This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Sweet Spot. Payton Tolle is making his season debut and in a pressure spot which we have seen before. After a rapid ascent from the 2024 MLB Draft to a major league debut in 2025, he entered 2026 as one of the top pitching prospects in baseball, though he was optioned to the minors to begin the year to improve his command and arsenal depth. Cam Schlittler is rolling along early with a 1.95 ERA and 0.76 WHIP and has had the luxury of facing some bad offenses. The Boston offense is nothing special as it is bottom third of the league in most categories but this is the buy low time again after scoring just one run in the first two games of this series. 10* (910) Boston Red Sox

This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Double Play. New York has won four straight games following a series opening win yesterday as the Yankees recorded their second straight shutout with the pitching allowing just six runs over the four games. Max Fried is a great option to keep that going but he has struggled after two shutout starts as he has a 4.95 ERA over his last three starts. Boston is now just 2-3 on this homestand and having a hard time at 9-14 overall but now we get value. Ranger Suarez has been the opposite of Fried as after he allowed four runs in his first two Boston starts, he has not allowed a run over his last two outings covering 14 innings. 10* (970) Boston Red Sox

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This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Double Play. We are a fan of Casey Mize but is definitely overpriced here. He has a 2.78 ERA through four starts but is pitching to a 5.74 xERA and following 6.2 shutout innings at Boston, this is the time to go against as it is a sell high spot with the line having gone up. Milwaukee has won five of six and catching a great number. Chad Patrick is coming off a solid 2025 season with a 3.54 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 27 games including 23 starts and has been effective this season with a 0.95 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in four games including three starts. He is pitching to a 3.30 xERA so there will be negative regression but insignificant. 10* (973) Milwaukee Brewers

This is a play on the ATHLETICS for our MLB Sweet Spot. Not sure what is going on with Jacob Lopez as he has a 6.38 ERA to start the season after a 3.96 ERA last season. He is pitching to a 4.18 xERA so there is positive progression on the way and why not against this horrible offense in a great park. Luis Castillo has a 5.40 ERA through four starts and he is still being overpriced. He currently holds a rest of season consensus rank of No. 118 overall and SP28 in categorical leagues in fantasy models and that is something to take seriously. 10* (919) Athletics

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Sweet Spot. Washington is coming off a series loss against San Francisco but was able to salvage the finale so it comes in with some momentum. Jake Irvin has made four starts with three of those being solid, the lone exception of his outing against the Dodgers where he allowed six runs in four innings. His 6.16 ERA is skewed because of that and take that one game out and it drops to 4.20 which is still not great but serviceable. The Braves have won five straight games and now lead the National League East by five games. Bryce Elder has been the most pleasant surprise of the rotation with a 0.77 ERA and 0.39 WHIP coming after a 2025 season where he had a 5.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP and we are going to see negative regression. 10* (954) Washington Nationals

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Nobody saw this coming with now 10 straight losses for the Mets. Tobias Myers has primarily served as a long reliever, but he is scheduled to make his first start of the season today. The Cubs have won four straight games to get to two games over .500 and send Javier Assad to the hill. He has a 8.10 ERA and while he is pitching to a 1.66 xERA, his 4.4% K:BB% is a major problem. 10* (905) New York Mets

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This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. We played on Cole Ragans two outings back and it did not go well but bounced back with a great start at Detroit. He has a 3.78 ERA which is still solid and his 0-3 record is keeping people away. The Yankees have won the first two games of this series and send Ryan Weathers out. He recorded 10 strikeouts in just five innings against the Angels, though he surrendered four home runs. 10* (911) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Normally we would wait until Sunday to grab the Rockies but there is too much value here today. Emmet Sheehan has begun the season with a skewed record as he is 2-0 through his first three starts, but he is currently navigating a period of decreased velocity and mechanical adjustments. He has an ERA of 6.60 along with a 1.47 WHIP and through his 15 innings, he has gone down in velocity, averaging 93.8 mph after an average of 95.4 mph in 2025. Ryan Feltner is not a confident starter to back but there is upside as he entered the season fully healthy after 2025 was derailed by back spasms and shoulder inflammation and the contrarian buy low price is right here after a bad start in San Diego. 10* (960) Colorado Rockies

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This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Boston has won two straight and six of nine after a disaster of a start to the season and the Red Sox look to get the offense going. This is a great number at home with Brayan Bello as his season start has not been ideal but he gets a good matchup here. His top line numbers are inflated due to a rough season debut against Houston there are projections this will be his first All-Star season if he can translate his increased strike zone command into higher strikeout totals. We will fade Tarik Skubal on the road when overvalued. Since 2023, he has a 1.95 ERA in 244.2 home innings but even counting the first three starts, he has a 2.62 ERA in 242 road innings, still solid but not nearly as dominant. 10* (966) Boston Red Sox

This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Texas is staying above water as it defeated the Athletics yesterday to move back over .500. Through his first three starts, Jacob deGrom has posted a dominant 2.87 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP while recording 22 strikeouts in just 15.2 innings pitched, continuing to show elite swing-and-miss stuff. Anytime we can get him at plus money in a pitchers park. Seattle lost at San Diego to make it three straight losses and the Mariners are now 8-12 as the offense remains near the bottom of the league in most categories. Through four starts, Logan Gilbert has posted a 4.18 ERA and while his early outings were a struggle with a 5.40 ERA through his first three games, he bounced back in his most recent start by pitching seven innings of one-run ball and we can sell high. 10* (919) Texas Rangers

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This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Toronto is coming off a 2-1 loss to drop its fifth straight series and fall to 7-11 overall. Eric Lauer opened the season with a great start against the Athletics but then got hit with the flu and was pulled early against the White Sox which carried over into his last start against the Twins where he gave up seven runs in 5.1 innings. He is now working on six days rest and is reported to be back to full health. Arizona is off to a much better start as it is 11-8 following a successful 6-3 roadtrip but we will be fading here Michael Soroka. He has a 2.87 ERA through three starts thanks to some big strikeout numbers but Toronto does not strikeout and he is pitching to a 5.79 xERA so there is regression on the way so we get good value here. 10* (929) Toronto Blue Jays

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sweet Spot. The Giants have now lost four straight games to fall to 6-12 overall and are catching a shorter than expected line so we go with contrarian value. Landen Roupp posted a 3.80 ERA last season and has put up a 3.24 ERA through his first three starts this season but what we like to see is his 2.38 xERA so there is progression in place. The Reds and Pirates now share first place in the National League Central at 11-7 following two straight wins to open this series. We like Chase Burns but after posting a 0.82 ERA in his first two outings, he gave up five runs, seven hits and four walks over 5.1 innings in a 10-2 loss to the Angels last Friday. He does still have a 3.31 ERA but is pitching to a 4.88 xERA. 10* (953) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. We are going back to the Mets tonight as they were shutout last night to make it six straight losses. We played against them last Thursday with Nolan McLean on the hill as we felt he was overvalued but still turned in a quality outing. He has a 2.70 ERA and 0.84 WHIP through three starts and has allowed two runs or less in all three games. Now the value has flipped and we catch a great number with this top prospect that had a 2.06 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with a 21.8% K:BB% in eight starts last season. The Dodgers are now 12-4 and have a two-game lead in the National League West which they likely will not give up. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is off to a solid start as he has posted a 2.50 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in three starts but is overvalued here. 10* (959) New York Mets

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This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. Arizona dropped the series opener last night as a 7-1 lead was dissipated in the sixth inning in the 9-7 loss. Merrill Kelly gets the ball as he was reinstated from the 15-day IL after recovering from left intercostal nerve irritation to make his season debut. After throwing 83 pitches in his final rehab appearance, he is expected to handle a near-full workload immediately. He is coming off a solid season with a 3.22 ERA and 1.06over 22 starts. The Orioles have won three straight games and six of their last seven to move two games over .500. Trev Rogers has opened the season with three straight quality outings with a 1.89 ERA and 1.05 WHIP but he has a 11.8% K:BB% which can come back to hurt. 10* (971) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Cubs are coming off a huge win as they overcame a 5-0 deficit to defeat the Pirates and avoid a weekend sweep and they take that momentum to open a three-game road set at Philadelphia. Javier Assad was recalled from Iowa to fill rotation spots and he made a dominant start, throwing 5.2 scoreless innings against the Rays and he showed this ability over the last two seasons before getting injured and has the breakout potential again. The Phillies have lost four of their last five games with the offense scoring just 11 runs over the four-game stretch. They are favored big because of name and Cristopher Sanchez is back home where he has been dominant the last three years but not at this price. He has a 1.65 ERA through three starts but his xERA is double that with the command being off. 10* (901) Chicago Cubs

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This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Mets had won four straight going into Wednesday but dropped the final two games against Arizona before getting swept by the Athletics over the weekend and now we have them at a buy low time. David Peterson has gotten off to a rough start this season as after a solid opener against the Pirates, he has had two bad outings against San Francisco and Arizona, allowing 10 runs in 9.1 innings and while this matchup is not ideal, he is underpriced with value. The Dodgers are off to an 11-4 start which is not surprising but the +122 overall shows the overpriced markets and they are in that spot tonight. Justin Wrobleski is a bottom of the rotation starter but is not priced that way. He is the only pitcher on the entire board with a negative K:BB% as he is -9.5% and faces a team that is ready for breakout potential. 10* (907) New York Mets