This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. It has been a miserable season for Kansas St. as it entered as a contender in the Big 12 Conference but opened with a loss against Iowa St. in Ireland and could never find its footing after that. The Wildcats are 4-5 following a loss against Texas Tech but they are coming off a bye at the perfect time so they could take a breath and close the season strong. The rout at the hands of the Red Raiders was the only bad game as the other four losses were by one possession and this is the get right game before travelling to Utah next week. The offense has been inconsistent at No. 97 in EPA but this is where they break out. Oklahoma St. just wants this season to end as they have lost eight straight games with their only win coming against FCS Tennessee Martin and only one loss has been by less than 17 points. Here, we play on road teams in conference games in the second half of the season averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yppl going up against teams allowing 6.2 or more yppl. This situation is 43-14 ATS (75.4 percent) since 2021. 10* (367) Kansas St. Wildcats

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is it for Notre Dame as a win here and they are in the playing barring a complete meltdown in one of their final two games against Syracuse or Stanford where they will be favored by at least four touchdowns in each. The Irish shook off their two early losses against Miami and Texas A&M to win their last seven games but the schedule has been in their favor as all of the tougher games have been at home. They have only played two road games over this span and those were against Arkansas and Boston College which are both winless in their respective conferences and a combined 2-16 overall. They are a big favorite here because of the logo on the jersey. Pittsburgh is very much in play for the ACC Championship and while this is not a conference game, it is Notre Dame so there is no lookahead. Here, we play on home teams after four or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) since 2016. 10* (352) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS as part of our CFB Early Three-Pack. Connecticut is going to be a very popular play this week based on the fact they are coming off an upset win over Duke to move to 7-3 but that is the reason we are going against them. The Huskies crown could be the first ever to storm a field after beating Duke but they did and that is the next game auto-fade. The three losses for Connecticut have all been in overtime so a few bounces or a coin flip difference could have made it 10-0 and now we are seeing the line go the other way and under the key number seven which the public will love. Air Force saved their season with a win over San Jose St. last week to move to 3-6 so they have to win out and with New Mexico and Colorado St. remaining, it is more than possible. The Falcons have been playing better since October as they are 2-3 with the three losses all by three points. Here, we play on road teams after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, in November games. This situation is 55-24 ATS (69.6 percent) since 2021. 10* (321) Air Force Falcons

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This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN as part of our CFB Early Three-Pack. Navy is coming off a loss at Notre Dame in a game that meant nothing except rivalry pride and the Midshipmen made the right move by scratching quarterback Blake Horvath right before the game to get him healthy for the remainder of the American schedule. The Midshipmen are 5-1 in the conference which is good for solo first place by a half-game and after this, they are at Memphis so they have to win out to have a shot at the championship game and even that still would not be guaranteed. They are a huge home underdog and it is an overlay with a lot of that based on the South Florida love and the fact Navy is 0-6 ATS in its last six games so this is the contrarian take spot. The Bulls rolled over UTSA last Thursday and they remain in good shape to make the championship, especially with closing against UAB and Rice. They are just 2-2 on the road and are another team in a sell high spot and going back, they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after covering three of their last four games. 10* (336) Navy Midshipmen

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This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES as part of our CFB Early Three-Pack. Michigan is still very much alive for a shot at the Big Ten Championship and a spot in the CFP and it should easily win the next two games and it gets to host Ohio St. in the season finale. We have seen this number rise from an opening of 9.5 but it is still in a good range even though the Wolverines have not been able to blow anyone out and this is almost a contrarian side even though it is on a typical public team. Two conference wins were by five points or less while the other three were by 14, 17 and 11 points but the Wolverines are coming off their bye week to try and get things in order for the stretch run. Northwestern had won four straight games but has lost its last two and of its five wins, it is hard to pick out a good one as none were impressive or against a good team. Here, we play on teams on a neutral field after failing to cover the spread in four out of their last five games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in two out of their last three games. This situation is 24-13 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (387) Michigan Wolverines

This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Gonzaga is expected to win the West Coast Conference in its final season before heading to the revamped Pac 12 Conference next season. The Bulldogs are off to a 3-0 start and while wins over Oklahoma and Creighton look good on paper, those were at home and the former is expected to struggle now it is time for Gonzaga to hit the road for the first time. Only one starter is back for the Bulldogs as they lost six key contributors from last season which was a down year by their standards. Arizona St. had a miserable season last year as it went 13-20 including 4-16 in the Big 12 conference and this is a make or break season for head coach Bobby Hurley who is entering his 11th season with this being his last year of his contract. It is a rebuild with only one player back but the Sun Devils did excellent in the transfer portal with a veteran group and are getting a number based on last season. Here, we play on home teams in the first five games of the season, after closing out last season with 10 or more losses in their last 12 games going up against an opponent, after closing out last season with eight or more wins in their last 10 games. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 2017 with a scoring differential of +9.7 ppg. 10* (884) Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the second game of a two-game set in San Antonio between the Spurs and Warriors with Golden St. taking the first meeting by five points on Wednesday thanks to 46 points from Stephen Curry. This is the revenge spot and after that game closed at 3.5, this one opened at two and has been slightly bet up. The Warriors moved back over .500 with the victory as they had dropped five of seven games prior to that with both wins coming at home where they are 5-0. They remain on the road where they are 2-6 and getting outscored by 9.3 ppg and outshot by close to seven percent from the floor. Going back to last season, the Warriors are 2-16 ATS in their last 18 games coming off a win by six points or less. The Spurs fell to 8-3 with the loss and that was their first home loss of the season after opening 5-0. San Antonio is close to full health with rookie Dylan Harper the only player on the shelf and the Spurs have now had De'Aaron Fox for three games. Taking Harper out of the mix, the Spurs have seven other players averaging double digits in scoring. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 173-105 ATS (62.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (518) San Antonio Spurs

This is a play on the MONTANA GRIZZLIES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Montana tied for first place in the Big Sky Conference regular season before rolling through the conference tournament and earning an NCAA Tournament bid where it lost to Wisconsin. The Grizzlies are the favorites to take the title again and will look to build off a big win. They opened the season with a pair of non-Division I wins before getting hammered at Stanford by 21 points but bounced back with a nine-point upset at UNLV. Montana has the best player on the floor in Money Williams who is the preseason Big Sky Player of the Year and is coming off a 30-point game against the Rebels. Cal Poly is coming off a 16-win season which was a huge turnaround after winning 23 games in the previous four seasons combined and the Mustangs are expected to be competitive again. However, they lost nine seniors so they are inexperienced with only one starter back and a roster full of freshmen and sophomores. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 76 or more ppg after allowing 90 points or more going up against teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg. This situation is 109-61 ATS (64.1 percent) since 1998 with a scoring differential of +9.5 ppg. 10* (870) Montana Grizzlies

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Star Attraction. Colorado is coming off its worst season in the 15 years under head coach Tad Boyle as it went 14-21 overall including 3-17 and a last place finish in the Big 12 Conference. This line is partially reflecting that as well as the fact the Buffaloes are coming off an overtime win over Eastern Washington as a 15.5-point favorite. This is going to be a much improved team and their home floor is still meaningful, which was the case even last season where 11 of their 14 wins occurred as they went 0-10 in true road games. Providence is coming off a rough season as well as it went 12-20 overall including 6-14 in the Big East Conference. A big reason was the loss of Bryce Hopkins three games into the season and used a medical redshirt to return this season but jumped ship to St. John’s and the Friars have only one starter back. They are 2-1 with the loss at Virginia Tech on Saturday before routing Penn 106-81 on Tuesday. Now it is a quick turnaround in a big travel spot. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 77 or more ppg on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1998 with a scoring differential of +4.5 ppg. 10* (864) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Louisville lost its chance to make it back to the ACC Championship or to the CFP with its overtime loss to California when they were fully still in both before last weekend. But they can still reach 10 wins during the regular season if they win out so we have to figure out if that is motivation enough and if this was any other opponent, we would say no but it is Clemson. The Cardinals defeated Clemson last season for the first time ever after eight losses and they want to start their own streak. They have a massive edge on defense as they are still No. 8 in EPA with Clemson sitting No. 57. The last time Louisville lost in overtime this season, it responded with three straight wins and we expect a strong finish. As disappointing as last week was for the Cardinals, the same can be said for the entire season for the Tigers. They finally picked up a home conference win after four straight home ACC games going back to last season and with that off their back, now they have to hit the road for the first time after three straight home games with a bye thrown in there. Here, we play on home teams averaging 16 or more ppg in the first half, after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 2021. 10* (316) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Louisville lost its chance to make it back to the ACC Championship or to the CFP with its overtime loss to California when they were fully still in both before last weekend. But they can still reach 10 wins during the regular season if they win out so we have to figure out if that is motivation enough and if this was any other opponent, we would say no but it is Clemson. The Cardinals defeated Clemson last season for the first time ever after eight losses and they want to start their own streak. They have a massive edge on defense as they are still No. 8 in EPA with Clemson sitting No. 57. The last time Louisville lost in overtime this season, it responded with three straight wins and we expect a strong finish. As disappointing as last week was for the Cardinals, the same can be said for the entire season for the Tigers. They finally picked up a home conference win after four straight home ACC games going back to last season and with that off their back, now they have to hit the road for the first time after three straight home games with a bye thrown in there. Here, we play on home teams averaging 16 or more ppg in the first half, after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 2021. 10* (316) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the INDIANA ST. SYCAMORES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Duke is coming off an embarrassment from head coach Jon Scheyer who ran up the score against Army in the 55-point win as the Blue Devils put up 65 second half points. They are 3-0 to start the season and are ranked No. 1 at KenPom while sitting No. 1 in the early NET rankings but this is the sleepy spot to play against them. The win over Army on Veterans Day in a game in which they honored former head coach Mike Krzyzewski was a big deal and up next for the Blue Devils is a game against Kansas at MSG so this is the sandwich spot to play against them in a sell high spot with an overinflated number. Indiana St. is coming off a 14-win rebuilding season after winning 32 games in 2023-24 and while they seem to be no match here, this is an experienced and balanced team with three starters back. The Sycamores have eight players averaging at least 13 minutes and five scoring at least 9.3 ppg. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game going up against an opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) since 2022 with a scoring differential of -12.9 ppg. 10* (841) Indiana St. Sycamores