| Date | W/L |
| 11/16/2025 - NBA | LOSER |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. There is good and bad news for Chicago and we will start with the latter. The Bulls have lost four straight games to fall to 6-5 so a break was needed and it came at the right time as they have been off since Wednesday to get right mentally and physically. The good news beyond the rest is that Josh Giddy is listed as probable as he missed the Spurs game and even more so, Coby White has yet to make his season debut due to a nagging calf issue, but he may be able to on Sunday as he is officially listed as questionable, and his status will likely depend on how confident the team feels about his health closer to game time. This would be a massive boost. The Bulls have lost their last four road games but those were against the Knicks, Bucks, Cavs and Pistons. Utah is coming off a loss against the Hawks following a win over Indiana which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Jazz are now 4-8 with a pair of wins over the Clippers and Suns, two teams not close to right, and the other being a solid one against Boston although the Celtics are shorthanded as well. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 115 points or more in four straight games going up against an opponent after allowing 125 points or more. This situation is 53-19 ATS (73.6 percent) since 2022. 10* (543) Chicago Bulls |
| 11/16/2025 - College Basketball | WINNER |
This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Purdue rolled over Evansville in its season opener but struggled in its second game against Oakland and was able to get by Alabama this past week on the road by seven points and we can expect a slight letdown here. The Boilermakers are one of the most experienced teams in the country as they bring back four starters but we are bucking that experience here as they are facing a deep and experienced team that should give them everything they can handle. Akron also comes in 3-0 and has played a much easier schedule but this is a team that can hang. The Zips won the MAC last season with a 17-1 record and are the pick to win it again. They shoot the ball well, defend great and do not turn the ball over. Additionally, Akron is an effective rebounding team, especially for a squad that doesn't possess a lot of size so while the boards are normally a big edge for Purdue, it is not the case here. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points averaging 62 or more shots per game after a game allowing 28 percent or less shooting from the floor. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) since 2022 with a scoring differential of -13.6 ppg. 10* (719) Akron Zips |
| 11/16/2025 - NFL | WINNER |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. We were on Cleveland last week and it was a brutal loss as it outgained the Jets 278-169 but allowed two special teams kick returns for touchdowns in a span of less than a minute. The Browns are now 2-7 and return home where they are 2-1 and this is just their second home game since September 21st as they have played four road games, a game in London and also had their bye week. The offense remains a work in progress but the defense continues to dominate as Cleveland is No. 4 in Defensive EPA. The Ravens have won three straight games following a four-game losing streak and are now at 4-5 on the season and just one game behind Pittsburgh in the AFC North so the losing streak is a distant memory that has not caused much damage yet. This is their third straight road game as they got Miami on a Thursday and had the extra mini bye in getting ready for Minnesota. Baltimore won the first meeting 41-17 but was outgained by the Browns but won the turnover battle 2-0 while returning a fumble for a touchdown. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, with a losing record. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 2016. 10* (472) Cleveland Browns |
| 11/16/2025 - NFL | LOSER |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFC West Game of the Month. Arizona came up small last week as it allowed a 43-yard touchdown pass to Jaxon Smith-Njigba four minutes into the game then Seattle recovered a fumble and ran it in for a touchdown, one of two first half defensive touchdowns a minute and a half later and it was lights out. It was a 22-point loss for the Cardinals which lost their first five games by a combined 13 points so it was the first bad game of the season despite being 3-6. We expect a bounce back this week as they are catching points at home as this opened at 1 and is now up to 3 based on the Brock Purdy news. San Francisco got rolled in Los Angeles as the defense continues its inconsistent play as the injuries continue to pile up. The 49ers are No. 26 in Defensive EPA which is something we are not accustomed to but something we have to get used to. Jacoby Brissett fared well in his first three starts against average to below average defenses but he struggled last week against the Seahawks which are No. 5 in Defensive EPA. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss by seven points or less to opponent. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) since 2016. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals |
| 11/16/2025 - College Basketball | LOSER |
This is a play on the KENNESAW ST. OWLS for our CBB Contrarian Crusher. Kennesaw St. is off to a 3-0 start and the Owls are expected to be a player in Conference USA and going after their first NCAA Tournament bid. The schedule has not been overall hard but they are No. 11 in Offensive Effective Field Goal Percentage and No. 2 in Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage. The former has been the mainstay for a while but the latter has been on display this season as Kennesaw St. is No. 1 in Shooting Defense and Scoring Margin and No. 5 in Scoring Defense while being a top ten team in rebounding. South Florida is getting a lot of credit here mainly because of 35 and 50 point wins over Florida A&M and Coppin St. respectively but big deal as those teams are rated No. 353 and No. 364 out of 365 teams. The Bulls are coming off a 13-win season and have only one starter back and currently No. 22 in Tempo so there is a contrast of styles and we will take the much better defense at home. Here, we play against road teams in a game involving two teams averaging 76 or more ppg, after scoring 85 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 123-73 ATS (62.8 percent) since 1998 with a scoring differential of +6.7 ppg. 10* (702) Kennesaw St. Owls |
| 11/16/2025 - College Basketball | WINNER |
This is a play on the SOUTH DAKOTA COYOTES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Western Michigan opened the season with a decent win over Coastal Carolina but followed that up with a loss against Division II Northwood University as the Broncos committed 21 turnovers. They have split two games since then and are now in a tough travel spot as they bring in a 0-1 record on the road with a loss at Campbell. Western Michigan is coming off that bounce back win over Fort Wayne which could make them a bit complacent and the Broncos have a game at Ohio St. on deck. South Dakota opened the season with a pair of losses as it fell at home to Utah Tech by a bucket and then was blown out at Creighton but has since won its last two games including a 15-point win over Southern Illinois. The Coyotes are 2-1 at home after going 14-2 here last season and the offense is clicking again after they finished No. 3 in Scoring Offense and No. 5 in Tempo last season and the latter is No. 3 this year. Here, we play on home teams averaging 76 or more ppg and after two straight wins by 15 or more points going up against teams allowing 76 or more ppg. This situation is 85-45 ATS (65.4 percent) since 2017 with a scoring differential of +25.3 ppg. 10* (700) South Dakota Coyotes |
| 11/16/2025 - NFL | WINNER |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. We played against Jacksonville last week as the Jaguars blew a 29-10 lead by getting outscored 26-0 in the fourth quarter. It was a fortunate win for Houston and now the Jacksonville season could be on the line. A loss here drops their playoff percentage to just 20 percent so this is a big one and it happens to be their first home game in a month. They were 4-1 at one point but have now lost three of four including two straight at home after opening 3-0 in Jacksonville. The Chargers have won three straight to move to 7-3 which includes a 3-1 record on the road with the wins coming against the Raiders, Dolphins and Titans. Justin Herbert already has eight interceptions after throwing just three all of last season and a lot of this is due to him getting pressured as the Chargers offensive line is a mess. Both starting offensive tackles are done for the year with injuries as he has been sacked 33 times, eight shy of his career high and the third most in the NFL this season. Here, we play against teams with a scoring differential between +3 and +7 ppg and after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against teams with scoring differentials of +/- 3 ppg. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 2016. 10* (466) Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 11/16/2025 - NFL | WINNER |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Rivalry Rout. This line is holding tight as it opened at 3.5 and has stayed there throughout the week and we are getting the hook over the key number as of Friday still. Carolina was starting to make a move as it had won four of five games to go to 5-4 but it is coming off a horrible loss last week against New Orleans at home, giving the Saints just their second victory. The offense managed only 175 yards and it was the fourth straight game the Panthers have had 177 or fewer passing yards. This team has to run the ball to have any success on offense and they6 can do that here with the Falcons possessing the No. 28 ranked Defensive Rushing EPA. Atlanta is coming off a tough overtime loss against the Colts in Berlin and are playing without taking a bye looking to snap their four-game losing streak. They picked up a win over Minnesota in the second week of the season with the other two wins coming against 3-7 Washington and a flawed Bills team. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are getting outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in four straight games. This situation is 101-50 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (463) Carolina Panthers |
| 11/16/2025 - NFL | LOSER |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our Divisional Game of the Year. Chicago is coming off yet another come-from-behind win as it trailed the Giants 20-10 late in the fourth quarter but scored two touchdowns to pull out the victory. It was the second straight 4th quarter comeback and the fourth time this season the Bears have scored the go ahead points inside the final two minutes so while they are sitting at 6-3, it is a very fortunate 6-3. They hit the road where they are 3-2, all three wins by the aforementioned come-from-behind variety and all against teams a combined 8-20. Minnesota is coming off a loss to Baltimore following the upset over Detroit and the Vikings have lost three of their last four games, the other two losses coming against the Eagles and the Chargers so it has been a brutal stretch. Sure, they are playing another winning team but as mentioned, the Bears realistically should not be. The Vikings have the huge edge in defense and while their offense has struggled, they will be able to find the push here. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season with a money line of +130 to -150 - off one or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two teams with scoring differentials of +/- 3 ppg. This situation is 27-8 (77.1 percent) since 2021. 10* (462) Minnesota Vikings |
| 11/15/2025 - College Football | WINNER |
This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES for our AAC Game of the Year. Memphis had its playoff hopes come to an end last Friday with a 38-32 loss against Tulane which was its second loss in the American and with five teams ahead of them, getting to the AAC Championship is now impossible. This is the ultimate letdown spot for a team that arguably overachieved anyway as they got away with a win over Arkansas on a late fumble and a three-point win over South Florida thanks to a 17-0 fourth quarter meltdown by the Bulls. East Carolina is one of those teams in front of Memphis as the Pirates are 4-1 and finish with UTSA and Florida Atlantic, both on the road so they have work left. This does mark their final home game of the season which adds to the value. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 140 and 190 rushing ypg and after allowing 2.0 or less ypc last game going up against teams allowing between 100 and 140 rushing ypg. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 2021. 10* (332) East Carolina Pirates |