At 9:10, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento.  When these two teams met last month, the Kings upset the Clippers, 118-109, as a 14-point underdog.  We'll take the revenge-minded Clippers tonight, as road favorites have cashed 61% when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a 12-point (or greater) favorite.  Even better:  the Clippers are 9-5 ATS at Sacramento, including 5-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, on ESPN2-TV, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers and Tulsa Golden Hurricane to go UNDER the total.  Tulsa's games this season have averaged 158.21 ppg, and have gone Over the total by an average of 4.2 ppg.  Similarly, Auburn's games have averaged 161.27 ppg, and have gone Over the total by an average of 3.6 ppg.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game here, but NIT Tourney games have gone Under 75% of the time if the two teams, on average, went Over the total by 2.97 (or more) ppg.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into an 82% Totals system of mine.  Take the Tigers and Golden Hurricane UNDER the total.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over Charlotte.  The T-Wolves have been installed as a home underdog vs. Charlotte tonight.  And we'll happily grab the points, as Minny is 23-7-1 ATS its last 31 as a home dog, including 10-2-1 ATS off a SU loss.  The T-Wolves have won the last 3 meetings vs. the Hornets by 21, 15 and 17 points.  Take Minnesota to rout the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, in the Crown Tournament on FOX-TV, our selection is on the OVER in the West Virginia/Oklahoma game.  The Mountaineers ended the season on a 16-4 Under run.  And, going into this Crown Tournament, their games averaged 133.93 ppg.  But their two games vs. Stanford and Creighton were extremely high-scoring.  WVU defeated Stanford, 82-77, and that game went Over the total by 23 points.  Likewise, the Mountaineers' game vs. Creighton sailed over by 19 points.  We'll look for yet another high-scoring game this evening vs. Oklahoma, which is 15-11 Over its last 26.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 8:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines and Arizona Wildcats to go UNDER the total.  These are the top two defensive teams in the country, as Michigan ranks #1 and Arizona #2 in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted defensive efficiency metric (which is not surprising given each team's positional length).  Michigan played two other teams (Duke, Nebraska) this season that ranked among the top 10 in defensive efficiency, and those two games averaged 139 points.  Meanwhile, Arizona played seven games this season vs teams ranked among the top 10 in defensive efficiency, and those seven games averaged 152.7 ppg.  So, while Michigan's games this season averaged 157.28 ppg, overall, and Arizona's games averaged 155.31 ppg, both averages were lower against great defensive teams.  And neither faced a defense this season as good as it will see on Saturday night.  Throw in the fact that NCAA Tournament games with O/U lines of 141+ points have gone UNDER the total 61.1% at the Sweet 16 round forward, and we'll look for a relatively low-scoring, defensive battle between these two juggernauts.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Connecticut/Illinois game.  The Illini have the best offense in the country, as they rank #1 in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted offensive efficiency metric.  And Illinois' games average 152.5 ppg.  This is a very low O/U line for Illinois, as it's the 2nd lowest number for any Illini game this season.  And when Illinois has played in a game with an O/U line of less than 147 points, it has gone 5-2 OVER the total.  UConn, meanwhile, has gone OVER the total in nine of its last 15 games with O/U lines of 144 (or less).  Admittedly, the Illini come into this game off three straight UNDERS vs. VCU, Houston and Iowa.  But those three opponents were all on big UNDER runs.  VCU played 13 of its last 18 games UNDER the total; Houston played 17 of its last 25 games UNDER the total; and Iowa played eight of its last 13 UNDER.  Conversely, UConn enters on a 12-7 OVER run.  Finally, NCAA Tourney games with O/U lines of 140 (or less) have gone OVER the total 80% at the Elite Eight round forward, if a team entered off Unders in its three previous NCAA Tournament games.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays over West Virginia.  This is Creighton head coach, Greg McDermott's final season at the helm, and his players no doubt want to send him out on a winning note.  They won the first game in this 8-team tournament, 82-69, vs. Rutgers.  And they'll take on West Virginia this afternoon.  The Mountaineers got by Stanford, 82-77, in Round 1.  Unfortunately, WVU is 20-40 ATS off a straight-up win, including 0-6 SU/ATS their last six.  That doesn't bode well for WVU.  Nor does the fact that the Bluejays are 19-12 ATS their last 31 post-season games, while the Mountaineers are 18-27 ATS their last 45 post-season games.  Take Creighton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Miami Heat.  When these two teams last met, it was an historic night, as Bam Adebayo recorded the 2nd-highest point total (83) in a game, bested only by Wilt Chamberlain's 100.  Miami won that game, 150-129.  We'll take the Wizards as a big underdog in this re-match, as revenge-minded NBA underdogs are 65.8% ATS since 1990 if they allowed more than 144 points in the prior meeting.  Grab the points with Washington.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears over the Oklahoma Sooners.  The Sooners were favored by 9 points in their opening round game vs. Colorado in this Crown Tournament, and they failed to cover the spread, winning by just four points.  And that moved Oklahoma's record as a favorite to a dismal 34-53-1 ATS their last 88.  They are once again installed as a favorite (albeit a small one) here, vs. Baylor.  The Sooners are also a poor 4-12-1 ATS their last 17 non-conference games, while Baylor is 59-35-3 ATS its last 97 non-conference games.  We'll side with the Bears in this near-PK'em affair.  Take Baylor.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.