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HANDICAPPER RESULTS FOR: Ben Burns
WinnersLosersTotalPercentage
641060.0%

DateW/L
5/20/2015 - NBALOSER

I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as a 10*

The Hawks escaped a tough series with the Wizards, thanks to some last-second heroics as well as some luck, with Washington having a Paul Pierce buzzer beater called back in Game 6. And those close calls have oddsmakers showing the Eastern Conference’s top seed little respect in this conference finals opener against Cleveland. Atlanta matches up better with the Cavs, being able to throw some multiple athletic forwards at LeBron James as well as possessing a much deeper frontcourt. Cleveland lucked out against Chicago in Round 2 with the Bulls’ big men playing banged up. The Hawks have All-Stars Al Horford and Paul Milsap at forward along with budding star DeMarre Carroll. The Cavaliers don’t have much muscle or talent down low, since Kevin Love was lost for the postseason, and we expect the Hawks to flex its frontcourt prowess and pick up an impressive win in Game 1 of this Eastern Conference final Wednesday.

I’m playing on Atlanta as a 10* Wednesday.

 
5/18/2015 - NHLWINNER

I’m playing on the Over in Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers as a 9*.

Hockey bettors saw New York impose its defensive-minded brand of hockey in Game 1 on the Eastern Conference final. But, we expect the Lightning to find their stride and turn up the tempo in Game 2 Monday. Tampa Bay was limited to single-digit shots in the first and third periods of Saturday’s series opener and plenty of those weren’t quality attempts to begin with. The NHL’s highest-scoring squad, which netted 3.2 goals a night in the regular season, will increase those chances and make sure they count, not wanting to head home down 0-2 in the series. For New York, it missed out on plenty of good scoring chances in Game 1 as well. A couple shots were saved by the post, and that could have led to a much higher-scoring contests in the opener. We don’t see the Rangers passing on those easy opportunities again in this one. New York actually outshot the Lightning and can return fire with a deep offensive corps.

I’m playing on the Over in Tampa Bay at N.Y. Rangers as a 9* Monday.

 
5/17/2015 - NBAWINNER

I’m playing on the Under in Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets as a 10*.

These teams have trumped the total in all six of their showdowns in this Western Conference semifinal series but Game 7 will be a tightly-contested game with neither team wanting to make mistakes. Los Angeles is still smarting from a blown 19-point lead in the second half of Game 6, and will be turning up the defensive intensity for this do-or-die game. Houston did damage on the boards in Game 6 and picked up plenty of second-chance points. Those putbacks will be tougher to come by with Doc Rivers preaching toughness on the defensive boards. For the Rockets, they’ve relied on those inside points with star James Harden going cold from outside. Harden is just 3 for 14 from beyond the arc the last two games while Houston, as a team, is shooting 22 for 61 in those games. The Rockets have done a good job protecting against the 3-pointer, allowing L.A. to hit just 30.2 percent of its shots from distance the last three games. This will be a closing-contested battle with neither team looking to give an inch.

I’m playing on the Under in L.A. Clippers at Houston as a 10* Sunday.

 
5/17/2015 - NBALOSER

I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as a 10*.

The Clippers let Game 6 get away from them, collapsing in what would have been a home win that sent them to the Western Conference finals. However, now the series swings back to Houston and the Clippers are desperate to win this Game 7 showdown and not become the latest team to collapse under the pressure. Los Angeles held a 19-point lead in Game 6 then caved in for a 40-point fourth quarter to the Rockets. We expect head coach Doc Rivers to preach defensive intensity before Game 7 and the Clippers will extra cautious to let Houston build any momentum offensively. The Rockets were able to pick up plenty of scraps and outscored L.A. 26-5 in second-chance buckets. Those offensive putbacks will be much harder to come by Sunday. We expect both teams to battle but see the Clippers doing enough to cover this short spread and advance to the conference finals.

I’m playing on the L.A. Clippers as a 10* Sunday.

 
5/15/2015 - NBAWINNER
GOLDEN STATE at MEMPHIS 
 
I am playing on the OVER. Golden State completely turned this series around in Game 4 when it switched up defensive tactics and the Warriors have won the last two games as a result. 
 
The changes in strategy opened up the floor at both ends and allowed the Warriors to break out of the offensive funk they were experiencing. (The Warriors scored 98 and 101 points after scoring 90 and 89 in the previous two games, which were both losses.) I think we'll see Memphis try to keep up with the Warriors a little more now, seeing as how the Grizzlies got thumped by 20 and 16 points in the last two games and they can’t simply hope to win by bringing the exact same game plan. 
 
The Grizzlies know they can no longer completely grind down Golden State and they'll probably have to push 100 points to get the win - and they need the win to stay alive in this series. With that in mind, I feel this total has been set too low and though we won't see record setting fireworks, I think we will see Game 6 jump over the number. 10* Blue Chip
 
5/15/2015 - NBALOSER
ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
 
I am playing on the OVER. One of the biggest reasons - but not the only one - why I like the over in Game 6 of this series is of course the fact that John Wall is back in the lineup. 
 
You had to marvel at the way Wall performed in Game 5 with multiple fractures in his hand, picking up 15 points, seven assists, four rebounds and two blocks. The Hawks just seemed much more scrambly with Wall on the floor and the Wizards picked up a lot of easy points for a second round playoff game. 
 
I think turnovers will translate into more points on Friday and we'll see this one go over the number. There were 46 combined turnovers in Game 5 but neither team had fabulous shooting performances. I think we'll see that change a bit with the series back in Washington for the next game where the over is a perfect 4-0 in these playoffs, all with totals similar to the one we're seeing here. 9* Annihilator
 
5/15/2015 - NBAWINNER

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON 

I am playing on ATLANTA. The Hawks played about as poorly as they can play on Wednesday night and they still managed to squeak out the win over the Wizards. I think we'll see a much better effort on Friday in Game 6 and I believe they'll not only cover the number, but could very likely end the series. 
 
The Hawks coughed up the ball a sloppy 25 times in Game 5, which should have been enough to doom them. However, I just feel they are the better team, and tougher in the paint, and Al Horford managed to haul in a big rebound and put back the basket needed to take the game. 
 
Nene continues to be sporadic for the Wizards down low (nine points and 40% shooting in Game 5) and as a result, Atlanta holds a big edge in the paint with Horford and Paul Milsap. The Hawks out-rebounded the Wizards 50-46 last game and I think we'll see that continue to give Atlanta a big edge down low in Game 6. 
 
I'm expecting Atlanta to finish this series off on Friday and as a result, I love the points here. 10* Best Bet
 
5/14/2015 - NBALOSER
HOUSTON at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 

I am playing on the UNDER. Oddsmakers have set the total at the highest of the series so far for Game 6 and I think these teams will come back down to earth a little bit and slide under the number tonight. 

L.A. was able to hold Houston to fewer than 100 points in both meetings at home in the series where the Rockets scored 95 and 99 points in two Clippers wins. I think we'll see more of the same in Game 6 - and a much tougher defensive effort from Houston as it faces elimination. 

The Rockets were able to hold the Clippers to its worst shooting percentage of the series in Game 5 (41.8%) and I think we'll see more focus on D once again from both teams with the Rockets facing a playoff exit if they lose. 10*
 
5/14/2015 - NBAWINNER
CLEVELAND at CHICAGO 

I am playing on CLEVELAND. This one all comes down to LeBron, who has simply gone off in this series and I don't see him slowing down any time soon. 

James is coming off a 38-point triple-double and he's averaging 30.8 points over his last four games. The Cavs went 3-1 in those contests and it's like LeBron just decided Cleveland wasn't going to lose this series. All the Bulls have really been able to do is watch. 

Historically, James is incredible when it comes to putting teams away and I expect him to have another big night. In close-out playoff games (with three wins in the series), LeBron's teams are 22-8 and 20-9-1 against the spread. That's a rate of covering the spread at 69 percent and with a small spread tonight, I expect Cleveland to cash in again tonight. 10*
 
5/13/2015 - NBAWINNER
MEMPHIS at GOLDEN STATE 

I am playing on GOLDEN STATE. I like the Warriors to continue in their turnaround of this series after winning Game 3 and for two main reasons: a key defensive adjustment and shots are finally starting to fall for them. 

The Warriors made a surprising change on defense by making Andrew Bogut guard Tony Allen in Game 3. The goal was to try to force Allen to shoot jumpers and make the Grizz beat them in a shooting contest. The result was that Memphis beat Golden State 44-34 in the paint but the Grizzlies were badly out-shot from everywhere else. 

The Warriors shot 47% from the field and 42.4 percent from downtown compared to 37.5% and 22.2% for the Grizzlies.

I expect the momentum to carry into tonight's game back in California with a Golden State team that has its confidence back. 10*