At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  Wake Forest plays this game with revenge from a 23-17 loss in Winston-Salem last year.  Last week, the Deacs rolled up 52 points in a blowout win over Delaware.  Off that big game, we'll take the points with the road underdog on Saturday.  Indeed, revenge-minded underdogs that scored more than 50 points in their previous game, in the regular season, at Game 9 forward, have gone 61-37-2 ATS away from home over the last 46 years.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Vanderbilt.  It's been 12 years since the last time the Commodores owned a better record than their cross-state rival at the time of the match-up.  But that's the case this weekend, as Vandy is 9-2, while Tennessee is 8-3.  Still, the Volunteers have dominated Vanderbilt, with a 38-7 SU record since 1980, including a 36-23 beatdown last year as a 10-point road favorite.  The point spread is much less this season, of course, as Vandy's scoring margin is 2.18 ppg better than Tennessee's.  And Vandy also comes into this game on a 2-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak).  We'll fade the red-hot Commodores, as SEC Conference teams have gone 31.4% ATS as underdogs since 1980 off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Tennessee to blow out Vandy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs + the points over NC Wilmington.  Gardner-Webb has yet to taste victory, as it is 0-8 straight up.  It's also 1-7 ATS on the season, and 0-4 ATS its last four games.  We'll step in and take the large number of points today, as NCAA teams with an 0-6 (or worse) record have cashed 72.2% since 1990 if they also failed to cover the spread in each of their previous four games.  Additionally, the Seahawks are a soft 17-24-2 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our 5 selections include Texas State, Army, Washington, LSU and Liberty.<br><br>At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over South Alabama.  The Jaguars upset Southern Miss last week, 42-35, as a 2.5-point home dog, for their second straight win.  We'll fade the Jags on the road, as they're 5-18 ATS off back to back wins (including 0-7 ATS on the conference road), and they have also cashed just 35% the past 46 years off an upset win.  Take Texas State.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  The Black Knights suffered an upset loss at home last week vs. Tulsa, 26-25, as a 10-point favorite.  But Army's been a reliable road underdog in Conference games, cashing 60.8%, while the Roadrunners are 1-7 ATS at home vs. foes off an upset loss.  Additionally, .500 (or better) underdogs of more than 6 points, with a defense that allows at least 6.5 ppg less than their foe, have cashed 67% over the past 46 years off an upset loss.  Take Army.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Oregon.  The Huskies come into this game with a lot of momentum, as they blew out Purdue, 49-13, as a 13.5-point favorite, and UCLA, 48-14, as a 10.5-point favorite, in their last two games.  We'll take Washington, as home teams off back to back wins (and also back to back double-digit covers) have cashed 58.4% since 1980 when they weren't favored by 6+ points.  Take the home dog Huskies.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Oklahoma.  The Tigers are riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  But we'll step in and grab the points, as SEC Conference teams have covered 66.1% as road underdogs since 1980 on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, if their opponent was off a SU win.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Kennesaw St.  The Flames come into this game off 3 straight upset losses.  We'll take Liberty to bounce back, as NCAA Football teams have cashed 60.5 percent as underdogs since 1980 off 3 straight upset losses, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the home dog Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston College/Syracuse game.  The Orange allowed 70 points to the Irish last week.  Off that defensive debacle, Syracuse will no doubt want to redeem itself today.  Indeed, NCAA games with O/U lines less than 56 have gone UNDER 63.1 percent if a team allowed more than 65 points in its previous game.  Syracuse is 9-2-1 UNDER after giving up more than 45 points.  And ACC Conference teams have gone 30-13 UNDER their last 43 after giving up more than 45 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas come into this game off back-to-back wins, and they've covered 5 in a row.  But Toledo has held its last 3 foes to a combined 15 points.  And it has given up just an average of 10 ppg in its seven conference games this season.  The Rockets are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings vs. CMU.  And the Chips fall into a negative 44-83 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off back to back SU/ATS wins.  I look for Toledo to blow out Central Michigan.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets are on a 7-game losing streak and have been installed as a small home underdog vs. the Chicago Bulls.  I don't want any part of the Hornets in this price range, as they're 22-40 ATS their last 62 when not getting 4+ points, including 12-27 ATS at home.  Meanwhile, the Bulls are 13-5 ATS their last 18 off a SU loss, and 15-3 ATS their last 18 vs. the Hornets.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes are 6-0 this season, but all 6 games were at home.  And 5 of the 6 were against cupcakes, as Ohio State was favored  by 34 vs. IU Indy, 24 vs. Fort Wayne, 23 vs. Appalachian St., 26.5 vs. Western Michigan, and 29 vs. Mount St. Mary's.  Those 5 teams' have an average ranking of 283 at KenPom.com (there are 365 teams in Division 1).  The Buckeyes' only game vs. a quality opponent was when it hosted Notre Dame (currently rated #73), and Ohio State won by 1 point, 64-63, as a 9.5 point home favorite.  Teams playing on an opponent's home court for the first time, at Game 7 (or later) that have a scoring average of +25 (or more) ppg, are 1-9 ATS their last 10.  And they're also 16-34 ATS when priced from +2.5 to -15.5 points.  We'll fade Ohio State in this step-up in class on the road.  Grab the points with Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, in a game played in Las Vegas, in the Resorts World Classic, our selection is on the Lehigh Mountain Hawks + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  Lehigh has generally been solid as a big underdog, as it's 31-16 ATS when getting more than 7 points, including 16-5 ATS off a loss.  UCSB, on the other hand, is 23-41-2 ATS its last 65, including 14-28-1 ATS as a favorite.  Take Lehigh + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.