This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our Divisional Game of the Year. We will keep fading this overvalued and overhyped Denver team as it remains No. 2 in the Luck Ratings as it pulled off yet another win it easily could have lost, defeating Washington in overtime on a Commanders missed two-point conversion. The Broncos are 10-2 with eight of those wins coming by one possession including their last four wins by a total of 10 points. A nine-game winning streak is nothing to scoff at in this league as winning is hard but it can also be lucky at times and the markets have to keep adjusting the wrong way for bettors backing them. The Raiders were unable to get the offense going in the first game since offensive coordinator Chip Kelly was let go but now back home, the effort will continue to be there. Here, we play against road teams after allowing seven points or less in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or less in four straight games. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (138) Las Vegas Raiders

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. The Buccaneers snapped a three-game losing streak with a three-point win over the Cardinals and of its seven wins, that was the fifth one possession victory as the Buccaneers remain one of the luckier teams in the league. Injuries really got to them and while they are getting healthier, they are not there yet especially at wide receiver and the Buccaneers are still being priced like they are a dominant team and they are not. Tampa Bay is No. 18 in Offensive EPA and No. 12 in Defensive EPA and in another sell high spot. New Orleans has officially been eliminated from the postseason as it has lost two straight to fall to 2-10. The offense has struggled but the defense has played at an above average level as the Saints are No. 14 in EPA. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite, playing a losing team. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (135) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Rivalry Rout. The Colts were deemed the best team in the NFL not that long ago and it does not take long for minds to change and gears to switch. Indianapolis has lost two straight games and three of its last four but those were all one possession losses and despite the offense regressing the last couple games behind a fractured Daniel Jones fibula, the Colts are still No. 2 in Offensive EPA. In a very surprising meeting stat is the fact that the Colts have not won in Jacksonville since 2014 as they have lost the last 10 trips there. Since suffering that brutal loss in Houston where they were outscored 26-0 in the fourth quarter, the Jaguars have won three straight games to move into a first place tie in the AFC South with the Colts and the number is now on the Colts side. Here, we play against teams after allowing six points or less last game against an opponent after a loss by six or less points. This situation is 58-24 (70.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (131) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. This is the classic spot where we have a team on a huge roll facing a team off a bad loss and laying big lumber on the road and we saw what happened to the Rams last week. The Seahawks are coming off a shutout of the Vikings 26-0 which is another reason to fade and despite the majority of the money on them, the line has slightly dropped. Atlanta has lost six of seven and no one will want to back them. Seattle is in a classic fade spot for a dominant team late in the season as we go against teams in December or later off a win with a winning percentage of .700 or better and a spread cover percentage of 60 percent or better and outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 81-51-5 ATS (61.4 percent) since 2003. Also, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 2016. 10* (130) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Baltimore is coming off a brutal loss on Thanksgiving against the Bengals 32-14 but the Ravens were outgained by just 36 yards as they committed five turnovers which was the ultimate downfall. They are now tied with the Steelers at 6-6 for first place in the AFC North with the Bengals now back in it with a healthy Joe Burrow. This is one of those rivalries where the dog was the automatic take as since 2005, the underdog is 29-12-3 ATS but not at this state of the Steelers. They are coming off a brutal game against Buffalo as the offense managed 166 yards against a bad Bills defense while their own defense allowed 249 yards rushing on 51 carries (4.9 ypc) so Derrick Henry could go off. Pittsburgh has lost five of seven and now has internal issues. Here, we play on home division favorites coming off a divisional loss and playing with 10 or more days off. This situation is 38-17 ATS (69.1 percent) since 2011. 10* (128) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CBB False Favorite. New Mexico won the Mountain West Conference last season with a 17-3 record and while it is expected to take a small step back, they are still at The Pit for a third straight game following a tricky travel schedule. The Lobos opened with three home wins and then traveled to rival New Mexico St. and lost before having to play a pair of games in Kansas City where it lost to Nebraska and defeated Mississippi St. This line is filled with value based on the start for Santa Clara as it is 8-1 with its lone loss coming against St. Louis by one point in Palm Springs. The Broncos are a legit team once again and this is just their second true road game with the first being a win at Xavier which is not a good team and that was back on November 10 when the Musketeers were really not good. False favorite here. 10* (730) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer Winner. Miami is coming off a one point loss at Orlando last night, its second straight loss and third defeat in four games following a six-game winning streak. The Heat are now 14-9 overall and their seven losses against the top 10 are the most of any team ranked in the top 17 in the league but take those top ten games away and they are 11-2 against the rest of the league. Sacramento is struggling big time as it last lost four straight games and is 2-12 in its last 14 games while covering only three of those games. To their credit, they have played the toughest schedule in the league but that does little good when they are getting blown out most of the time, getting outscored by 11.8 ppg including 11.6 ppg on the road. Here, we play on teams off a road loss against a division rival, when playing their 3rd game in four nights. This situation is 92-59 (60.9 percent) since 2022. 10* (544) Miami Heat

This is a play on the EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. This is a play on the EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Eastern Illinois has been off since November 28 after getting steamrolled at Purdue by 47 points which put the Panthers at 0-5 on the road with three other losses coming against Valparaiso, Kentucky and Notre Dame and while a 21-point loss at Central Arkansas was not good, it was right before that Purdue lookahead. Eastern Illinois is back home where it is 2-0 and hosting the Ohio Valley Conference opener and catching points based on the record and not the fact they have played a No. 11 ranked schedule. Lindenwood has won two straight games following a 35-point win at Northern Illinois on Tuesday and now the Lions are back in Illinois as a road favorite and while three of their four road losses have been against Texas Tech, St. Louis and Indiana, the fourth was against Alabama A&M, rated No. 261. 10* (716) Eastern Illinois Panthers

This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. The Shockers are 5-4 as they are a perfect 5-0 at home and 0-4 outside of Wichita which includes a loss at Boise St. in their only true road game. They are coming off a disappointing 19-15 season including 8-10 in the American Athletic Association and it has now been five straight non-20-win seasons after winning 20 or more games in 11 straight seasons prior to that. This is a brand new roster which is one that has not surprisingly struggled away from their home floor and we are getting value here because the four losses have been by a n average of 4.8 ppg. Now that Drake and Bradley have taken a step back, it is time for Northern Iowa to get back into the Missouri Valley Conference mix and the Panthers are off to a 7-1 start including 5-0 at home and playing with revenge from a loss in Wichita last year. 10* (712) Northern Iowa Panthers

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE PANTHERS for our Horizon Game of the Month. Robert Morris has won four straight games including an 80-78 victory over Green Bay on Thursday as the Colonials closed the game on an 18-5 run to pull off the improbable upset. A situation like that can cause a letdown no matter who the opponent and it makes it even tougher in the second of back-to-back road games with only one game in-between. We have played on Robert Morris twice against Drake and Illinois-Chicago and both won but those were both off losses. Milwaukee is playing its Horizon League opener as it was the odd team out opening night because of the 11-team conference and it is an advantage with no quick turnover as its last game was on November 29 against Akron, a 24-point road loss. The Panthers are back home where they are 3-0with this being just their second home game in 26 days. 10* (706) Milwaukee Panthers