This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Star Attraction. Green Bay got the good news last week as it welcomed quarterback Jordan Love back after missing two games but the bad news is that he was clearly rusty and the defense did him no favors as the Packers fell behind 28-0 in an eventual 31-29 loss to the Vikings. Love was able to spread the ball around and he threw for 389 yards and four touchdowns but also threw three interceptions and that will get cleaned up this week. Green Bay faced a very good Vikings defense and were eventually able to find their way and despite Love out for two games, the Packers are No. 3 in Offensive DVOA and No. 10 in Offensive EPA. Now they face a Rams defense that is No. 31 in Defensive DVOA and No. 32 in Defensive EPA and they have struggled against both the pass and run so expect more balance from Green Bay after last week having to shift to a mostly passing attack. The Rams are fortunate not to be 0-4 as they were able to pick up a near miracle win against the 49ers where their win probability at one point late in the game was at five percent. 13 of their 27 points against the 49ers came in the fourth quarter and this has been the story all season as Los Angeles has scored a total of 40 points in the first three quarters while scoring 32 points in the fourth quarter. Injuries have crushed the offense and while the wide receivers have been the story, the offensive line has been devasted as well with three starters on IR. Receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp remain out and the offense has dipped to second half of the league in DVOA and EPA. While the Rams are No. 8 in Offensive rushing EPA, they face a Green Bay defense that is No. 4 in Defensive Rushing EPA. 10* (469) Green Bay Packers

Football is on a 21-10-2 run including 13-3 in the NFL and we keep rolling along! Over the last 2+ NFL Regular Seasons, Fargo is 141-105-3 and brought home +$27,140 and this is only a small sample of how the NFL has been going back! Over the last 12 seasons, Fargo has profited in 10 of those, bringing in a COLOSSAL $83,310 in profits! Sunday features FIVE Winners including an Ultimate Underdog playing against a public favorite! Do yourself a favor and grab a season sub so you do not miss a play!This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. While Minnesota has been the big surprise in the league, Washington is right up there as it has been the talk the last two weeks and their offensive output. Those games against Arizona and Cincinnati were against defenses ranked No. 28 and No. 26 in Defensive EPA respectively so the Commanders were far from challenged. Jayden Daniels has been outstanding as he has completed 82.1 percent of his passes and has posted a 107.4 passer rating but this will be his first test against a strong defense. The Browns were one of the best in the NFL last season in EPA and DVOA and while they have slipped some this season, the opener against Dallas has a lot to do with that and they have been much better the last three weeks, albeit against some pedestrian offenses. Cleveland defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz has done a great job of game planning and the key here is to clean up the missed tackles. The Browns offense has been one of the worst in the NFL as they have yet to score 20 points in four games and they have not exactly faced a potent defense. That does not change here as they now get to go against the worst defense they have encountered with Washington ranked No. 30 in both Defensive DVOA and EPA and this is the breakout game they need if they want to salvage this season. The offensive line has been a big problem but they are starting to get healthy again. This is also a play on the spread which absolutely looks like a trap line. Washington has looked like one of the best teams over the last two weeks yet are favored by just a field goal as of Wednesday, just a half-point more that what Las Vegas was favored by over Cleveland last week. 10* (463) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Jacksonville came through with the cover but failed to pick up the win as it could not hold the lead it got halfway through the third quarter, allowing a touchdown with 18 seconds left to remain the only winless team in the NFL. The Jaguars easily could have won their first two games, then they ran into a buzzsaw in Buffalo before another game last week they could have won. The offense has gotten the blame but they are No. 21 in Offensive DVOA which is far from great but hardly horrible and they will be facing an average defense this week as the Colts are No. 17 in Defensive DVOA as their best two games were against the Packers without Jordan Love and still lost and against Bears rookie Caleb Williams. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has now lost nine straight starts and is 20-34 in his career and he is coming off a mistake free game with another great chance to break that streak. The Colts defeated the Steelers last week to make it two straight wins but they suffered two big blows. Quarterback Anthony Richardson had to leave the game with a hip injury putting this game in question although there is optimism he will play. If not, it will be Joe Flacco and at this point, there is no difference in the betting market and who will lead this team. The bigger injury was the ankle sprain of Jonathan Taylor who has not practiced. He is ranked fifth in the NFL in rushing with 349 yards and they will not bring him back early after suffering the same injury last season and came back too early as he reaggravated it. The Jaguars defense has been the real issue as they are No. 32 in Defensive DVOA but that is due to the last two games as they played solid the first two against a comparable offense. 10* (460) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Jacksonville came through with the cover but failed to pick up the win as it could not hold the lead it got halfway through the third quarter, allowing a touchdown with 18 seconds left to remain the only winless team in the NFL. The Jaguars easily could have won their first two games, then they ran into a buzzsaw in Buffalo before another game last week they could have won. The offense has gotten the blame but they are No. 21 in Offensive DVOA which is far from great but hardly horrible and they will be facing an average defense this week as the Colts are No. 17 in Defensive DVOA as their best two games were against the Packers without Jordan Love and still lost and against Bears rookie Caleb Williams. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has now lost nine straight starts and is 20-34 in his career and he is coming off a mistake free game with another great chance to break that streak. The Colts defeated the Steelers last week to make it two straight wins but they suffered two big blows. Quarterback Anthony Richardson had to leave the game with a hip injury putting this game in question although there is optimism he will play. If not, it will be Joe Flacco and at this point, there is no difference in the betting market and who will lead this team. The bigger injury was the ankle sprain of Jonathan Taylor who has not practiced. He is ranked fifth in the NFL in rushing with 349 yards and they will not bring him back early after suffering the same injury last season and came back too early as he reaggravated it. The Jaguars defense has been the real issue as they are No. 32 in Defensive DVOA but that is due to the last two games as they played solid the first two against a comparable offense. 10* (460) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our AFC Game of the Month. Buffalo is coming off its first loss of the season and it was not even close as the Bills were dominated from the start and that was a loss that can actually help going forward. This will be their second straight road game but have the ideal situation coming off an embarrassing stand alone game loss and now finally playing their first 1:00 game of the season. Buffalo is ranked in the top five in both Offensive DVOA and EPA and face a Texans defense that is ranked No. 17 in Defensive EPA so we ae expecting a big bounce back from the offense that scored only 10 points last week. The 12 first downs generated were the fewest for a Buffalo team in five years. Houston has not been impressive in its 3-1 start and neither has C.J. Stroud who is well below his averages from last season and we expected regression from him and the Texans as a whole after winning the AFC South last season. They allowed Indianapolis to stick around the entire game and against Chicago, they needed four field goals, three from 50+, to get by while needing a late score last week to get past Jacksonville. Stroud did have a solid game but that was against a defense ranked dead last in DVOA and second to last in EPA. Despite the Bills injuries and suspensions, the Texans take a big step up. Buffalo was torched on defense against the Ravens but are still a respectable No. 10 in Defensive DVOA and in the only other two games they have faced a defense ranked in the top half of the league in DVOA, they managed 26 combined points. Early money has poured in on Buffalo yet the line has not moved and that is certainly telling. 10* (457) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Early Dominator. Minnesota is the surprise of the NFL as it is off to a 4-0 start and has been the most dominating team not only because of the perfect straight up record but the Vikings are off to a 4-0 ATS start, covering by an average of 16.2 ppg. Now is the time to go against this streak as we have seen a line flip from +2.5 to -2.5 based on overall success and what was seem last week. Defeating the Giants in Week One was nothing special and the last three wins, they have had great situation, facing the 49ers in their first road game coming off a big home win over the Jets, facing an overvalued Houston team that was 2-0 and last week going up against Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love making his first start since opening week and very rusty early on. This will be the toughest matchup quarterback Sam Darnold has faced. The Jets are coming off a bad home loss against Denver as they missed a late field goal for the win but the conditions were horrible which hurt their offense more than it affected the Broncos offense. They managed only 248 total yards with quarterback Aaron Rodgers going just 24-42 where the rain made a difference in the accuracy. He faces a tough defense this week as the Vikings are No. 1 in DVOA and No. 3 in EPA but he is one of a very few quarterbacks than can work around this. The big edge for the Jets is the defense as they are No. 1 in Passing EPA Defense and they have allowed just 30 points in their last three games after giving up 32 in their season opener. Not only do we expect Rodgers to bounce back but we expect the Jets defense to continue to dominate. 10* (451) New York Jets

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB NLDS Dominator. The Padres closed the regular season on a 43-20 run since the All Star Break which was the best record in baseball and they easily dispatched of the Braves in a two-game sweep. They come in as the hottest team in baseball but are forced to hit the road to open the NLDS but this is not a concern as they went 48-33 on the highway which was the best road record in the National League. The Dodgers closed the regular season with five straight wins including a pair of victories over San Diego which clinched the National League West but will the extended time off hurt? The offense was lethal down the stretch as since September 15, they averaged 7.8 rpg over a stretch od 14 games while their .392 wOBA was easily the best in baseball but nine of those games were against the Rockies and Marlins. The Dodgers flipped their starters in Game One and Game Two as Jack Flaherty was the scheduled starter for Saturday but Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take his place with the reasoning due to keeping him not on regular rest since that has what he was accustomed to this season. He missed close to three months with a triceps injury and while he has made four starts since his return, he has not thrown more than 79 pitches so he will likely not be stretched in Game One which brings the Dodgers bullpen into play. They have a 4.09 xFIP since the All Star Break but since September 1, the xFIP is 4.29 which is No. 26 in baseball. Dylan Cease was the big offseason acquisition for the Padres and he lived up to the billing with a 3.47 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over 33 starts and finished tied for second in strikeouts with 224, one behind Chris Sale. Out of 55 qualified starters, his 29.4% K% was No. 5 while finishing top ten in K-BB%. He closed the season with a 1.40 ERA and 0.83 WHIP over his final three starts. The sweep of the Braves enabled the entire Padres bullpen to rest and it was one of the best during their run. San Diego had a 3.39 xFIP since the All Star Break which was No. 2 in baseball. 10* (957) San Diego Padres

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our SBC Game of the Year. South Alabama opened the season with a pair of losses against North Texas which is proving to be a very good team on offense as evidenced by the 52 points scored against the Jaguars and then lost at Ohio by a touchdown. They were able to respond with a pair of blowouts and while we cannot count the game against Northwestern St., a 34-point win at Appalachian St. was very impressive and now they are playing their third straight road game which is not a concern in this spot. The lost at LSU last week as the defense could not stop the Tigers early and were never able to get into a rhythm on offense. Still, South Alabama is ranked No. 47 in Offensive EPA which has come against a middling schedule and this is a big game to move to 2-0 in the Sun Belt Conference before their bye and three straight home games following that so there will be full focus here. Arkansas St. comes in at 2-2 as it opened with a pair of wins at home before hitting the road against two Power 4 teams. They had that impressive 10-point loss at Michigan but that was a game where Michigan was looking ahead to hosting USC so they kept it vanilla after taking a 21-3 lead at halftime and the Red Wolves were exposed two weeks ago at Iowa St. The concerning part are those two wins as Arkansas St. beat Central Arkansas of the FCS by only three points and skated by Tulsa, which is ranked No. 123 and No. 108 in our two sets of ratings, in the most recent win by just four points. And both of those were at home. The Red Wolves have played the tougher overall schedule but they still come in No. 98 in both Offensive and Defensive EPA with a Net EPA of No. 101. They do come in as the home underdog and in this spot, that is the right number but we do not think it will be nearly enough. 10* (387) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Based on recent history, no one will touching this side but history cannot always be counted on especially considering these teams have only played each other twice since 2017. This is a tough spot for Alabama after facing Georgia as it was the biggest game of the season so far and now it has to hit the road after facing the Bulldogs for the first time since 2007 which puts it in an even tougher situation and out of a comfort zone. The dynamic of the game last week is also playing a big role as the Crimson Tide blew a 28-0 lead and needed a game-winning touchdown with just over two minutes remaining after falling behind by allowing 19 unanswered points to open the fourth quarter. Obviously, Alabama has the talent to roll over most of the country but this has the potential to be a sneaky test if full focus is not present. Vanderbilt got off to its second straight 2-0 start which included an upset win over Virginia Tech in overtime in the season opener but it has dropped two straight games, both on the road. The loss against Georgia St. was simply a bad spot looking ahead to a game at Missouri on the road and the Commodores ended up losing those games by a combined seven points. A loss is never ideal but the loss against the Tigers was a quality one and a few plays the other way, they could be sitting 4-0 right now. A huge transfer acquisition was quarterback Diego Pavia who is a great game manager here and in his days at New Mexico St. where he produced some big wins. He can get it done both ways but it is essential to get a quality group of wide receivers more involved. They have played a schedule ranked No. 73 which is average but they have put up a No. 45 Net EPA, the best number in years to keep this within reach. 10* (350) Vanderbilt Commodores

This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CFB Star Attraction. Ohio St. is staking its claim to be the best team in the country as following a 38-7 win over Michigan St., the Buckeyes are 4-0 and doing it on both sides of the ball as they are No. 1 in Offensive EPA and No. 2 in Defensive EPA. The issue is, they have not been tested as this is not the Michigan St. of old and their three nonconference games came against Akron, Western Michigan and Marshall for an overall schedule ranking of No. 131 which is the second easiest among all teams ranked in the top 30. A year ago, the Ohio St. defense would eat up the Iowa offense similar to how it did in 2022 it will not be as easy this time around. Looking at their own offense Buckeyes quarterback Will Howard has been decent enough to show positive signs but he is still ranked only No. 14 in Passing Efficiency which is still pretty good but not against the competition he has faced. Getting flushed out of the pocket can be his undoing and we see that happening here against by far the best defense he has faced. Iowa suffered a tough one point loss against Iowa St. in its second game of the season on a 54-yard field goal with six seconds remaining for its only blemish so far this season. The Hawkeyes bounced back with a pair of wins over Troy and Minnesota where they scored 38 and 31 points respectively, the third time they have eclipsed 30 points and to put that in perspective, they scored 30 or more points twice in the previous two seasons combined. Obviously, they take a step up here against the toughest defense they have seen as well but we no longer know that 10 points is their floor. Defensively, they are stout again as they come in No. 19 in Defensive EPA and they still have yet to show their best. The will not shut down the Buckeyes completely but enough to stay within this inflated number. 10* (393) Iowa Hawkeyes

This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CFB Star Attraction. Ohio St. is staking its claim to be the best team in the country as following a 38-7 win over Michigan St., the Buckeyes are 4-0 and doing it on both sides of the ball as they are No. 1 in Offensive EPA and No. 2 in Defensive EPA. The issue is, they have not been tested as this is not the Michigan St. of old and their three nonconference games came against Akron, Western Michigan and Marshall for an overall schedule ranking of No. 131 which is the second easiest among all teams ranked in the top 30. A year ago, the Ohio St. defense would eat up the Iowa offense similar to how it did in 2022 it will not be as easy this time around. Looking at their own offense Buckeyes quarterback Will Howard has been decent enough to show positive signs but he is still ranked only No. 14 in Passing Efficiency which is still pretty good but not against the competition he has faced. Getting flushed out of the pocket can be his undoing and we see that happening here against by far the best defense he has faced. Iowa suffered a tough one point loss against Iowa St. in its second game of the season on a 54-yard field goal with six seconds remaining for its only blemish so far this season. The Hawkeyes bounced back with a pair of wins over Troy and Minnesota where they scored 38 and 31 points respectively, the third time they have eclipsed 30 points and to put that in perspective, they scored 30 or more points twice in the previous two seasons combined. Obviously, they take a step up here against the toughest defense they have seen as well but we no longer know that 10 points is their floor. Defensively, they are stout again as they come in No. 19 in Defensive EPA and they still have yet to show their best. The will not shut down the Buckeyes completely but enough to stay within this inflated number. 10* (393) Iowa Hawkeyes