| Date | W/L |
| 11/6/2025 - NBA | LOSER |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Typically we stay away from standalone NBA games but this situation is a must play. The Clippers are coming off a pair of home losses against Miami and Oklahoma City while failing to cover either of those and they are now 0-5 ATS their last five games and this is the main reason for the play as we go against that streak as anything over a five-game cover or non-cover run, we go opposite. Kawhi Leonard and James Harden are both out and we are seeing an eight-point swing in the line and we will take that value as the rest of this loaded roster can pick up the slack. Phoenix is 3-5 with a pair of poor wins while a win over San Antonio was impressive and the Suns were fortunate that Victor Wembanyama easily had his worst game of the season. Devin Booker remains the cog that runs the show but there is not much after that and this is just the third time they have been favored, the other two coming against Sacramento and Utah. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having covered three of their last four against the spread, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 51-21 (70.8 percent) since 2022. 10* (535) Los Angeles Clippers |
| 11/6/2025 - NFL | LOSER |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Winner. Denver is 7-2 to start the season including six straight wins and it could be a better or worse record. The Broncos have five one possession wins so there is some luck there but the two losses have been by a combined four points. The defense has led the way as they are No. 7 in EPA which includes No. 4 in Passing EPA and No. 6 in Rushing EPA. Quarterback Bo Nix has been up and down but he has dominated in these spots, going 13-1 as a favorite and has a great matchup here. The Raiders are coming off an overtime loss against Jacksonville by a point and are 1-6 over their last seven games following the opening upset over the Patriots and the only recent win was against Tennessee. Las Vegas in No. 29 in Offensive EPA so they are not going to do much against the Denver defense while they are No. 24 in Defensive EPA including No. 24 in Passing EPA which gives Nix that advantage. Here, we play against teams playing on Thursday night coming off an overtime game if their opponent is not off an overtime game. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 2005. 10* (110) Denver Broncos |
| 11/6/2025 - College Football | WINNER |
This is a play on the USF BULLS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. South Florida is coming off a tough loss against Memphis as it blew a 31-17 lead in the fourth quarter as they were outscored 17-0. They are back home where they are 4-0 which includes an impressive win over Boise St. Even with the loss, the Bulls are still in shape to make it to the AAC Championship game but they will need help in Memphis going down. They obviously have to win here and defeat Navy next week as they own the tiebreaker with North Texas. UTSA is coming off an upset over Tulane by 22 points as a 5.5-point home underdog to keep its championship game hopes alive. The Roadrunners are back on the road where they are 1-3 with the only win coming against Colorado St. by one points way back in September. Since 2023, they are 3-8 ATS on the road while going 2-7 ATS in their last nine games coming off a home win. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season allowing between 390 and 440 ypg and after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) since 2021. 10* (112) USF Bulls |
| 11/6/2025 - College Basketball | LOSER |
This is a play on THE CITADEL BULLDOGS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. The Citadel won five games last season while going 0-8 in the Southern Conference so it was ugly and the Bulldogs are picked to finish last once again. The good news is that they bring back one of the largest percentages of production in the country, the issue was shooting and they could not do it. The poor shooting numbers put them No. 350 in Offensive Efficiency and this was buoyed by finishing second to last in the country in free throw shooting. They played Erskine in the first game and while it was a glorified exhibition, they shot well including 86 percent from the free throw line and that is important. Boston College lost at Florida Atlantic and it is simple, the Eagles have no business laying this number against any team. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points that were outscored by opponents by 6.5 or more ppg last season, in the first five games of the season, after a win by 30 points or more. This situation is 29-4 ATS (87.9 percent) since 2022. 10* (653) The Citadel Bulldogs |
| 11/6/2025 - College Basketball | LOSER |
This is a play on the IU INDIANAPOLIS JAGUARS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. It is another rebuild for IU Indianapolis and that includes a new head coach after Paul Corsaro was fired after just one season after a poor treatment of players. New head coach Ben Howlett comes from the Division II level and brings in a fast paced offense and high pressure defense and we saw it in the Jaguars first game as they hung 102 points on Ohio St. while shooting 50 percent while forcing 17 turnovers. They stayed well within the 34 points as they lost by only 16 points against a Big Ten team and now return home laying a very short price. Long Island opened at Notre Dame and lost by 22 points and the Sharks were only getting 15 points and while the travel spot is a decent one, they could get run out of the gym if they shoot like they did against the Irish, 38.2 percent. They are picked to win the Northeast Conference, arguably the weakest conference in the country. They rely on defense which is great against normal teams but not this one. 10* (306642) IU Indianapolis Jaguars |
| 11/5/2025 - NBA | WINNER |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City is at it again as after a win last night in Los Angeles against the Clippers, the Thunder are 8-0 to start the season, the only undefeated team in the NBA. The line is this game is telling us everything we need to know as they were favored by 7.5 points once and 8.5 points three times in their four road games and now it is only 4.5 points. Portland has shook off the adversity from all of the gambling stuff as it is off to a 4-3 start but is coming off a home loss against the Lakers on Monday. They are doing it without some key pieces, namely Scoot Henderson who is sidelined for at least eight weeks to start the season. Portland is 3-2 against the top ten so the good start has not been because of playing a soft schedule. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better after three consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 95-50 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (530) Portland Trailblazers |
| 11/5/2025 - College Basketball | LOSER |
This is a play on the TARLETON ST. TEXANS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. This is one of those great early season situational spots where we have a team that has already played a game going against a team playing its first game. Tarleton St. is coming off a game at SMU where it lost by 20 points but that score is deceiving as while SMU never trailed in the second half, the Texans cut the deficit to five points with eight minutes remaining. They had four players in double digits scoring and this is a talented team that is picked to finish No. 2 in the WAC. LSU had a miserable season last year and is picked to finish No. 13 in the 16-team SEC. Head coach Mike McMahon is on the hotseat and while this is his most talented team in his four years here, it will take time and the past editions had talent as well but he finished with just 45 wins in his first three years. Yes, this is an SEC roster but we are not sold at this number. Over the last two seasons, Tarleton St. is 19-6 ATS following a loss. 10* (643) Tarleton St. Texans |
| 11/5/2025 - College Football | WINNER |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Kent St. is coming off an upset win against Bowling Green as the Golden Flashes moved to 3-1 at home with the other two wins coming against Merrimack of the FCS and Massachusetts which is the worst team in the FBS. They hit the road where they are 0-3 and while this is the easiest test of the bunch, they have now lost 17 straight road games and are 11-55 in their last 10 plus years so it has been a struggle for a while. Since 2023, they are 3-13 ATS. Ball St. is coming off a loss at Northern Illinois as it fell to 0-5 on the road and the Cardinals are back home where they are 3-0. This includes a huge upset over Ohio and a 14-point win over Akron. This is a good spot with a good number and going back, the Cardinals are 7-0 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less while going 12-2 ATS in their 14 home games since 2023. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 with a money line of +135 to -155 off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-7 (81.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (106) Ball St. Cardinals |
| 11/4/2025 - College Basketball | WINNER |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CBB Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. Hawaii is coming off a brutal end to last season as it went 3-10 following a 12-6 start and the 15 wins were five fewer than the previous season and seven fewer than 2022-23. The Warriors brought in a couple big time transfers to help out and this team can produce at point guard, in the middle with the wins and down low. They are picked to finish third in the Big West Conference and will be a tough out here. One look at the number is going to put the public all over Oregon as seeing a number this small in nonconference can be rare. The Ducks bring back Nate Bittle and Jackson Shelstad, two double-digit scorers but the First Team All-Big Ten point guard Shelstad is out tonight. Hawaii is the sleepy play as it is a veteran team that can give Oregon fits, especially without its floor general. 10* (629) Hawaii Warriors |
| 11/4/2025 - NBA | WINNER |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Following a four-game losing streak, Toronto has won its last two games and both pretty impressive against Memphis and Cleveland by double digits. The Raptors remain home and have an early season revenge spot as they lost to Milwaukee by six points back on October 24th. They could get Jakob Poeltl back after missing three straight games as he participated in practice on Monday. Milwaukee is playing the second game of a back-to-back after winning at Indiana by a bucket last night on a buzzer beater from Giannis Antetokounmpo. This is the first back-to-back of the season for the Bucks where they went 4-11 ATS last season. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road win against a division rival, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This situation is 26-4 ATS (86.7 percent) since 2022. 10* (502) Toronto Raptors |