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This Handicapper does NOT allows Free Credit to be used for picks Matt Fargo
2-3 Wednesday including 1-3 MLB with the win on the +154 Blue Jays. TWO Thursday MLB Winners for the 2-0 SWEEP to add to Fargo's very profitable 2026 MLB Season. NBA 76-59-1 Run. All-Inclusive Package gets them all!

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HANDICAPPER RESULTS FOR: Matt Fargo
WinnersLosersTotalPercentage
461040.0%

DateW/L
5/20/2026 - NBAWINNER

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We were on the wrong side with the Thunder in Game One as we got Wembanyama’d who put up a 41-24 and hit a clutch deep three-pointer. The Spurs have now won five of the six meetings this season so we are going against the team that certainly looks like a horrible matchup for Oklahoma City but we are going with the desperate home team and backing significant historical situations. For the Thunder, they are 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS in the postseason following a loss and across the league, No. 1 seeds coming off a Game One loss and coming into Game Two as favorites are 28-7 straight up and 22-13 ATS. The Spurs got it done with a huge rebounding edge and outscoring Oklahoma City 27-16 at the free throw line which negated the fact they committed 23 turnovers leading to 28 Thunder points. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having covered four of their last five games against the spread. This situation is 92-43 ATS (68.1 percent) since 2017. 10* (548) Oklahoma City Thunder

 
5/20/2026 - MLBPUSH

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. San Diego entered this series a half-game behind the Dodgers, overtook them for a day and are now back where they started after a 5-4 loss last night. Shohei Ohtani is back on the hill as he continues to dominate with a 0.82 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in seven starts so this is a sell high spot as he will continue to be putting up big numbers and we have seen this number rise considerably from its opener. There is nothing bad to say and he is facing an underachieving offense that could be due for a breakout. While we are going contrarian against Ohtani, we are backing Randy Vasquez who is flying under the radar as he has a 2.68 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in nine starts. He has two poor starts in this start and his other seven outings have been outstanding, allowing no runs or one run in six of those and is nor getting his biggest number all season. 10* (964) San Diego Padres

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This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Late Double Play. Toronto has dropped the first two games of this series each by one run and the Blue Jays desperately need something good to happen and while the Yankees send their top prospect and Cy Young candidate to the hill, Trey Yesavage is right up there in class. He opened the season on the IL after making a name for himself in the postseason a year ago and he has started right where he left off. He has a 1.40 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP and while the latter is not great, his early command issues will come around and he is pitching to a 2.04 xERA which is No. 5 out of 179 starting pitchers that have gone at least 10 innings. Can Schlittler is off to a slightly better start with a 1.35 ERA but is pitching to a 2.58 xERA which is still very solid but because it is the Yankees and all of the pub he has received, the price is too big and this is where we sell high. 10* (973) Toronto Blue Jays

 
5/20/2026 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. We have been waiting to see the Mike Burrows the Astros were hoping to get when they acquired him from the Pirates and things were turning that way at the end of April as he posted a 2.50 ERA in a three-start stretch but then the Mariners roughed him up for seven runs and Seattle has been his nemesis as he has allowed 13 runs in two starts over 11.2 innings. He has been better on the road than at home and take that one Seattle start out and his ERA is 2.95 in his other three road starts. Joe Ryan remains the ace of this Twins pitching staff as he has a 3.20 ERA and 1.01 WHIP and he has been lights out of late, allowing four runs in his last four starts but the below average Twins are 2-2 in those games with one win in extra innings and the other being a one run win so he is again overvalued. 10* (967) Houston Astros

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This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Early Double Play. Texas bounced back from a 7-6 loss Monday with a 10-0 win last night. Kyle Freeland has gotten rocked in each of his last three starts to post a 13.15 ERA over his last three starts yet is catching a rather short number and our contrarian style says it is a take. He has been nothing more than an innings eater in his time in Colorado and is having his worst season since 2019 because of the recent stretch but we cannot forget he opened the season with a 2.30 ERA in his first three outings and overall is pitching to a 5.37 xERA which is certainly not great but it is two runs lower than the top line. Jack Leiter has been all over the place this season with his 4.35 ERA and while he is coming off two starts where he allowed just one run but we do not see it continuing back on the road where he has a 4.97 ERA. 10* (980) Colorado Rockies

 
5/19/2026 - NBAWINNER

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Obviously, the Knicks have a huge edge with their time off as they have a nine-game rest advantage after sweeping the Sixers while the Cavaliers had to go all seven games to take out the Pistons. Cleveland gets no break as it played that last game on Sunday and has to travel again and while it is not a long trip, just the travel aspect with one day off is taxing. This does not bode well for the Cavaliers defense and especially the transition defense for a team that turns the ball over a ton anyway. The Cavaliers average the second most turnovers per game at 16.6, and enter the series No. 11 in fastbreak points given up per game at 14.4 while the Knicks have the highest points per possession in transition, and are No. 4 in transition ppg this postseason at 22.7. Road underdogs in Game One after a Game Seven are 13-30. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 41-10 (80.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (546) New York Knicks

 
5/19/2026 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies have gotten it together under Don Mattingly but are in a sell high spot here. This is a great buy low spot for Chase Burns who is coming off another solid outing against Washington as he allowed no runs, the fourth time he has not given up a run in his nine starts to lower his ERA to 1.87 and his WHIP to 1.00. He had one poor start against the Angels but has allowed two runs or less in all of his other eight starts. Jesus Luzardo has been unable to find his groove as he has a 5.07 ERA and 1.33 WHIP through nine starts. He is coming off a solid outing against the Red Sox but that was on the road as he has some brutal reverse splits with a 1.52 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in four road outings but in five home starts, those numbers balloon to an 8.31 ERA and 1.50 WHIP and this is just as much mental as it is with his mechanics somehow at Citizens Bank Park. 10* (903) Cincinnati Reds

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This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Giants, namely Robbie Ray, got scorched last night in a 12-2 loss as Arizona plated four first inning runs and never looked back. San Francisco is hoping for a better effort from Landen Roupe and it should happen as he has been the most consistent starter over the first 30 percent of the season. He has a 3.49 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through nine starts while pitching to a 2.74 xERA, easily the lowest of any starter in the rotation. He has been even better on the road with a 2.01 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five outings with the two worst coming against the Dodgers and Rays, two of the top three hitting teams in baseball. Arizona turns to Ryne Nelson who has been pitching better with a 2.33 ERA over his last three starts but he cannot be trusted as he has been inconsistent and is pitching to a 4.47 xERA while posting a 9.18 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in four home outings. 10* (911) San Francisco Giants

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This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has been a tough start for Detroit but it is far from out of it in the very average American League Central. Parker Messick was a late season callup last season and he shined with a 2.72 ERA in seven starts and he has already exceeded early expectations with his 2.35 ERA and 0.99 WHIP and his name is starting to get out there. This is just his second road start in over five weeks as five of his last six starts have been at home and in the only road outing against the Athletics, he allowed four runs in five innings, giving up three home runs. Keider Montero had his moments the last two seasons but was relatively average however he is having the season many expected. He has a 3.65 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, the same as Messick, through eight starts, allowing more than three runs only twice. He is back home where he has a 3.14 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five starts. 10* (916) Detroit Tigers

 
5/18/2026 - MLBWINNER

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Padres are coming off a three-game sweep of the Mariners in Seattle to remain a half-game behind the Dodgers and turn to Michael King who had a breakout season two years ago but was limited last season with injuries yet is back this season with a 2.69 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through nine starts. He has had to square off against some elite opposing starters and has held his own and he returns home where he has a 2.35 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in four starts. The Dodgers destroyed the Angels over the weekend, outscoring them 31-3 but now they take a big step up and while one of the aces takes the hill, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has not looked good of late. He has a 5.18 ERA over his last four starts after rolling through his first four outings. His issue is his HR/9% which is double of what it was in his first two seasons while his K/9 is the lowest. 10* (960) San Diego Padres

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This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Late Double Play. We made an awful call with the Angels as they were swept by the Dodgers and outscored 31-3 but now take a step down. Walbert Urena is a name no one outside of Anaheim has probably heard of but he is making a name for himself early in the season. He opened with two stints out of the bullpen and then entered the rotation and has posted a 3.51 ERA and 1.21 WHIP which is skewed by one poor start in Kansas City as he has allowed two runs or less in his other four outings. He spent the entire 2025 season at Double-A and made 27 starts over 135.1 innings, striking out 115 batters thanks to a fastball hitting 99 mph. J.T. Ginn has followed a similar path as he opened the season in the bullpen and entered the rotation after three appearances and has been solid with a 2.72 ERA and 1.21 WHIP but is now laying his biggest road number. 10* (974) Los Angeles Angels

 
5/18/2026 - NBALOSER

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City finished with the best record in the NBA for a second straight season, this one by two games over the Spurs which got them the No. 1 seed again and home court advantage. All the Thunder have been hearing about leading up to this series is how they lost four of five meetings against the Spurs during the regular season so this opener is going to serve as a statement game. The Thunder are 8-0 in the playoffs, winning by an average of more than 16 points per game and they are 22-4 since the All Star Break with only one loss taking place at home which was the season finale where no one played. Jalen Williams had a tough season with injuries and eventually made it back to the postseason to play two games against Phoenix before missing the final six playoff games but he is off the injury report making the Thunder fully healthy. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having covered four of their last five games against the spread. This situation is 91-42 ATS (68.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (544) Oklahoma City Thunder

 
5/18/2026 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Mets are coming off an emotional series win over the crosstown rival Yankees to conclude a 5-1 homestand and this is the spot to go against as they are now overpriced in their first game of this roadtrip. Christian Scott has gotten off to a solid start as he has a 3.45 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through four starts but he is not being stretched out as his longest outing was five innings and he has not surpassed 89 pitches and now after having rest of 8, 6 and 6 days, he is now going on 5 days rest for the first time. The Nationals took two of three against Baltimore and are one game under .500 and send Jake Irvin out to the hill. He had a poor early start against the Dodgers but then strung together five straight really good outings before Minnesota got to him for four runs and then the Reds got to him for five runs last time out but that was on the road. 10* (956) Washington Nationals

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This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. This is the big contrarian play of the night as we go against the best team in the American League and the hottest pitcher in the league at a great sell high price. Shane McClanahan has not allowed a run over his last 21.2 innings covering four starts and this is the reason 95 percent of the early money and 92 percent of the handle is on Tampa Bay. Trevor Rogers has allowed 19 runs in 15.1 innings over his last four starts but he got a severe bout of the flu that forced the Orioles to place him on the 15-day injured list in late April. He came back against the Yankees six days ago and struggled heavily with his stamina, surrendering six earned runs over four innings. He should be back to full strength as he was in bad shape and hopefully return to how he started the season where he went 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA backing up his dominating 2025 season. 10* (963) Baltimore Orioles

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This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. Both Texas and Colorado are coming off weekend series losses with Texas salvaging the final game Sunday. Mackenzie Gore has been a decent addition to the rotation as he has had his ups and downs but he is coming off his best start of the season as he went eight innings against Arizona, allowing only one run via a solo home run, on three hits and a walk but that was at home where he has been pretty dominant. He hits the road where he has a 6.38 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in five starts over 24 innings. Jose Quintana had a solid season with the Brewers last year as he had a 3.96 ERA over 24 starts and in seven starts with the Rockies, he has posted a near identical 3.97 ERA. He has allowed three runs or less in six of those seven outings, the only exception being a start against the Dodgers, while allowing two runs or less in four straight starts. 10* (978) Colorado Rockies

 
5/17/2026 - NBAWINNER

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The road team has won the last two games of this series after the home team took the first four games and the public will be looking to buck this recent trend but we will grab the road team again as this one has last possession written all over it. We have seen only one close finish thus far in this series and that was the game won by Cleveland here in Game Five in overtime and any abundance of points is a bonus tonight. Game Seven used to heavily favor the home team but that has flipped over the last few years as the road team has had the cover edge as a 62 percent clip and this is due to overaggressive lines. That is definitely the case here as these series clinching games have mostly turned into slow paced defensive games, getting anything over a possession is a big edge. Here, we play on road teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (529) Cleveland Cavaliers

 
5/17/2026 - MLBLOSER

This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Boston came through last night with a dramatic win to even up this series and we are backing the Red Sox in a good buy low spot with Brayan Bello. The numbers are not good by any stretch but there is a caveat to it. He has a 9.12 ERA in his six starts but in his last two games, he followed an opener and his numbers were solid, allowing two runs over 13.1 innings so he looks to have found something and at the top of the list is the confidence as he is now back in the traditional starting role. Grant Holmes has a 4.35 ERA and 1.31 WHIP while pitching to a 4.41 xERA so he has hit his ceiling and is nothing more than a bottom tier starter. He has struggled with command all season and he has allowed five home runs over his last four starts and while he has the No. 2 bullpen behind him, the Red sox have the No. 4 bullpen. 10* (913) Boston Red Sox

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This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Cincinnati won the opener but dropped Game Two of this series 7-4 on Saturday. Brady Singer had two solid seasons in Kansas City in 2022 and 2024 and his first season in Cincinnati was decent with a 4.03 ERA and 1.24 WHIP but he has regressed so far this season with a 5.79 ERA and 1.67 WHIP through nine starts. He has had only two really poor starts but he has been inconsistent all around and that is due to the long ball as he has allowed 11 home runs in 42 innings (2.36 HR/9) with a 1.13 HR/9 being the highest in six previous seasons. Cleveland is No. 24 in MLB with just 30 home runs against righties. Gavin Williams has a high ceiling as a fantasy pitcher because of his strikeout potential so if he pitches well, he is legit. He has not of late however as he has allowed five runs or more in three of his last four starts. 10* (915) Cincinnati Reds

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This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. This line has taken a nosedive so while we are not getting the same value, we are still going with the move and let the public take the bait. The Dodgers have outscored the Angels 21-2 in the first two games of this series but have gone from a -173 opener to low -140s which could be twofold. Grayson Rodriguez is an unknown right now as this is his first appearance since July 31, 2024, as he missed all of last season after elbow surgery. He had a 3.86 ERA, 26.5% strikeout rate, and 7.3% walk rate over 116.2 innings in 2024 and he made two rehab starts, the last one being solid as he struck out 11 in 4.2 innings and had 18 strikeouts across 9.2 innings overall. The other reason is Roki Sasaki who has been very average with a 5.88 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven starts which has carried over from an awful spring. 10* (928) Los Angeles Angels