| Date | W/L |
| 5/3/2026 - NHL | WINNER |
At 6:00 pm, our
selection is on the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning 'under'
the total. It's the only first round series so far in these playoffs to
go the full seven games, and perhaps that's no surprise given the
history between these two teams. Not only has every game of this series
been determined by a single goal, but four of the six have gone to
overtime. Both goaltenders -- Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Bolts and Jakub
Dobes of the Habs -- have been outstanding and there's little reason to
think that won't continue in this ultimate Game 7 tonight. The
defenses have also been working overtime, as in Game 4 when a total of
just 38 shots were put on net (18 for Montreal and 20 for Tampa). Seven
of the last eight meetings of these two have gone under the total,
including the last five (games 2-6 of this series). Take the 'under.'
As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| 5/3/2026 - OTHER | WINNER |
At 4 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Birmingham Stallions + the points over the Orlando Storm. The Stallions were whitewashed, 16-0, in the first meeting this season, two weeks ago. We'll take Birmingham, as revenge-minded teams are 19-3 ATS their last 22 when playing a .727 (or better) foe. Additionally, the Stallions fall into a 48-24-1 ATS system of mine. Grab the points with the Stallions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 5/3/2026 - NBA | PUSH |
Our 2 selections include the Cleveland Cavaliers and the UNDER in the Detroit/Orlando game.<br><br>At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Orlando game. Thirteen of the last 20 games between these teams have gone Under the total, including four of the six Playoff games. And the last game was the lowest-scoring of all, as Detroit and Orlando combined for just 172 points, which went under the total by 38.5 points. NBA Playoff games have gone Under the total 62.8% since 1990 if the previous playoff game went under by more than 36 points. Take Detroit + Orlando UNDER.<br><br>At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto. These two teams have each won 3 games on their home floor, and Game 7 will be played in Ohio. Advantage: Cavaliers. Additionally, home favorites of more than 3 points are 46-29-2 ATS in Game 7s, including 9-2 ATS their last 11 if they lost Game 6 by single-digits. And Toronto is 1-16 SU and 3-13-1 ATS when getting 7+ points from Cleveland, including 1-7-1 ATS in the Playoffs. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 5/2/2026 - OTHER | LOSER |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Dallas Renegades + the points over DC. The Defenders have won the last two meetings, but both were narrow wins (33-30, 37-33). DC is 4-1 on the season after a 45-28 blowout win over Birmingham last week. Unfortunately, teams off SU/ATS wins are a poor 7-23 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. And home teams off SU/ATS wins are 5-17-1 ATS when not favored by 5+ points. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 5/2/2026 - NBA | LOSER |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/Philadelphia game. Boston comes into this game off back-to-back upset losses. We'll look for a lower-scoring Game 7, as NBA teams off back-to-back upset losses have gone 76-49 UNDER in the Playoffs. And Game 7s are 21-8 UNDER their last 29 if the O/U line was greater than 196 points. Eight of the last nine meetings between these division rivals have gone UNDER the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 5/2/2026 - NBA | LOSER |
At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Boston held a 3-games-to-1 series lead, but suffered upset losses in the last two games. We'll take Boston to bounce back and blow out Philly in this Game 7, as Boston is 21-2-1 ATS when favored by 2+ points off back-to-back upset losses. Even better: the Celtics are 64-31 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 10+ points, if they were playing with double-revenge. And Philly is a poor 39-61 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning opposition. Since 1990, home teams favored by more than 3 points, with a win percentage differential of +0.033, have cashed 61.4% in the final game of tied playoff series. And home teams have cashed 75% of Game 7s in the 1st Round off an upset loss in Game 6. Lay the points with the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 5/1/2026 - NBA | WINNER |
Our 2 selections include the Los Angeles Lakers and the UNDER in the Los Angeles/Houston game.<br><br>At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Houston Rockets. Houston won Game 5 on the road to pull within 3-games-to-2 in this series. Unfortunately, home teams down 3-games-to-2, and off a win in Game 5, are a wallet-breaking 8-21 ATS, including 3-10 ATS in Round 1. The Rockets are 4-8 ATS this season off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, including 1-5 ATS at home. Grab the points with Los Angeles.<br><br>At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles/Houston game. These two teams mustered just 192 points in Game 5, which sailed under the total of 209 by 17 points. And that was the 19th time of the last 32 meetings between these clubs that the Under has cashed. We'll look for another low-scoring game here, in Game 6, as the Under falls into 106-61 and 83-49 Totals systems of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 5/1/2026 - NHL | WINNER |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Boston
Bruins. The Sabres made it to the post-season for the first time in 15
years and obviously that's a huge success. But make no mistake about
it, the last thing the Sabres want to be is the next Buffalo Bills --
getting to the playoffs but never reaching the mountaintop. So a first
round exit at the hands of a Bruins team which finished fourth in the
Division would be a huge disappointment. Buffalo can avoid that fate by
winning Game 6 tonight in Boston and no doubt that is how the Sabres
would prefer to advance in this series. They had the chance to win this
series at home in Game 5, but fell in OT, 2-1 to a determined Boston team
as Bruins goalie Jeremy Swayman bounced back from the thrashing he took
in Game 4. But the Sabres are the better team and they've done quite
well on Boston's ice recently, winning Games 3+ 4 in this
series. The Sabres were also 14-6 in the regular season as a road favorite.
Take Buffalo. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| 4/30/2026 - NBA | PUSH |
Our 2 selections include the Boston Celtics and the UNDER in the Boston/Philadelphia game.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Boston lost Game 5 at home, 113-97, as a 10-point favorite. The Celtics are favored in Philly for Game 6, and we'll lay the points. Boston is 95-55-1 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points. And Top 3 seeds are 9-0 ATS in Game 6 of the first round of the playoffs when they're up 3-games-to-2. Lay the points.<br><br>At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers to go UNDER the total. The Celtics were upset as a 10-point home favorite on Tuesday, 113-97. Since 1990, NBA teams have gone 65.7% UNDER after getting upset as a double-digit favorite. And the Celtics have gone 15-3 UNDER the total their last 18 playoff games following an upset defeat at home. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| 4/30/2026 - Horse Racing | LOSER |
At approximately 6:57 pm our selection in Churchill Downs race 12, the
152nd running of the Kentucky Derby, is #9 The Puma to Win and to Show.
Please put equal amounts on those Win and Show bets. In 2023, these
same connections (trainer Gustavo Delgado, owner OGMA Investments,
jockey Javier Castellano) won the Derby with their entrant, Mage. This
year, their 3-year-old colt is named in homage to his trainer Delgado,
who is affectionately nicknamed "The Puma" because he resembles the
Venezuelan singer/actor Jose Luis Rodriguez. It's impressive enough
that they're back with this son of Essential Quality only three years
after Mage took the Run for the Roses. But what's amazing is that The
Puma comes into the Derby in almost exactly the same fashion as his
predecessor. Like Mage, The Puma's final prep was the Florida Derby,
and like Mage he fought valiantly down the stretch, pushing his head in
front as they turned for home only to come up short, finishing second by
a nose to a horse that looks to be one of the favorites in this race.
The Puma has done little wrong in his four previous races, even beating
strong Derby contender, Further Ado, in the Tampa Bay Derby, one race
before his heartbreaking 2nd place finish in the Florida Derby. Being
by Essential Quality out of a Declaration of War mare, The Puma should
have no problem getting the 10-furlong Derby distance, and jockey
Castellano certainly knows how to win races at Churchill Downs.
Although he didn't win the Florida Derby -- thought to be by far the
most competitive of the Derby prep races -- the tough stretch battle he
had with Commandment and Chief Wallabee should serve him well in the
large Derby field. At the time of this writing, the morning line odds
on The Puma are 10-1. And he might make it look like easy money just
like Mage did three years ago. Bet The Puma to WIN and SHOW (in equal
amounts) at the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby, race 12 at
Churchill Downs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
