This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Texas is staying above water as it defeated the Athletics yesterday to move back over .500. Through his first three starts, Jacob deGrom has posted a dominant 2.87 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP while recording 22 strikeouts in just 15.2 innings pitched, continuing to show elite swing-and-miss stuff. Anytime we can get him at plus money in a pitchers park. Seattle lost at San Diego to make it three straight losses and the Mariners are now 8-12 as the offense remains near the bottom of the league in most categories. Through four starts, Logan Gilbert has posted a 4.18 ERA and while his early outings were a struggle with a 5.40 ERA through his first three games, he bounced back in his most recent start by pitching seven innings of one-run ball and we can sell high. 10* (919) Texas Rangers

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This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Toronto is coming off a 2-1 loss to drop its fifth straight series and fall to 7-11 overall. Eric Lauer opened the season with a great start against the Athletics but then got hit with the flu and was pulled early against the White Sox which carried over into his last start against the Twins where he gave up seven runs in 5.1 innings. He is now working on six days rest and is reported to be back to full health. Arizona is off to a much better start as it is 11-8 following a successful 6-3 roadtrip but we will be fading here Michael Soroka. He has a 2.87 ERA through three starts thanks to some big strikeout numbers but Toronto does not strikeout and he is pitching to a 5.79 xERA so there is regression on the way so we get good value here. 10* (929) Toronto Blue Jays

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sweet Spot. The Giants have now lost four straight games to fall to 6-12 overall and are catching a shorter than expected line so we go with contrarian value. Landen Roupp posted a 3.80 ERA last season and has put up a 3.24 ERA through his first three starts this season but what we like to see is his 2.38 xERA so there is progression in place. The Reds and Pirates now share first place in the National League Central at 11-7 following two straight wins to open this series. We like Chase Burns but after posting a 0.82 ERA in his first two outings, he gave up five runs, seven hits and four walks over 5.1 innings in a 10-2 loss to the Angels last Friday. He does still have a 3.31 ERA but is pitching to a 4.88 xERA. 10* (953) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. We are going back to the Mets tonight as they were shutout last night to make it six straight losses. We played against them last Thursday with Nolan McLean on the hill as we felt he was overvalued but still turned in a quality outing. He has a 2.70 ERA and 0.84 WHIP through three starts and has allowed two runs or less in all three games. Now the value has flipped and we catch a great number with this top prospect that had a 2.06 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with a 21.8% K:BB% in eight starts last season. The Dodgers are now 12-4 and have a two-game lead in the National League West which they likely will not give up. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is off to a solid start as he has posted a 2.50 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in three starts but is overvalued here. 10* (959) New York Mets

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This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. Arizona dropped the series opener last night as a 7-1 lead was dissipated in the sixth inning in the 9-7 loss. Merrill Kelly gets the ball as he was reinstated from the 15-day IL after recovering from left intercostal nerve irritation to make his season debut. After throwing 83 pitches in his final rehab appearance, he is expected to handle a near-full workload immediately. He is coming off a solid season with a 3.22 ERA and 1.06over 22 starts. The Orioles have won three straight games and six of their last seven to move two games over .500. Trev Rogers has opened the season with three straight quality outings with a 1.89 ERA and 1.05 WHIP but he has a 11.8% K:BB% which can come back to hurt. 10* (971) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Cubs are coming off a huge win as they overcame a 5-0 deficit to defeat the Pirates and avoid a weekend sweep and they take that momentum to open a three-game road set at Philadelphia. Javier Assad was recalled from Iowa to fill rotation spots and he made a dominant start, throwing 5.2 scoreless innings against the Rays and he showed this ability over the last two seasons before getting injured and has the breakout potential again. The Phillies have lost four of their last five games with the offense scoring just 11 runs over the four-game stretch. They are favored big because of name and Cristopher Sanchez is back home where he has been dominant the last three years but not at this price. He has a 1.65 ERA through three starts but his xERA is double that with the command being off. 10* (901) Chicago Cubs

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This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Mets had won four straight going into Wednesday but dropped the final two games against Arizona before getting swept by the Athletics over the weekend and now we have them at a buy low time. David Peterson has gotten off to a rough start this season as after a solid opener against the Pirates, he has had two bad outings against San Francisco and Arizona, allowing 10 runs in 9.1 innings and while this matchup is not ideal, he is underpriced with value. The Dodgers are off to an 11-4 start which is not surprising but the +122 overall shows the overpriced markets and they are in that spot tonight. Justin Wrobleski is a bottom of the rotation starter but is not priced that way. He is the only pitcher on the entire board with a negative K:BB% as he is -9.5% and faces a team that is ready for breakout potential. 10* (907) New York Mets

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. We are going back to the well with the White Sox again as they have dropped both games of this series on Friday and Saturday 2-0 after a 2-0 opening win on Thursday. The pitching has been great throughout and will be sending out Grant Taylor as the opener but it is about the offense that has gone 20 innings without scoring a run. Jonathan Cannon is slated for his first MLB appearance of the season after opening the season with Triple-A Charlotte. The Royals two-game winning streak came after a three-game skid and have scored just seven runs over the five games. Noah Cameron has been solid with a 1.69 ERA but is pitching to a 4.24 xERA and a below average 18.2% K:BB%. 10* (963) Chicago White Sox

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This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. We are in a buy low spot with the Astros as they have lost six straight games following a walk off lost last night as the pitching has been abysmal, allowing 8.7 rpg. They turn to Cody Bolton who has a 3.68 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in two games who backs with a cutter with high velocity and extreme cut action, a high-whiff slider, and a hard changeup that dives out of the zone and faces an offense has been one of the worst in baseball up until the last two games. Logan Gilbert gets the ball and after missing seven weeks last season with an elbow flexor strain, he entered 2026 fully healthy but has struggled with a 5.40 ERA over his first three starts and has gotten no run support. 10* (965) Houston Astros

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. The White Sox were held to two hits last night against Kris Bubic and while the matchup looks worse today, it is actually better. Michael Wacha has gotten off to an outstanding start with a 0.69 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in two starts over 13 innings but he is pitching to a 4.03 xERA which shows negative regression is coming. This regression is expected toward a seasonal ERA in the 4.30–4.50 range due to low strikeout rates and advanced metrics similar to his 4.20 xERA from last season. Erick Fedde is the opposite as after his first two games, he has a 4.09 ERA but is pitching to a 2.65 xERA as he followed Grant Taylor who was the opener last time out and he tossed six solid innings. His 1.18 WHIP backs up his solid command and while his strikeout potential is low, his K:BB% is better than Wacha. 10* (911) Chicago White Sox

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This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Texas had their chances last night but Max Muncy had something to say about it which makes the Dodgers dangerous on any given day but we have value here. Jack Leiter looks like the pitcher many were expecting after an inconsistent 2025 season but still finished with a 3.86 ERA and 1.28 WHIP and after a bad start against Kansas City on June 17, he was awesome. He has already outperformed these long-term projections in his first two starts, flashing elite breakout potential which is what we expected from the start. The Dodgers and Muncy bailed out a bad start from Tyler Glasnow and now they turn to Emmit Sheehan who has gotten off to a bad start with two poor outings as he posted an 8.00 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in two outings and the top line is not fake as he is pitching to a 6.25 xERA. 10* (929) Texas Rangers

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a huge game for both sides as Play In Tournament seedings are on the line and we give the edge to the home team. It is simple for Los Angeles as a win here and the Clippers will lock up the No. 8 seed no matter what happens on Sunday. They had a chance to lock it up Wednesday but after a short lived two-point lead over Oklahoma City at home, they were completely overmatched. They come in 19-21 on the road and have not been a good recovery team, going 2-5 ATS in their seven road games following a home loss. Portland does not clinch anything with a win but they stay alive and would also own the tiebreaker, which would make Sunday’s game against the Kings a monumental one but it starts here first. If Portland wins both games, it clinched the No. 8 seed and will open the Play In Tournament against Phoenix with two chances to earn a playoff berth. They are 6-2 ATS as home favorites of six points or fewer. 10* (528) Portland Trailblazers

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Rockies have been playing above expectations as they are 6-7 following a tough loss last night against a walk off grand slam and we have the value tonight. Tomoyuki Sugano has started the season strong with a 1-0 record, 1.69 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over 10.2 innings in two starts including a 5-strikeout performance against the Phillies last time out and he continues to demonstrate elite control with a 5.5% walk rate. While facing a Padres offense that is thought to be strong, they are not as they are No. 26 or worse across the board in batting average, OBP, SLG and OPS. Walker Buehler is severely overpriced here as he has struggled and is in the rotation largely due to injuries as he has posted a 9.45 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP in two starts. His fastball is averaging 92.9 mph, and he is working on refining his delivery to reduce a high walk rate at 15.2%. 10* (957) Colorado Rockies

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This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The White Sox are coming off a 2-0 win last night and are now 5-8 which is not ideal but they are another team that has played above early expectations as a three-game sweep in Baltimore was decided by five combined runs and we get value because of the past. Davis Martin is off to a solid start as he has a 2-0 record with a 2.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through his first two starts against Miami and Toronto and despite going against those high contact teams, he has an 18.2% K:BB%. The Royals have an identical 5-8 record and turn to Kris Bubic who was great last season with a 2.55 ERA and 1.18 WHIP but was expected for a regression this season. He had a great opening start against the Twins but struggled against the Brewers, allowing four runs on four hits and three walks over five innings and overall has just a 13.6% K:BB%. 10* (963) Chicago White Sox

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This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Braves are 8-5 following a pair of wins over the Angels to complete a 4-3 roadtrip. Bryce Elder has gotten off to a start no one saw coming and it is not going to last. Last season, he had a 5.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 28 starts and while there is positive projection expected with his ERA, his WHIP is anticipated to remain right in line with last season. There remains the big concern of a 4.54 FIP and 1.4 HR/9 over the last two seasons as the long ball has hurt him his whole career. Cleveland is an equally 8-5 as it has won three straight series including two against the Dodgers and Cubs as the pitching has been outstanding. Slade Cecconi has a 5.23 ERA through his first two starts as he was hit hard by Seattle in his opener but shut down the Cubs and he has a 1.06 WHIP overall thanks to a great BB% following last year where he was top 25. 10* (973) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Knicks are still alive for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference but the chances are very slim as they have to win out and hope the Celtics lose their final three games so it is highly unlikely. New York is also fighting with Cleveland for the No. 3 spot which could be important for home court in the latter rounds should there be upsets. The Knicks have won three straight while going back have won five straight games at home and they are 11-1 ATS this season at home after covering two or more straight games. Boston has won and covered four straight games and can clinch the No. 2 seed with a win but the line is telling and it comes with the likelihood that Jaylen Brown will be sitting this one out with an Achilles injury with Derrick White also questionable. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 39-14 (73.6 percent) since 2022. 10* (572) New York Knicks

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Sweet Spot. Nolan McLean is the heavy favorite as he has enormous expectations and is showing that promise but we cannot sleep on Eduardo Rodriguez. McLean has made two solid starts with a 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP which came after a 2.06 ERA and 1.04 WHIP last season so his career is off to the start many thought but there is value the other way and the Diamondbacks look to carry the momentum over from Wednesday. In his season debut, Rodriguez held the Dodgers scoreless in five innings with one unearned run scored after his exit, allowing four hits and striking out five and he followed that up by throwing seven shutout innings against the Braves with three strikeouts and only one walk. His velocity is up and that can be attributed to arriving at spring training around 25 pounds lighter that last year so he could be prime for a breakout and we are seeing what he is capable of. 10* (903) Arizona Diamondbacks