Handicapper Profile

Matt Fargo

Matt is now on an 88-64 (+$16,704) streak in baseball since 5/25 and it continues on Wednesday as he goes for the PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP! He is a SPECTACULAR 96-67-1 (+$23,185) in the CFL since 2012 including 16-6-1 YTD!

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Past Picks

Show the last picks

Date	W/L	Type	Handicapper Selection
8/14/2018	LOSER	MLB	Fargo's MLB Tuesday Triple Play (86-63 MLB Run) This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies are coming off a poor roadtrip where they went 2-4 and sit a game behind Atlanta in the National League East. Nothing is a guarantee at this point as there are five teams within 2.5 games of each other for the two Wild Card spots so while it might sound like a broken record, every game counts. Philadelphia is 38-18 at home, which is the best home record in the National League and the third best in baseball, trailing only the Red Sox and Yankees. The Phillies are 4-1 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. The Red Sox are the best team in baseball and it is not even close so stepping in front of them can only be done in certain spots and this is one of those. Philadelphia is 9-1 this season at home following a loss by four runs or more and square off against Rick Porcello. He started off the season great with a 3.44 ERA through his first 16 starts but has posted a 6.15 ERA over his last eight starts. Nick Pivetta counters for the Phillies and after two bad starts following the All Star Break, he has rebounded with two quality outings, both resulting in victories. The Phillies are 6-2 in his last eight home starts against teams with a winning record. *9 (968) Philadelphia Phillies This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Mets are coming off an upset win last night over the Yankees to make it two straight wins but winning three in a row will be a challenge as it has done so only three times since May 22nd. The Mets are just 11-28 in their last 39 games following any sort of win. Additionally, they are 0-6 in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Baltimore owns the worst record in baseball and is coming off a four-game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox, but the Orioles catch a winnable home game which have been few and far between as the home schedule has been brutal for the last two months. They are 5-1 in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Baltimore hands the ball to Andrew Cashner who has been very inconsistent this season, but he has been solid for the most part of late. He had a horrible start in Texas at the least pitcher-friendly park in baseball, and a bad home start against the Yankees but he has allowed three runs or less in 15 of his other 16 starts dating back to May 4th. New York turns to Jason Vargas who has yet to toss a quality outing in 11 starts and the Mets are 1-6 in his last seven starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (970) Baltimore Orioles This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Arizona let us down last night as it fell to 1-3 on this current roadtrip but thanks to the Dodgers losing four straight games, it remains in first place in the National League West. We will be backing the Diamondbacks again tonight as they are still a solid 11-4 in their last 15 road games against teams with a losing record while going 6-0 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Texas snapped a two-game slide with the win last night and it has won three straight games at home, but it is still 10 games under .500 at home and the Rangers are just 22-46 in their last 68 home games against teams with a winning record. Arizona has another pitching edge tonight and while it did not pan out last night, tonight will be a different story. Patrick Corbin is on the hill tonight and he is having a solid season with a 3.15 ERA and 1.04 WHIP through 24 starts and he has nearly identical home/road splits. While he enters a hitter-friendly park, he is more than used to it as Chase Field is the same as well. The Diamondbacks are 6-1 in his last seven road starts. Yovani Gallardo has a 4.55 ERA at home yet the Rangers are 5-0 in his five home start thanks to 11.4 rpg of support. That will not be happening tonight. 8* (973) Arizona Diamondbacks**
8/13/2018	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's 10* MLB Monday Sweet Spot (85-62 MLB Run) This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Seattle is coming off a hard-fought, four-game series sweep over Houston to move to within four games of the Astros in the American League West and to within a game and a half of the second Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners were in a big time slump prior to those four games and we can see them coming back to reality as they conclude this roadtrip with another tough series. Oakland took two of three games against the Angels in Los Angeles as it continues its red hot run. The A's have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last two months as they are 36-12 over their last 48 games and they were able to leapfrog over the Mariners in the American League West over the last week. Oakland is just 2.5 games behind Houston in the division and it is in a good spot to keep rolling as it has won 15 of its last 18 home games while going 18-4 in its last 22 games against American League teams with a batting average of .265 or worse. Sean Manaea gets the ball for Oakland and he is coming off a poor outing against the Dodgers where he lacked him typical command, but we should see a bounce back here. He has been great at home with a 3.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 12 starts, eight of which have been quality outings. The Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters. Marco Gonzales is also coming off a poor outing and his was much worse against a much worse team as he allowed seven runs in five innings at Texas. He has a 4.42 ERA on the road and faces an Oakland team that is 9-2 in its last 11 games against left-handed starters. *10 (912) Oakland A's**
8/13/2018	LOSER	MLB	Fargo's MLB Monday Supreme Annihilator (85-62 Run) This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Monday Supreme Annihilator. Arizona was able to salvage a game in Cincinnati on Sunday as it took over sole possession of first place in the National League West thanks to the Dodgers losing their final three games in Colorado. The Diamondbacks improved to 33-25 on the road and get another schedule break by playing a poor team and going back, they are 11-3 in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing record. Texas lost three of four against the Yankees in New York to fall 16 games under .500. The Rangers have actually played better on the road than at home and they have gone 21-46 in their last 67 home games against teams with a winning record. Zack Greinke takes the mound for Arizona and while he is having a great season, his recent run has been sensational. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 straight games, posting a 1.64 ERA in the process. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in his last six road starts while going 21-6 in his last 27 starts when playing against a team with a losing record. Bartolo Colon became the winningest Latin-born pitcher in baseball history with his 246th win in his last start. He has struggled of late as he has posted a 7.61 ERA in four starts since the All Star Break. He has struggled in these spots as his teams are 3-16 in his last 19 start as an underdog of +125 to +175. Additionally, we play against home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more that are hitting .260 or worse and starting a pitcher with a 7.00 ERA or worse over his last three starts going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better. This situation is 55-12 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. *8 (915) Arizona Diamondbacks**
8/12/2018	WINNER	WNBA	Fargo's 10* WNBA Sunday Enforcer (Top Play Winner) This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. With the recent surge of Atlanta, Seattle has seen its lead for the top spot in the WNBA drop to two games over the Dream with three games remaining. A win today likely locks up the No. 1 seed as the Storm close the season with winnable home games against New York and Dallas. They have been the best road team in the league this season as they are 12-4 and coming off a loss at Washington by 23 points which should certainly motivate them tonight to close out their road slate for the season. The Storm are 7-0 straight up and ATS this season in their road games after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. All of those wins have come by at least 13 points and by an average of 17.7 ppg. Minnesota is normally fighting for the No. 1 seed at this point in the season but right now it is part of a group of five teams within a game and a half of third place. Clearly, this is a big game for the Lynx, but this is a team on the decline and the fact they have beaten only one playoff team since July 7th is telling. Here, we play against home teams (that have made 45 percent or more of their shots over their last two games going up against an opponent that has allowed 45 percent or higher shooting over its last three games This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. *10 (607) Seattle Storm**
8/12/2018	WINNER	MLB	Fargo's MLB Sunday Triple Play (82-62 MLB Run) This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. We won with the Marlins last night as they took the second game of this series in extra innings, but we go the other way today in a significant pitching mismatch. New York looks to get its offense going against after scoring 14 runs in its previous two games prior to last night. It was a rare win for Miami on Saturday as it is 5-13 over its last 18 games and it has to deal with Noah Syndergaard today which is not good for an offense that has scored three runs or less in 12 of its last 15 games. Syndergaard has been average since coming back from the DL, but he is 4-0 with a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins. Wei-Yin Chen counters for the Marlins and while he has a good track record at home, he has posted a 5.86 ERA in five daytime starts. The Mets are 11-4 in their last 15 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Here, we play on National League road favorites with a money line of -125 or more with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less home runs per start and with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season. This situation is 72-31 (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. *8 (951) New York Mets This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Time is running out on both the Pirates and Giants in their pursuit of a Wild Card spot in the National League and it will be up to San Francisco on Sunday to go for a series split. After scoring 13 runs on Friday, the Giants were shutout last night 4-0 despite equaling the Pirates with six hits. The Giants are 7-0 in their last seven games during Game Four of a series. Pittsburgh is 4-2 on this current roadtrip but going back, the Pirates are 17-38 in their last 55 road games against teams with a winning home record. One of the pleasant surprises for what has been a disappointing season overall for the Giants has been the pitching of rookie Dereck Rodriguez who has a 2.34 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 11 starts and two relief appearances. He has been even better at home with a 1.99 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in six starts. Joe Musgrove has posted three quality outings since the All Star Break, but this is a pace unlikely to continue as an early start is not a good thing where he has a 6.65 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in four daytime starts. We play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .280 or better over their last 20 games, in August games. This situation is 97-46 (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) San Francisco Giants This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Detroit won for us on Friday, but it was stymied by Kyle Gibson last night as a late rally just fell short. The Tigers are still above .500 at home and are short favorites this afternoon despite what is a solid pitching advantage. The Tigers are 5-2 in their last seven home games against teams with a losing record. Minnesota won a rare road game last night as they are now 21-38 away from home and those 38 losses are the third most in all of baseball. The Twins needed a starting pitcher on Sunday after Adalberto Mejia was placed on the 10-day disabled list with a sore wrist. Kohl Stewart will be making his Major League debut today and we are not expecting much. He struggled with striking hitters out and his control started to disappear in 2016 and 2017. Stewart went 3-7 with a 4.47 ERA between Class AAA Rochester and Class AA Chattanooga this season. Matthew Boyd is coming off a poor outing at Los Angeles, but he has been great at home with a 2.93 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 10 starts. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and with a WHIP of 1.00 or better over his last five starts. This situation is 36-12 (75 percent) since 1997. 9* (972) Detroit Tigers**
8/11/2018	WINNER	NFL	Fargo's 10* NFL Saturday Enforcer +$37,694 NFL RUN This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFLX Saturday Enforcer. The first-year head coach is always a great angle to play in the preseason if given the right circumstances. I am a fan of playing first year head coaches in their first games as those guys want to infuse a new winning attitude into the team as it is usually the case that the previous season was far from a good one. This season, there are seven new head coaches in the league including Steve Wilks for the Cardinals. When he addressed the media Thursday morning, Wilks said all the quarterbacks will play on Saturday. That would include Bradford, rookie Josh Rosen, Mike Glennon and undrafted rookie Chad Kanoff. Wilks has stated previously that Bradford would be pulled before most of the starters and that Rosen was going to play quite a bit. Rosen said he has progressed each day over the last few weeks and he is playing more reactionary football with his first NFL action finally here. On the other side, if Philip Rivers plays at all, and if he does, it will likely only be one series, Geno Smith and Cardale Jones still will do the bulk of the quarterback work as the battle for No. 2 continues. It feels as if Smith, the more experienced of the two, has the edge because the Chargers know what it looks like when he leads a team. Jones, however, has the physical gifts to win the job if he looks comfortable in game situations. In his first season, Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn indicated player health was more important than wins, as they went 1-3, and we expect the same mindset this season. *10 (282) Arizona Cardinals**
8/11/2018	PUSH	MLB	Fargo's MLB Saturday Triple Play (80-61 MLB Run) This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. The Diamondbacks were shut out in this series opener last night 3-0 but a Dodgers loss as well kept them in a tie with Los Angeles atop the National League West. It has been an up and down run of late for Arizona, especially with the offense but that should change tonight and going back, the Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. The Reds are still four games under .50 at home and they have struggled to put together consecutive solid efforts as going back, they are 0-5 in their last five games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Arizona sends Robbie Ray to the hill and has admittedly been inconsistent this season as Arizona has lost his last five starts but he pitched well in the two road outings. He has been exceptional away from home with a 2.57 ERA and 1.27 WHIP and going back, the Diamondbacks are 11-0 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite of -110 or higher. Matt Harvey has struggled since the All Star Break with a 10.66 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in three starts. He has shown some positive signs since coming to Cincinnati, but they are rare as he has been awful most of the time with only three quality outings in 15 starts. *9 (903) Arizona Diamondbacks This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. New York won the series opener last night to make it two straight wins but winning three in a row will be a challenge as it has done so only twice since May 22nd. The Mets are just 10-27 in their last 37 games following any sort of win while going 8-20 in their last 28 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Miami has lost three straight and nine of 10 games, but it is in good position tonight. Despite the Friday loss, the Marlins are 24-11 in their last 35 home games against teams with a winning percentage between .380 and .460. Dan Straily gets the ball for Miami and he had a solid run from late June to the All Star Break, but he has struggled in three starts since then. To his credit, those games came against Washington, Philadelphia and Atlanta. The Marlins are 7-1 in his last eight starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Corey Oswalt has pitched well since entering the rotation, but this is his first road start since July 4th and he has a 7.94 ERA in two road starts. One of those came here in his first ever start back in June and Miami got to him for six runs in 2.2 innings. 10* (908) Miami Marlins This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. After losing the series opener on Thursday, Colorado bounced back with a 5-4 come-from-behind win last night to snap a three-game slide. The Rockies can use that momentum for the final two games where they can close the gap in the division and the Wild Card race. The Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. The Dodgers remain tied with Arizona for first place in the National League West, so this is a big weekend for them as well but being listed as a significant road favorite in this matchup is not ideal. The Dodgers are 2-6 in their last eight games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Kyle Freeland has been extremely consistent this season with a 3.04 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 23 starts. While many will be surprised that he has a 2.18 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 home starts, seven of which have been quality outings, he is familiar with pitching in the thin air of Colorado as he grew up pitching in Denver. The Rockies are 16-9 in his last 25 starts as an underdog. Walker Buehler has a 2.77 ERA at home but that jumps to 5.26 on the road and was hit hard in his lone start at Coors Field. 9* (910) Colorado Rockies**
8/11/2018	LOSER	WNBA	Fargo's 10* WNBA Saturday Enforcer (Top Play Win) Note 2:05 PM ET Start This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Saturday Enforcer. Atlanta remains red hot as it has won 12 of its last 13 games but it will have to maintain momentum without one of its star players, All-Star forward Angel McCoughtry. She tore ligaments in her left knew on Tuesday and while the Dream won their game on Thursday in her first game out, it was one of those situations where players step up in their first gamed after a star player has been lost. Things could be tougher moving forward and they will be facing a desperate team today. Dallas looked to be a lock for a playoff spot, but it has lost six straight games and the final playoff spot is still up for grabs between the Wings, Aces and Sky. Dallas has a two-game lead over the Aces, but Las Vegas is playing the worst team in the league tonight so a loss here and that lead will likely be just one game. The schedule is brutal the rest of the way with only one home game left and the four road games against playoff qualifiers, so they need to step it up now. Dallas falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 50-17 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. *10 (305) Dallas Wings**
8/10/2018	WINNER	WNBA	Fargo's 10* WNBA Friday Star Attraction This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. Phoenix remains in a funk as it has lost two straight games, six of its last seven and nine of its last 11. The Mercury are still in line for a playoff berth at 16-14 as they need to win one more game or have Las Vegas lose one more game and they could not ask for a better matchup tonight. They have dropped five straight games at home, so they are due for an explosion especially against a team they have dominated the first two meetings this season, both on the road, as they defeated Indiana by 18 and 19 points. Indiana has had a miserable season but to its credit, it has been playing better of late, winning three of its last six games. The Fever have struggled this season against good offenses as they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams averaging 73 or more ppg. As mentioned, this is a revenge game for Indiana and it has not responded well as it is 1-9 ATS it its last 10 games revenging a home loss by 10 points or more. Additionally, Phoenix falls into a solid situation where we play on home favorites in the second half of the season after having lost four of their last five games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550. This situation is 55-27 ATS (67.1 percent) since 1997. *10 (304) Phoenix Mercury**
8/10/2018	LOSER	Canadian Football	Fargo's 10* CFL Game of the Week 16-6 73% CFL YTD This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Hamilton last week as it completely demolished Montreal and while a win over the Alouettes is nothing special, it does give the Tiger-Cats much needed confidence moving forward. They had lost three straight games prior to that and now sit at 3-4 but they have played better than this record shows. While the domination against Montreal skews the numbers slightly, Hamilton has outgained five of seven opponents and one of the games it was outgained in, it was against 7-0 Calgary and it was by just 29 total yards. Overall, the Tiger-Cats are outgaining opponents by 90.2 ypg which is the second best differential in the CFL. And making it more impressive in that they have played a tough schedule five of seven games against the West Division as well as a game against Ottawa. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week where it won its previous two games to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Blue Bombers have played an opposite type of schedule as they have played just one team with a winning record and of the six games against losing teams, five of those have been against opponents with two of fewer wins. They will be out for revenge following a 31-17 loss at Hamilton earlier in the season, but they do not match up well with the strong Hamilton running game that has been bolstered even more with the return of Alex Green. Going back, the Tiger-Cats have covered eight of their last 10 road games and they fall into a solid situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off in two straight division games. This situation is 115-66 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. *10 (353) Hamilton Tiger-Cats**