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Past Picks Show the last picks

HANDICAPPER RESULTS FOR: Matt Fargo
WinnersLosersTotalPercentage
821080.0%

DateW/L
9/24/2021 - College FootballWINNER

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our Friday Game of the Week. Liberty is off to a 3-0 straight up and ATS start but the schedule has not been tough. Syracuse is 2-1 and its schedule has been equal. A Friday home game at night is an is an advantage. The Orange are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two passing teams averaging 8.3 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent)over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Syracuse Orange

 
9/23/2021 - NFLWINNER

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our Thursday Primetime Punisher. Houston is a mess at this point on offense and on a short week, it will not get better. Deshawn Watson is inactive again. Davis Mills, the third-round draft pick, completed just 8 of 18 passes for 102 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss to the Browns. We are not sure that he can carry this team at this point. The addition of Sam Darnold so far looks like a great pick up for Carolina, which is now 2-0 to start the season. Coaching is huge and the Panthers have that here. Here, we play against home teams with a scoring defense last season that allowed 24 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-22 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Carolina Panthers

 
9/23/2021 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for our A.L. Favorite of the Month. Baltimore has lost two straight games by one run but it has shown to bounce back in such situations despite possessing the worst record in the American League. Texas is 55-97 which is the second worst record in the American League. The Rangers 22-55 road record is the worst in the American League and they are 13-39 in their last 52 road games against left-handed starters. Here, we play against teams with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who allowed six runs or more in his last two outings. This situation is 37-7 (84.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (970) Baltimore Orioles

 
9/22/2021 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our N.L. Game of the Month. Washington took Game Two of this series after dropping the opener on Monday. The Nationals have struggled on the road but this is another good matchup. The Washington offense has compiled a .259 batting average as a team this season which is fourth best in baseball. Miami is hitting just .234 which is third worst in MLB and Washington should be able to take advantage again. The Marlins are 15-42 in their last 57 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play on National League teams hitting between .255 to .269 and with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 53-25 (67.9 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (903) Washington Nationals

 
9/21/2021 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our A.L Game of the Week. Boston has won five straight games to maintain the top Wild Card spot in the American League. The Red Sox are 47-29 at home and they are 17-8 in their last 25 home games against right-handed starters. The Mets snapped a five-game losing streak with a win over the Phillies on Sunday. New York is all but done for a playoff spot after a great start to the season. The Mets are 3-11 in their last 14 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams after scoring and allowing three runs or less going up against an opponent after scoring seven runs or more in three straight games. This situation is 45-14 (76.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (978) Boston Red Sox

 
9/20/2021 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB A.L. Game of the Week. Oakland has won five straight games to move to 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. They have a great advantage on the mound. Sean Manaea has dominated the Mariners, allowing one run on just seven hits in 16 innings. He has struck out 21 in those games. Seattle has won two of its three games to move to within four games of the Wild Card spot. The Mariners are 1-4 in their last five games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play against American League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse and with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games going up against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. This situation is 90-38 (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (922) Oakland Athletics

 
9/20/2021 - NFLLOSER

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. This is the perfect bounce back spot for Green Bay to get back on track but it is laying way too much on Monday night. We should expect a much better performance from the offence that scored just three points against the Saints but defensively, the Packers will continue to experience some growing pains. Detroit put up a solid effort against the 49ers and while the defense stunk, the offense had a great showing with 33 points. Jared Goff went off for 338 yards with three touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going ip against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 55-23 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (297) Detroit Lions

 
9/19/2021 - NFLWINNER

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. Arizona is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Tennessee in Week One and heads back to Arizona for its home opener. On offense, quarterback Kyler Murray threw four touchdown passes while also running for another. Minnesota is coming off a poor loss at Cincinnati as it fell 27-24 in overtime. This team is talented enough to overcome that and this is a good number. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems poor passing defense from last season that allowed 230 or more passing ypg, after allowing eight or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (287) Minnesota Vikings

 
9/19/2021 - NFLWINNER

This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off an upset over Buffalo in Week One and now host the Raiders in Week Two. They beat Buffalo despite having just 252 yards of offense as the Steelers were outgained by 119 total yards. The Raiders are coming off an overtime win against the Ravens Monday night. Derek Carr is coming off a monster game as he threw the ball 56 times for 409 yards and two touchdowns. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing seven or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (275) Las Vegas Raiders

 
9/18/2021 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is a rematch of the SEC Championship from last season where Alabama won 52-46. Sophomore Bryce Young has taken over at quarterback for Davey O'Brien Award winner Mac Jones. This week Florida players said the loss motivated them throughout the offseason, knowing they would get another crack at the Crimson Tide this fall. Florida coach Dan Mullen is going for his first career win against Nick Saban. He beat Saban in 2008 as the Florda offensive coordinator but is winless against him as a head coach. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games, with five defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 26-5 ATS (8i3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (144) Florida Gators