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2-0 MLB SWEEP Friday! MLB on a 43-38 (+$4,410) Run! Fargo has TWO Winners Friday in a Double Play as he goes for another PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP so get on it! Football is right around the corner off a NFL +$13,010 season.

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HANDICAPPER RESULTS FOR: Matt Fargo
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641060.0%

DateW/L
7/4/2024 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Afternoon Triple Play. The Cubs are struggling as they have dropped the first two games of this series to make it three straight losses and since May 13, they are 15-31 and have gone from contending with the Brewers in the National League Central to sitting six games out in the Wild Card standings. There has been no offense as they have scored five runs or more only five times in their last 26 games and since this May 13 runs, the Cubs are No. 27 in wOBA, ISO and BABIP and they have another horrible matchup here. The Phillies certainly miss Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber but they continue to roll along as their pitching more than makes up for it. Since getting roughed up in Boston and Baltimore, they have allowed three runs or less in nine of 13 games and they lead baseball by a lot with a 3.6 WAR and 2.47 FIP while their 2.54 ERA is second behind the Braves. Cristopher Sanchez was one of the victims earlier against Boston where he allowed four runs over four innings but he has regained his dominance with a 0.39 ERA over his last three starts including a complete game shutout in his last start. Granted, that was against Miami but the Cubs offense is not much better at this point and he remains in the top 25 percentile in the league in xwOBA, xSLG, xISO, Brl% and EV and we are not concerned about his home/road splits against this offense. Jameson Taillon is having a fantastic season with a 3.03 ERA but has not been as close to dominant. Some of his advanced numbers are not good in this matchup as his K%, Whiff% and GB% have fallen into the 25th percentile. 10* (905) Philadelphia Phillies

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This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Afternoon Triple Play. The Yankees are the biggest public bet this afternoon after losing the first two games of this series and while they could do no wrong not that long ago, they are in a major funk having gone 5-13 over their last 18 games. They have given up first place in the American League East as they trail Baltimore by two games as the offense has gone away. New York is No. 23 in wOBA during this stretch but the pitching has been even worse with a 4.42 xFIP which is No. 28 in baseball since June 13. The Reds are back to four games under .500 and right in the Wild Card mix in the National League. They have gotten to within a game of .500 on the road and after catching big numbers in the first two games of this series, they are getting another one today. Marcus Stroman has been a candidate for negative regression for a while as his top line number are totally skewed. His Barrell% and Hard Hit% are still top third but everything else is bottom of the rotation stuff. His ERA sits at a solid 3.29 but he has a 4.34 xERA and his velocity numbers keep coming down and as the season progresses, this will be more of a concern. He has been better on the road than at home with his 4.11 ERA at Yankee Stadium being similar to his overall expected numbers. Frankie Montas has been nothing special but he keeps Cincinnati in games as he has been a victim of bad luck. The Reds have lost nine of his last 10 starts with five of those by one run, including two in extra innings and two more by two runs and this is a run we love going against contrarian style. 10* (925) Cincinnati Reds

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This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Afternoon Triple Play. Texas avoided the roadtrip sweep with an 11-2 win over Baltimore on Sunday and then won the opener of this series 7-0 before allowing the final four runs last night in a 6-4 loss. The Rangers are well outside the playoffs right now but with half a season left and numerous players on their way back from injury, this will be a team to watch. San Diego is back to four games over .500 and in second place in the National League Wild Card standings and have a tough matchup here, similar to the one they had against Nathan Eovaldi. I do not like paying up for a name but I do not think we are in this case. Max Scherzer will be here to help Texas get back into the postseason and he knows he is not going to be dealt and that is a huge mental thing so there is 100 percent focus at the task at hand. He was obviously a small underdog in Baltimore but in his season debut, he closed -155 against Kansas City and now he is a smaller favorite against a Padres team that is no better than the Royals but more based on public perception. Scherzer has been solid through two starts and the one thing that has hurt him over the years is home runs and San Diego in ranked No. 20 with its active roster. Michael King has been a great addition to the Padres rotation, coming over from the Juan Soto trade, as he has a 3.61 ERA and 1.27 WHIP through 18 games but his command is an issue. He has a high K% but he is bottom third in baseball in BB% and the home runs are an issue which is not ideal heading to this hitter park. 10* (930) Texas Rangers

 
7/3/2024 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We lost with the Pirates last night but will come back with them here in a better matchup and at a better price. Pittsburgh is four games under .500 and firmly in the mix for the National League Wild Card where it is 3.5 games out. The Pirates are two games under .500 at home and the average record does nothing more than keep this number down in an excellent pitching matchup for them. St. Louis got the road win following a successful 7-3 homestand which has currently put the Cardinals into that No. 3 spot in the National League Wild Card standings. They are four games over .500 overall but two games under .500 on the road. Miles Mikolas got off to a very slow start but then put a run together of seven straight starts of allowing three runs or fewer before giving up four runs against the Giants two starts back and then got roughed up by the Reds as he allowed nine runs on 12 hits in 4.1 innings and these could indicate something is not right. He has a great BB% but is in the bottom third of most advanced categories including xSLG, Barrell Rate, Hard Hit% and K% with his velocity bring right around or below the 25th percentile for all pitches. Jared Jones has had a great rookie season in the shadow of Paul Skenes. He has a 3.66 ERA and 1.10 WHIP though 15 starts and that is skewed by two starts on the road in Detroit and Colorado where he allowed 11 runs in nine innings. He has been great at home with a 2.20 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in eight starts with seven of those being quality outings. His advanced numbers predict this to keep going as he is in the top 80 percentile in K%, Whiff%, Chase% and FB Vel. 10* (952) Pittsburgh Pirates

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This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The White Sox lost a tough one last night 7-6 on a sacrifice fly in the ninth inning which was their second straight loss following a three-game winning streak. The pitching has been the issue the last two games and they hope to get that reversed tonight in what is a good matchup. Cleveland continues to dominate at home as it has now won seven straight to improve to a league-best 27-9 so they have been money here but to fade, we have to find the right spot and this is one of those and at a great price. The Guardians are in the top half of the league in most batting metrics but not really dominating, ranked No. 11 in xOBA and WAR. The pitching has led the way and has been fortunate in some ways as they lead baseball with a 77.4 percent LOB%. Erick Fedde is having the best season of his career after spending his first six seasons in Washington, new scenery is paying off. He has a 3.23 ERA and 3.48 xERA so he is pitching to his abilities and he is in the top 25 percentile in xwOBA, xOBP, Hard Hit% and Walk% which are all key factors for keeping runners off base which contributes to his 1.14 WHIP. He has been better at home but his road numbers are getting much better as he has a 2.88 ERA over his last four road outings, all quality starts. Gavin Williams is set to make his season debut tonight after missing the first half of the season with a right elbow issue that incurred in spring training. Williams went 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 17 innings over five starts for Columbus and one for Double-A Akron and he will certainly be monitored. 10* (963) Chicago White Sox

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This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Mariners were shutout last night as the offense could get nothing going against Grayson Rodriguez as they managed only two hits overall but we expect a lot more tonight. Seattle has now lost three straight games and six of its last eight and has seen its lead shrink to three games over the Astros in the American League West. The Mariners are still 28-15 at home and in a great matchup. Baltimore has won five of its last six games following a five-game losing streak and coupled with the Yankees loss, the Orioles have a one game lead in the American League East over New York. Dean Kremer will be activated off the injured list to start Wednesday night against the Mariners which is a welcome sight for a rotation that has been hammered with injuries yet despite this, the Orioles are second in baseball with a rotation ERA of 3.26. Kremer posted a 4.32 ERA in nine starts before suffering a triceps strain that landed him on the 15-day IL in late May and he will be brought back slowly. We cannot expect much anyway as he is dead last on the team with a .363 xwOBA and 5.29 xERA. The Mariners wasted the effort from George Kirby last night and they hop to not do the same with Logan Gilbert. He has a 2.72 ERA and 0.88 WHIP through 17 starts and those numbers drop slightly at home where he has made eight starts with a 2.70 ERA and 0.79 WHIP, seven of which have been quality outings, to go along with a 55:7 K:BB ratio. He is top 15 in numerous advanced metric categories and continues to fly under the radar and even though he is in a tough matchup, he continues his dominance. 10* (974) Seattle Mariners

 
7/2/2024 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Pittsburgh is coming off a 3-3 roadtrip to remain three games under .500 and firmly in the mix for the National League Wild Card where it is three games out. The Pirates are back home where they are one game under .500 and the average record do nothing more than keep this number down in an excellent pitching matchup for them. St. Louis hits the road following a successful 7-3 homestand which has currently put the Cardinals into that No. 3 spot in the National League Wild Card standings. They are three games over .500 overall but three games under .500 on the road. Mitch Keller has had a phenomenal season with a 3.20 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 16 starts which includes nine quality outings. His advanced numbers are not off the charts but most are well above average and his xERA of 3.84 is close to inline with his normal ERA. He has a 37 percent Hard Hit Rate which is actually best among starters and he goes up against a pretty watered down lineup that is ranked in the bottom third in OPS, SLG, wOBA and wRC so the Cardinals are not producing much. Kyle Gibson has pitched to a 3.70 ERA this season but he is not a top end starter and his advanced numbers reflect that. There are 15 advanced categories we look at, some weighed for than others and he is in the top 50 percentile in only two of those while sitting in the bottom 30 percentile in nine of those. He has a 4.84 xERA which is the worst among qualifies starters on the staff, while his 2.14 K:BB ratio is also the worst. 10* (902) Pittsburgh Pirates

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This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Tampa Bay has been playing a lot better of late as it has won its last four series, going 8-4 over that stretch to get back to .500 on the season which is getting it back in the Wild Card race in the American League. The Rays are still four games out so there is not a lot of wiggle room and the team they are chasing is the opponent night. Kansas City was going through a tough stretch where it went 3-11 over a 14-game stretch but the Royals returned home last week and went 5-2 in the first two series including taking three of four against Cleveland. They remain home where they are 30-16 which is the third best home record in all of baseball and they need to keep taking advantage. Brady Singer is back to his 2022 form when he posted a 3.23 ERA across 27 games including 24 starts as he has put up a 3.12 ERA through his first 16 outings. He has made only three poor starts which have been spaced out, his latest coming against the Yankees four games back. His 15.7 percent K-BB% is second in the rotation behind Cole Ragans and he has been even better at home where he brings in a 2.80 ERA in nine outings. Zack Littell is having a decent yet unspectacular season as he has posted a 4.17 ERA in 16 starts which is the most in his career and he has nearly surpassed his career high in innings pitched in a season. One strength he has had this season is a low walk rate as he has issued just 16 free passes but initiating contract against a Royals offense is a problem. He leads the team Hard Hit Balls and Barrells and hitting the road is not ideal where he has posted a 5.13 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in seven starts. 10* (920) Kansas City Royals

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This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Angels were on a six-game winning streak prior to a 7-6 loss against the Tigers on Sunday and while all of those games were at home, Los Angeles have been a better road team than a home team this season. Oakland is coming off a 1-5 roadtrip to add to its 1-7 skid and going back further, the Athletics have lost 17 of their last 21 games. They return home where they have been better than their play on the road but are in another difficult spot here. Jose Soriano gets the ball for the Angels and he is having a stellar season, his first as a starter after spending all of last season in the bullpen. He has an excellent matchup here as he owns the No. 15 highest ground-ball rates in baseball at 60.8 percent out of 410 pitchers, keeping his Expected Batting Average down to .233 and he leads the starting staff in FIP and xFIP. Oakland is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball against right-handed pitching with a .655 OPS which is No. 27. Mitch Spence will be making his ninth start after opening the season in the bullpen. He opened solid but he has regressed with a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts and while positive progression is expected, it is not significant and Oakland has won just one of his first eight starts. He has been better at home but not significantly and while the Angels offense has struggled, they have picked it up of late, scoring five runs or more in seven straight games. 10* (921) Los Angeles Angels

 
7/1/2024 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Divisional Game of the Year. The Mets are coming off a tough 10-5 loss in 11 innings on Sunday which was their eighth loss in 11 games that have gone into extra innings, getting outscored 29-9 in those games so they have been on the wrong end of the late inning luck. After a pair of losses to open June, New York finished strong with a 16-6 record over its last 22 games and it currently sits one game under .500, two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Two points of concern heading into the month were the bullpen, which has responded to get back into the top ten, and the offense, which is now No. 4 in xOBA at .335, trailing only the Yankees, Red Sox and Orioles while sitting No. 5 in xRAA with the active roster. We have been high on Washington in certain situations and after a great run in mid-June, the Nationals are 3-7 over their last 10 games to currently sit five games under .500. The starting pitching has been a big factor in their turnaround from an awful start but the offense remains weak as they are one of only nine teams with a double-digit negative in xRAA where they are currently No. 27 overall. They are also in the low 20s in xOBA and BABIP. Mackenzie Gore is having a solid second season in Washington but he has been struggling of late with a 6.15 ERA over his last five starts and he lives by his fastball which is not a good matchup here. The Mets have the third best wRC+ against left-handed pitching and they are No. 1 in xwOBA against left-handed fastballs. David Peterson is coming of an uneven start against the Yankees where he allowed just one run over 4.1 innings while striking out a season-high eight but also walking a season high five batters. While the Mets thrive off lefties, the Nationals are No. 28 in wRC+ against southpaws. 10* (951) New York Mets

 
6/30/2024 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS for our MLB Sunday Star Attraction. Baltimore took the game Saturday thanks to a grand slam in the fifth inning and the Orioles have now on four straight games following a five-game losing streak and they have now taken a one game lead over the Yankees in the American League East. The offense have picked it up following a horrible stretch but got the win last night despite getting out hit as the one swing got them to the victory. They are big favorites again tonight but in a not so good sport. The Rangers have been all over the place as a four-game losing streak was prior to a four-game winning streak which has been followed by their current six-game losing streak. Texas was in second place in the American League West but have been overtaken by the Astros and they are now nine games behind the Mariners. The road has not been great at 17-27 but we are seeing that taken into account with this number in a great situation to break this skid. Baltimore sends out Cole Irvin who has a 3.74 ERA but that is generous one as he has a 4.96 xERA so he is another candidate for negative regression. He is in the bottom 15 percentile in 11 major pitching categories and while the Rangers offense has not been great against lefties, this is the time to take. Andrew Heaney has not exactly been lighting it up but he has been consistent, allowing three runs or less in 12 straight starts. He can thrive with the fastball here as his number one has the lowest exit velocity among all starters in baseball. Bullpens are huge this time of year and while Baltimore has one of the best, its top four guys have pitched in two straight games so they will not be send out tonight. 10* (911) Texas Rangers

 
6/30/2024 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Afternoon RL Dominator. We will continue to fade the Marlins as they have scored seven runs over the last five games and are 3-30 when scoring two runs or fewer and no team is going to win more than lose with that little output, they are the extreme. Of their 26 road losses, 19 have been by two runs or more. Going back to May 19, Miami has scored three runs or less in 23 of 34 games and this includes getting shut out now seven times over this span. The Marlins facing a left-handed starter has been bad news as they are 4-25 while averaging 2.5 rpg with a .220 average and of those 25 losses, 22 have been by two or more runs and by an average of 4.7 rpg. The Phillies are in jeopardy of losing their first home series since the season started when they opened 2-4, dropping both series against the Braves and Reds. They are now 32-14 at home which is the best home record in baseball despite losing two of the first three here. The offense has definitely taken a hit with Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber out but again, this is going against the other offense and the top four rotation in baseball puts up another potent arm today. Ranger Suarez has been the best of the top four with a 1.83 ERA and 0.92 WHIP and he is near the top of all metric categories, sitting in the 90th percentile xwOBA, xISO, xOBP and BB%. He is No. 5 among all starters in xFIP at 2.75 and he is back home where he has allowed only two earned runs over his last four starts covering 20 innings. Yonny Chirinos has made two starts this season and they have not been horrible as he has allowed three runs over 10 innings. There is negative regression coming as last season in 20 games, he was bottom four percentile in xBA, xSLG, xwOBA and K%. 10* (904) Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs

 
6/29/2024 - Canadian FootballLOSER

This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We are rolling with Winnipeg again this week as the Grey Cup favorites coming into the season are now 0-3 and a win is desperately needed. The Blue Bombers have been hurt with injuries which has limited quarterback Zach Collaros who has completed just over 61 percent of his passes while not throwing a touchdown. He has a great matchup here against a Calgary defense that has allowed 410.5 ypg and 7.8 yppl which are both dead last in the league. The Stampeders have also posted only one sack so Collaros, who has been seeing huge pressure, will finally have some time. Winnipeg is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after getting outgained by 90 or more yards in their previous game. Calgary is 1-1 and coming off a bye but an early bye is not as big of an edge when it comes later in the season. The Stampeders lone win was against Hamilton where they were outgained 468-369 so the eight-point win was a skewed final score. They have had stability as quarterback but the results have not been there as Jake Maier will make his 30th consecutive, which is the longest by any Stampeder quarterback since 2011. However, he is just 14-18 all time when starting and this includes five losses to Winnipeg, the only team he has never beaten and while the Blue Bombers may seem vulnerable, facing a desperate team is not ideal. 10* (775) Winnipeg Blue Bombers

 
6/29/2024 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES RL as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. This may be mundane but when it works it works and until the lines start adjusting, we can take advantage. We will continue to fade the Marlins as after a couple rare games where they were able to put up runs, they have scored four runs over the last four games and are now 3-30 when scoring two runs or fewer and no team is going to win more than lose with that little output, they are the extreme. Of their 26 road losses, 19 have been by two runs or more. Going back to May 19, Miami has scored three runs or less in 23 of 33 games and this includes getting shut out now seven times over this span. The Marlins have one of the worst offenses in baseball as they are now last in OPS and second to last in runs scored and they are also second worst in xwOBA at .297. We were fortunate to get the runline win with an eighth inning run last night and the Phillies offense is down with Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber on the IL but this starting rotation is the best in baseball and we have to take advantage of that against one of the worst offenses in the league. They continue to dominate at home and now send their fourth starter to the hill that are all legitimate No. 1s on most teams. Aaron Nola had a blowup in Boston where he allowed eight runs over 3.2 innings, his second game of allowing seven or more but he has been awesome in all others, posting a 2.32 ERA in the 14 other outings. Roddery Munoz has made seven starts with three of those being solid but he has allowed 20 runs in 18.2 innings in the other four outings and his command is not there overall with a 34:18 K:BB ratio. 10* (954) Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs

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This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. We are going contrarian with the Cubs in this spot as they are struggling and going against a hot team with already 92 percent of the money on Milwaukee. Chicago has lost five of its last six games and since mid-May, the Cubs are 14-26 in their last 40 games and have gone from Wild Card contender to sitting five games out with six teams ahead of them. Despite this, the line in this game is short but there is a reason behind it and that is the time to strike. Milwaukee has won five straight games and remains 6.5 games clear of the Cardinals in the National League Central but prior to this, the Brewers were on an 8-10 run. They have been very dominant at home where they are now 26-12 which makes the line even more confusing with one of the best offenses in baseball but we fell they get locked up here. Justin Steele went on the IL after one start and his comeback was not good as he posted a 7.08 ERA in his first four starts after his return but he has settled back in. Over his last six starts, he has a 1.87 ERA with a 42:9 K:BB ratio and in his last start, he allowed two runs against the Giants, both solo home runs, the only two he has allowed over this stretch. Even with the three bad outings when he came back, he is still in the top third percentile in 10 of 15 top metrics categories including top 25 in xwOBA, xOBP and BB%. Tobias Myers has been dealing with wins in his last four starts while posting a 0.72 ERA. It helps facing three of the worst offenses in baseball and while Chicago is no juggernaut, it is a game over .500 against right-handed starters compared to 5-12 against lefties. 10* (957) Chicago Cubs

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This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. This is another play that we are going the contrarian route despite the Tigers being favored with all of the money coming in on the Angels. Since scoring 13 runs back on June 15, the Detroit bats have gone ice cold as the Tigers have scored two runs or less in 10 of their last 12 games following a 5-2 loss last night, making it three straight losses while going 3-9 over this stretch. Detroit closed as the favorite in the first two games of this series but this is the lowest as it has come down each time. One of the wins came with Reece Olsen throwing and he was also involved in a 2-1 loss. The Angels have won five straight games as they have been able to score at least five runs in all of those games but the opposing pitching has had a lot to do with this even though getting to Jack Flaherty for five runs was surprising. While the Tigers offense is not good, the Angels offense is not much better overall and they have struggled against right-handed pitchers. Olsen has been stuck in the shadow of Tarik Skubal and justifiably so but he has been great this season and has nothing to show for it. A look at his 2-8 record keeps him a fade for people looking at that which is meaningless based on the matchup. He has had three poor outings in his 15 starts yet he still has a 3.35 ERA and taking those three out, it dips to 1.54 in his other 12 starts and he has allowed a home run in only three games all season. Griffin Canning is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed one run over eight innings and this is the spot to fade. He has a 4.72 ERA in 16 starts to go along with a 4.80 xERA. 10* (967) Detroit Tigers

 
6/28/2024 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES RL as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Philadelphia had Miami on the ropes again last night but a pair of doubles in the seventh inning did them in but we are going back again in a smash spot to get it back tonight. Philadelphia is 31-13 at home which includes a 25-6 record as a home favorite of -150 or more but we are not laying this price but instead hitting the runline again as the scoring differential in those games is 2.5 rpg. We will continue to fade the Marlins as after a couple rare games where they were able to put up runs, they have scored four runs over the last three games and are now 3-29 when scoring two runs or fewer and no team is going to win more than lose with that little output, they are the extreme. Of their 25 road losses, 18 have been by two runs or more. Going back to May 19, Miami has scored three runs or less in 22 of 32 games and this includes getting shut out six times over this span. The Marlins have one of the worst offenses in baseball as they are now second to last in OPS and runs scored and they are also second worst in xwOBA at .299. The bullpen could not hold and wasted another great start from Zack Wheeler and another top arm hits the hill tonight in Cristopher Sanchez. He has allowed more than three runs only twice in his 15 starts to post a 2.56 ERA and he has allowed only one home run over 84.1 innings. His ERA drops to 1.41 in eight home starts, the last seven all being quality outings. The Marlins facing a left-handed starter has been bad news as they are 4-24 while averaging 2.5 rpg with a .220 average and of those 24 losses, 21 have been by two or more runs and by an average of 4.7 rpg. Kyle Tyler is making his second career start following a mediocre opener against Seattle and faces another tough offense even without Bryce Harper. 10* (902) Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs

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This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. It is not very often we catch value with the Dodgers but that is the case on Friday based on the pitching matchup which seems to favor the Giants based on names but that is not the case. Los Angeles is on a four-game winning streak following a sweep against the White Sox and it has been the pitching of late that is getting the job done as over the last six games, the Dodgers have allowed three runs or less in all six with an average of 1.8 rpg and we expect more that tonight. The Giants had their three-game winning streak snapped against the Cubs on Thursday in a 5-3 loss in 10 innings. It has been an up and down ride for San Francisco as it went on a 10-2 run in mid-May, only to go 7-15 in its next 22 games prior to the recent three straight wins. With Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Walker Buehler both on the IL, Landon Knack will get another turn in the rotation and he has been an excellent addition. He has a 2.10 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 18:8 K:BB over 25.2 innings across five starts in the majors this season and while he does not qualify in the rankings, he is above average in xERA, xBA and Barrell%. He is not just a fill-in as he has moved up the prospect rankings as Knack had a 2.51 ERA and 99:30 K:BB ratio over 100.1 innings between Double-A and Triple-A last season and in 59 career Minor League starts, he had a 3.43 ERA. He has not gone very deep but the Dodgers bullpen has been one of the best in the league all season. Logan Webb has solid top line numbers with a 3.16 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through 17 starts but he has shown his inconsistencies and his metrics confirm that he has been fairly fortunate. He ranks in the bottom third in most categories and among qualifiers with at least 150 BBE, he is ranked No. 136 out of 138 pitchers in Hard Hit%. 10* (909) Los Angeles Dodgers

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This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We won with Minnesota on Thursday as it jumped all over Arizona 11-0 and cruised to a seven-run win to make it two series wins to open this roadtrip. While the Twins had a solid pitching matchup in that one, it is the opposite here even though they bring in one of the better offenses in baseball which was on full display Thursday. They have cut the deficit to seven games in the American League Central and while the Twins are two games over .500 on the road, they head to one of the tougher home environments in MLB. It was not a good roadtrip for Seattle as it went 3-6, losing all three series against Cleveland, Miami and Tampa Bay. The Mariners have seen their lead in the American League West shrink to 3.5 over Houston, which has won seven straight games, but they are back home where they are 27-12, which is the second best home record in the American League behind the Guardians. The offense has been average here but has a chance to break out and the Mariners will rely on their own pitching as they have allowed only 2.8 rpg on a .195 average. Logan Gilbert has found the zone and he loos to keep in rolling as he is coming two straight starts where he went eight innings and did not allow a run in either game. He has only one truly bad start and that happed to come in Minnesota so he will be out to make up for that and taking that outing away, his ERA drops to 2.11 in his other 15 starts. He in in the 80th percentile in numerous metric categories and specifically, out of 74 qualified starters he is No. 5 in BABIP. Bailey Ober has shown flashes but remains inconsistent and this is a great time to fade as he is coming off his best start of the season as he tossed a complete game, allowing just two home runs but that was against Oakland. 10* (920) Seattle Mariners

 
6/27/2024 - Canadian FootballWINNER

This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. The Elks are off to a 0-3 start which we have been accustomed to as they have been the worst team in the CFL over the last few years with Ottawa giving them a run for that futile honor. But records can be meaningless at times if the play on the field does correlate with that. Going back to last season, Edmonton started off 0-9 which put them on a 7-34 run going back to the start of the 2021 season but the play got better as they went on a 4-1 run before dropping their final four games. While they are winless now, they should have won their opener but gave up a 21-8 fourth quarter lead and lost the last two games by a field goal including a last second one last week. The offense is clicking with quarterback McLeod Bethel Thompson who is completing 73 percent of his passes and has put up 978 yards through the air while the 67 first downs are first in the league. B.C. is 2-1 but it is a fortunate 2-1 as the defense has not been good which has been a common theme going back to last season. The passing defense has been poor, allowing a league worst 77.8 percent completion clip and also a league worst 70 first downs. The offense has been consistent scoring 26, 26 and 27 points but the Lions are not going off and quarterback Vernon Adams, Jr. is dinged up which does not bode well. Coming off a massive win over rival Winnipeg, this is a letdown spot and an inflated number. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (771) Edmonton Elks