This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Saturday Late Night Powerhouse. California was a pleasant surprise in its first season in the ACC and while it went only 2-6 in conference games, five of the losses were by one possession and by an average of just 3.4 ppg so while losses are losses, the Golden Bears were the most competitive losing team in the ACC. They are 2-0 to start the season with a decisive win over Oregon St. on the road in their opener and then took out Texas Southern 35-3 last week. The offensive line was one of the worst in the country but the good news is that only one starter is back which is not usually a good thing but it is in this case. Quarterback Fernando Mendoza transferred out and he will be missed but the Golden Bears are hoping true freshman Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele can continue his early success. California is 13-5 ATS as a home underdog since 2017. Minnesota is an overpriced road favorite as it is 2-0 with a closer than expected win over Buffalo and a blowout of Northwestern St. of the FCS last week and now travel cross country and we know how that goes for these Big 10 teams. 10* (196) California Golden Bears

This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Utah is coming off one of the most disappointing seasons of any team last season as injuries did the Utes in and now they are the talk of the Big 12, being the favorites to win the conference according to many. That may be the case and we will find out how they fare next week when they host Texas Tech, another favorite, so there is the gool old lookahead here and coming off a glorified exhibition against Cal Poly and along with a win over UCLA, they own a 106-19 scoring differential. Utah is a 12.5-point favorite according to Sagarin so this is a massive line discrepancy and the home team is filled with value. Wyoming is also 2-0, winning ugly at Akron 10-0 and rolling over Northern Iowa last week 31-7 and this is a tough home field despite going 1-5 last season in a dreadful 3-9 rebuilding season although four of those home losses were by 13 points combined including a four-point loss against Boise St. at this same number. It is now year two for head coach Jay Sawvel as he has a very experienced offense to work with. 10* (186) Wyoming Cowboys

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Louisiana Tech came through for us last week as it stayed within the massive number against LSU and while that was more of a play against the Tigers and their letdown from the win over Clemson, it was also backing a solid Bulldogs team. They are contenders in Conference USA as they are picked right behind Liberty and play host to their first conference game of the season and this one will not be taken lightly. Louisiana Tech lost at New Mexico St. last season in double overtime by three points and also lost to them at home in 2023 by three points, the only two meetings since the Aggies entered the conference in 2023 so they are playing with double revenge. New Mexico St. is coming off a 3-9 season and have just nine starters back and while it is off to a 2-0 start, it has not been impressive with wins over Bryant of the FCS and Tulsa by a combined 23 points against two bad teams which is backed up by their No. 240 schedule ranking. Their first 2-0 start in a decade is a farce and this has blowout potential. 10* (178) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. The Giants came through last night in extra innings with a walk off grand slam in the tenth inning in what could be a huge victory as the season winds down for playoff spots. With the Mets losing again, San Francisco is only a half-game behind New York for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Giants turn to their ace tonight as Logan Webb has been on a roll with a 2.03 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over his last five starts. The Giants have been an underdog in his starts only three times and they are a perfect 3-0 in those games, beating the Yankees, Dodgers and Brewers by a combined score of 18-7. The Dodgers returned home from a 1-5 roadtrip and got the perfect opponent to get right as they welcomed Colorado for three games and that resulted in a sweep. Los Angeles dropped another road game and brings in a 34-39 road record where they have dropped 24 units as the overpricing has been evident. Clayton Kershaw continues to defy father time as he brings in a 3.27 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 19 starts and while his road numbers are slightly better, the Dodgers are 6-4 in his 10 road starts with a win over the Mets being the only one against a winning team. 10* (908) San Francisco Giants

<p>

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Time is starting to run out for Kansas City as it had a chance to split with Cleveland on Thursday but blew a 2-1 lead in the eighth inning and then dropped the opener of this series last night. The Royals are back to .500 after having dropped five of their last six games, scoring two runs or less in all five, and they are now six games back for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Ryan Bergert is coming off his worst start since coming over from San Diego, his first start allowing more than three runs in 14 outings so we expect a bounce back. The Phillies have won five straight games following the Friday win which came after a four-game sweep of the Mets and their magic number for winning the National League East is down to three games. Philadelphia currently holds the No. 2 seed in the National League, which would give it a first-round bye and home-field advantage through the National League Division Series. The Phillies got a great start from Walker Buehler in his Phillies debut and turn to Taijuan Walker tonight who has struggled of late with a 7.80 ERA over his last three starts and while those were on the road, he brings in a 4.25 ERA in 14 home games including eight starts. 10* (923) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Saturday Signature Enforcer. We are backing Liberty again after it failed to win let alone cash for us in a 34-24 loss to Jacksonville St. It was a very skewed final score as the Gamecocks pulled out the 10-point upset win but were outgained 534-390. The Flames turned the ball over on two of their first four possessions which led to 14 Gamecocks points and they also turned the ball over on downs twice. Their four scoring drives were 95, 69, 72 and 82 yards but the mistakes were too much to overcome. No mistakes, or at least cut them down, means an easy win here against an overmatched Falcons team. Bowling Green is coming off a 14-point loss at Cincinnati and while it was outgained by just 439-372 but the Bearcats ran 18 fewer plays and outgained the Falcons by 3.0 yppl. They opened the season with an uninspiring win over Lafayette of the FCS 26-7 as they managed only 265 yards of offense. They had 15 returning starters last season but just six this year and are ranked No. 131 in the country in experience. 10* (151) Liberty Flames

This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Dog Pack SWEEP. Oregon St. came up small for us last week as it lost by nine points against Fresno St. and that is what is being taken into consideration with this line but that was a misleading final score. Oregon St. doubled up the Bulldogs with first downs 30-15 and outgained them 528-318 but had two costly interceptions, one at the Fresno St. 34-yard line before halftime and the other near the end of the game as the Beavers were trying to drive for the winning score but gave up the pick six. Their five scoring drives were all 68 yards or more as they were able to control the clock by close to 15 more minutes while running 37 more plays. It is these misleading finals that we can take advantage of and that is why it is imperative to look at every boxscore. Texas Tech has rolled in its first two games but has played no one and their schedule is ranked No. 253 out of 265 FBS AND FCS teams. This team is loaded with talent but they are not going to show much here as they have a massive game at Utah next week. 10* (137) Oregon St. Beavers

<p>

This is a play on the MISSOURI ST. BEARS as part of our CFB Afternoon Dog Pack SWEEP. Missouri St. won its first ever FBS game in just its second try in what was a skewed final score as it jumped out to a 7-0 lead but the Thundering Herd scored the next 20 points. The Bears cut it to six points midway through the third quarter and then went 80 yards in nine plays and scored the go ahead touchdown with 2:12 remaining. Marshall then turned it over on downs as it managed only three yards. Missouri St. won the yardage battle 474-274 but missed two field goals and were sacked six times so it could have been a bigger win but the one point victory gives us value here. Baylor and SMU played an epic game last week as the Mustangs led by 14 points in the fourth quarter but Baylor came back and tied the game with 34 seconds left and then won in double overtime as the Mustangs missed the tying field goal. Baylor outgained SMU 601-458 so this is a tough recovery spot and making it tougher is the fact the Mustangs are at TCU next week for the 104th meeting of the Iron Skillet rivalry. 10* (142) Missouri St. Bears

<p>

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES as part of our CFB Afternoon Dog Pack SWEEP. Arkansas St. got rolled by Arkansas in their first ever meeting last week although the Red Wolves hung around for a little bit. They returned a kickoff for a touchdown to make it 14-7 and then scored early in the second quarter to pull within 14 points at 28-14 but the Razorbacks took over by scoring 28 unanswered points. It was dominant as Arkansas outgained the Red Wolves 630-285 and that is going to deter bettors backing them this week but this line is nonsense as they were getting 23.5 points on the road last week and now catching 21 points at home against a team with a lower power ranking than Arkansas. Iowa St. is coming off a win over Iowa to capture its first home CyHawk win since 2011 so this is a big letdown spot. This is the first true road game of the season for the Cyclones and while they are our pick to win the Big 12 Conference, this certainly does not qualify and with a bye next week, it just wants to get out with a win without piling it on and showing too much for conference foes. 10* (146) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS as part of our CFB Saturday Early Three-Pack SWEEP. Oklahoma came through for us last week as it won and covered at home against Michigan which was the only real marquee matchup of the weekend. The Sooners now head east to take on Temple, a team they beat 51-3 last season in their first game of the year and laying a massive number in trying to repeat. This time around, there are spots on both ends of the schedule that makes this a tough spot to lay any lumber as they are coming off that huge home win in a great night environment and have a game on deck next week they are looking ahead to as they host Auburn, the team former quarterback Jackson Arnold bolted to after last season. Temple is 2-0 with a pair of blowout wins over Massachusetts and Howard which are nothing special but the program looks and feels different with new head coach K.C. Keeler. There is a huge disparity in schedules but that is taken into account and Oklahoma comes in 4-11 ATS in its last 15 road games when favored by two or more touchdowns. 10* (116) Temple Owls

<p>

This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Early Three-Pack SWEEP. Oregon took last week very personal after Oklahoma St. head coach Mike Gundy seemed to put down the program based on their spending ability and the Ducks took it to the field and came away with a 69-3 annihilation. And it has not stopped there as they were chirping a lot during the week so we get the letdown aspect to go against. Oregon scored on its second play from scrimmage and never looked back as the Ducks racked up 631 total yards while gaining 10.2 yppl. It was the epitome of balance with 312 yards rushing and 319 yards passing and they scored a touchdown on eight of their first 10 possessions with the exceptions being a missed field goal and a turnover on downs and bettors will be all over that. The problem? The Civil War against Oregon St. is next week. Northwestern opened with a loss at Tulane and took that out on Western Illinois last week and the Wildcats get the benefit of hosting a west coast team at 12ET. Big overpriced number in a bad situation. 10* (118) Northwestern Wildcats

<p>

This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE as part of our CFB Saturday Early Three-Pack SWEEP. A quick lesson in line comparison. Even though Alabama lost at Florida St., it was favored by 13.5 points on the road and now back home against another P4 team, the Tide are laying just over a touchdown more and against a much worse team than the Seminoles. We think that loss put some fire under some players you know what, as the Tide looked bored and lethargic in Tallahassee and they responded with a 73-0 win against Louisiana Monroe last week. It is a big step up in competition but are laying less that two touchdowns less in a spot that sets up great as Alabama has a bye on deck with Georgia after that so they want to keep things smooth here. Head Kalen DeBoer is 16-3 ATS in his 19 nonconference games here, at Washington and Fresno St. Wisconsin is 2-0 with wins over Miami Ohio and Middle Tennessee St. so the Badgers have not been tested until now. The 10 points allowed is impressive but this defense is going to be exposed, similar to how it allowed 42 points at home last year against Alabama. 10* (126) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Arizona opened a +1.5 underdog against Kansas St. in most spots but moved through 0 to a -1 favorite and has since reversed back to the Wildcats being favored. Kansas St. is in shambles right now and this game could send them down a bigger spiral. The Wildcats opened with a loss against Iowa St. in Dublin before coming home and being taken down to the wire against North Dakota and then losing to Army last week. That is a brutal stretch with no break and now the Wildcats hit the road for the first time in what is not a Big 12 Conference game as it was scheduled before Arizona joined the conference. The Wildcats are 2-0 with a pair of blowout wins over Hawaii and Weber St. of the FBS so they have not been tested so we are basing this on power rating and Arizona is actually higher in both sets right now. This is a very veteran team coming off a 4-8 season and the Wildcats are No. 13 in the country in experience. Kansas St. is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games after playing a game at home. 10* (110) Arizona Wildcats

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We went against a Brewers streak on Wednesday, fading Freddy Peralta and his 29-inning scoreless streak and we will fade another one tonight. Milwaukee opened its roadtrip with a sweep in Pittsburgh but then gave it right back by getting swept in Texas. The Brewers are back home with a two-game lead over the Phillies for the best record in the National League and we sell high here. Following a 5-2 win over Pittsburgh, the Brewers have won 14 consecutive starts from Quinn Priester and this is now the time right. We faded him and Milwaukee in that game which was his fourth straight start coming on the road and now back home, we are getting better value considering he has been better on the road in 15 starts as at home, he has a 3.79 ERA which is still very good but not to the level of good enough to having not lost since May. Eight of the 14 games have been quality outings which is a low percentage and he has benefited from good offense as he has gotten 5.5 rpg during this winning stretch. St. Louis was also swept to open the week at Seattle and we buy low. We can also go contrarian the other way as the Cardinals had been 1-11 in 12 starts with Andre Pallante on the hill but did win his last outing, a 3-2 victory over San Francisco at home. 10* (953) St. Louis Cardinals

<p>

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Dodgers returned home from a 1-5 roadtrip and got the perfect opponent to get right as they welcomed Colorado for three games and that resulted in a sweep. Los Angeles is now back on the road for a quick three-game trip before hosting the Phillies and the Dodgers bring in a 34-38 road record where they have dropped 22.5 units as the overpricing has been evident. Yoshinobu Yamamoto was one out away from a no-hitter at Baltimore last time out and he has a 2.61 ERA over 27 starts including a 2.33 ERA in 16 road outings. But the wins have not been on plane with the pitching success as the Dodgers are just 15-12 overall and 9-7 on the road in his starts while going 7-7 overall as favorites of -125 or higher. The Giants took two of three against Arizona and are two games over .500 which has them 1.5 games behind the Mets for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. We have faded Justin Verlander numerous times because he is usually overpriced based on his name but now that value has switched and he is throwing his best in the stretch run for the Giants. He has been better at home all season with a 3.89 ERA in 14 starts and this is after opening with two bad outings so take those out and he has a 3.26 ERA in his last 12 home outings. 10* (958) San Francisco Giants

<p>

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Tigers took two of three against the Yankees and remain a half-game behind Toronto for the best record in the American League and continue the roadtrip this weekend. They come in as big favorites Friday for obvious reasons and we are fading as they are just four games over .500 away from home and we go where the value lies. Tarik Skubal remains the Cy Young favorite in the American League over Garrett Crochet with his 2.10 ERA and 0.86 WHIP through 28 starts and while his numbers are better on the road, the wins are not coming as he is 9-1 at home but just 4-3 on the road and this could be that sleepy spot as the Tigers would have liked to have moved him up to have faced New York. It has been another down season for Miami which was expected but to their credit, they have exceeded expectations as they had an over/under win total of 63.5 and have already gone over that. Sandy Alcantara is in his initial season off Tommy John surgery and it has not been good but he has been getting back into form which is great news for next season. He has posted a 3.43 and 1.08 WHIP over his last 10 starts which includes a 2.45 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his last five outings while putting up a 33:6 K:BB ratio and this number is based on the overall picture and not recent form. 10* (972) Miami Marlins

This is a play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime. Washington came away with a win and cover over the Giants in Week One and while we see the 21 points and may not be impressed, it was pretty good. The Commanders faced a tough defense and still put up 432 yards which was the second highest amount, trailing only Buffalo, but the clutch execution was not quite there as they went 4-11 on third down to go along with 12 penalties. Clean that up and it would have been a rout. As a Giants fan, I watched the entire game and was impressed with Washington, not that a team that went to the NFC Championship should not be impressive but they got so lucky last season but this team is sound and now catching anything more than a field goal is a gift. Washington is 11-3 outright in its last 14 games following a win. The Packers were our comp play last week and they looked great against Detroit and this is where overreaction Week Two starts. Yes, this is a very good team but they are getting the Week One credit and it is evidenced in the number. Green Bay has not improved in the span of an offseason with little changes, yes aware of Micah Parsons, but this was more of an issue for the Lions and their coordinator changes. The Packers have been one of the best early week teams in the league but there is too much credit given here even with the home field edge. 10* (103) Washington Commanders