installed as the favorite, notwithstanding the fact that they've lost their last four games in a row, straight-up (and are 0-8 ATS their last eight).  We'll lay the points, as teams (like Tampa) riding 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks have gone 22-7 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't getting more than 6 points.  Take the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Eagles were upset by Longwood, 82-70, on Wednesday.  And they also lost at Texas Tech, 87-57, before that.  We'll take Winthrop to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 8-0-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, while the Runnin' Bulldogs are a soft 9-14 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers upset Old Dominion, 81-73 on Wednesday.  We'll fade App State this afternoon, as it's cashed just 29.4% percent on the road off an upset win when installed as an underdog.  Lay the points with the Thundering Herd.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

Our 5 selections include Central Florida, SMU, Old Dominion, Southern Utah and San Diego State.<br><br>At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Kansas.  The Knights are on a 10-game win streak, and play with revenge from a loss in the Big 12 Tournament last season.  Big 12 underdogs have cashed 58% when playing with revenge from a Big 12 Tourney loss.  Grab the points.<br><br>At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs over the North Carolina Tar Heels.  SMU is 11-2 and enters this game off back to back blowout wins over Central Arkansas (99-82) and Cal State Fullerton (110-63).  The Mustangs are 57-34-3 ATS in conference games off back to back wins, if they weren't getting more than 4 points.  Take SMU.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles have won their last eight games, covering four, while the Monarchs are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Eagles vs. the ice cold Monarchs.  But be careful, as home favorites (or PK) off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 57% since 1990 vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Old Dominion.<br><br>At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds plus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Thunderbirds are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take Southern Utah as a home dog, as Texas Arlington is an atrocious 9-20 ATS as a favorite vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS losses., including 3-9 ATS as a road favorite.  And Texas Arlington is 3-13 ATS as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes off a SU loss.  Take Southern Utah + the points.<br><br>At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Boise St.  The Aztecs lost to Boise St., 62-52, in last season's Mountain West Tournament.  San Diego St. is a super 53-35 ATS as a home favorite when playing with revenge.   Take San Diego St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 5 selections include Houston, Oklahoma, Akron, Texas and Grand Canyon.<br><br>At 2 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats have covered their last three games, while Houston failed to cover on Monday vs. Middle Tennessee.  We'll lay the points with the Cougars, as they're 43-20 ATS vs. foes off back to back covers, if Houston was not off back to back ATS wins.  Take Houston.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Mississippi.  The Rebels covered the spread in their win over Alcorn State on Monday.  But it was just its second ATS win in its last 12 games this season.  Ole Miss did defeat Oklahoma by three points last year, but the Sooners covered the spread.  And Oklahoma has covered each of the last three meetings with the Rebels.  The Sooners also fall into a 78-28 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks are 14-0 this season, but ranked just 106th in Ken Pomeroy's NCAA Basketball rankings.  Meanwhile, Akron is 10-3, but ranked #56.  I like the Zips to hand Miami-Ohio its first loss of the season, as the Zips have dominated the series with 11 wins in the last 12 meetings (8-4 ATS).  Take Akron.<br><br>At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Longhorns enter on a 2-Game SU/ATS win streak, with blowout wins over Le Moyne (95-53) and Maryland-Eastern Shore (94-71).  We'll lay the points, as Texas is 55-30 ATS in regular season conference games off back to back double-digit wins, if they were not favored by 17+ points.  Take the Longhorns.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Colorado State.  The Antelopes are 15-3 ATS in conference games when priced from -5 to -9 points.  And they fall into a 429-272-14 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Alabama.  These two teams met in the SEC Tournament last season, and the Crimson Tide blew out Kentucky, 99-70.  We'll take the Wildcats today, as it is 46-27-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss in the prior season, including 13-5-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include NC State, Wake Forest and Georgia.<br><br>At 11 am, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Virginia.  North Carolina State comes into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  UVA is a soft 27-38-2 ATS vs. foes on 3-game SU/ATS win streaks.  Take the Wolfpack minus the points.<br><br>At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies upset rival, Virginia, on Wednesday, while Wake Forest enters off back to back SU/ATS losses.  We'll take Wake Forest to bounce back, as it's cashed 67% as a home favorite off back to back losses, if it was matched-up against a conference foe off a SU win.  Take Wake Forest.<br><br>At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  The Bulldogs have dropped the last five meetings vs. Auburn.  But they've won against the spread in each of the last three meetings.  We'll look for Georgia to stretch its ATS win streak in this series to four games, as Auburn is a poor 66-103-6 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Bucks were upset by the Washington Wizards in their last game.  Off that huge upset loss, we'll take the Bucks to bounce back on Friday.  Indeed, Milwaukee is 14-2-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they were favored by more than 8 points in that defeat, and their opponent is off an ATS win.  And Charlotte is 33-52 ATS as an underdog of more than 5 points vs. foes off an upset loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Arizona.  The Mustangs rate better in both offensive and defensive yards per rush than the Wildcats.  And underdogs have been profitable in the post-season if they rated better in each of those categories, and also had a relative YPR differential of at least 1.0 YPR.  SMU did stumble in its last regular season game, with a 38-35 loss at California as a 13.5-point road favorite.  But SMU is 7-0 ATS its last seven games off an upset loss, provided that game was played at home, or on a neutral field.  And NCAA teams have gone 14-0-1 ATS in the post-season off an upset loss as a favorite of 8+ points, if they were priced from -4 to +8.5 in the current game.  Take SMU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 3 selections include Western Kentucky, Stanford and Nebraska.<br><br>At 5 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers were upset on Monday by Jacksonville St.  We'll take the Hilltoppers to bounce back, as they've covered 64% at home since 1990 off an upset loss when playing a foe off a SU win.  Lay the points.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Louisville.  Stanford mustered just 40 points in its previous game -- a 47-40 loss to Notre Dame.  The good news for Stanford is that home dogs have cashed 67% of conference games since 1990 off an upset loss where they scored less than 44 points.  Take Stanford + the points.<br><br>At 9 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Michigan St.  Both the 'Huskers and Spartans enter with identical 13-0 records.  And it's just the 3rd time in 36 years that two 13-0 (or better) teams played each other!  We'll take the 'Huskers, as home teams with a 7-0 (or better) record have gone 40-22 ATS if they weren't favored by 4+ points, and owned a winning ATS record.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.