Handicapper Profile

#347 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders +13 (noon est) SEC Network

How in the world is Kentucky a double digit favorite here???  They are falling apart late in the season losing their last 2 games and 3 of their last 5 games SU and their offense is sputtering scoring 17 or fewer points in their last 5 games in a row.  The Wildcats are already bowl eligible so no sense of urgency there and they are already licking their chops at a chance to bury their arch-rival Louisville next week.  No way they are interested here.  Middle Tennessee State is rolling along nicely winning and covering their last 3 games in a row and they will relish the opportunity to beat a team from a big boy conference.  Kentucky is 1-8 ATS as home favorites - laying doubles here is just too big a number.

#318 New Mexico Lobos +20.5 (9:00 est) CBSSN

Take the ton of points here since motivation levels are significantly different here.  New Mexico is trying hard to save their coaches job and they will be extra fired up for a national TV shot at one of the big names in college football.  Not only that they have covered 6 of their last 7 games against Boise State and will be motivated to get a win for the home crowd.  Boise will be far more interested in their game next week against Utah State so they won't want to show anything on film before that game.  Look for a small SU win by Boise but the ATS win going to New Mexico here. 

#311 Tulane Green Wave +10.5 (8:00 est) ESPN

Both of these teams are still alive for the AAC West crown and for Tulane they need one more win to get bowl eligible so look for a very spirited effort from the Green Wave here.  Tulane has covered 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Cougars and the Green Wave enter this game with the much better defense giving up only 23 points per game in conference play.  Houston is on a big downer right now losing their last 2 games SU and ATS giving up 104 points in those 2 games combined.  Houston is already bowl eligible so they won't have that extra sense of urgency that Tulane will have here.  Have to love a motivated double digit dog that has the better defense here.

#303 Buffalo Bulls +2 (7:00 est) ESPN2

Love the Bulls here as an underdog since they have dominated MAC play all season long and with their next game against the hapless Falcons of Bowling Green they know this win gets them a perfect season in MAC play.  That is not a normal occurance in Buffalo so look for the Bulls to be fired up for this one.  Ohio is a solid team but this will be the toughest team they have played at home this season by far - other 3 home opponents were UMass, Bowling Green and Ball State.  Look for the Bobcats offense to find the going much tougher here against the solid Buffalo defense.  Buffalo has covered 5 of the last 7 games in this series, look for them to make it 6 of 8 here.

#15 - #16 Toronto Maple Leafs - Los Angeles Kings UNDER 5.5 -110 (10:35 est)

Love this under here since Toronto is 2-7 to the under in games against the Western Conference and they are a perfect 0-4 to the under in games following scoring only 1 goal or getting shut out.  The Kings are a perfect 0-4 to the under in games against winning teams and have gone under in 4 of 5 total decisions in November.  Play the low side of the total here to win with Jeffrey on the highest rated play of the day for Tuesday.

#275 New York Giants +3.5 (8:20 est) ESPN

Have to LOVE the Giants and the points here since you get Manning against Mullins and you get points.  Yes, Mullins was good last week but that was against the pitiful Raiders and now the Giants have some film on him.  Look for a big effort from the Giants off of their bye week to get a win in what is a horrible season for them.  The Niners only have 1 cover in their last 13 games when favored and this is a bad spot for them.  Take the Giants and the points here.

#256 Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (1:00 est)

I know the Saints looked awesome last week but this is a different week and teams that just knocked off an undefeated team are going to be on a natural downer in their next game.  Now look at the Saints schedule since their next game is against the defending champion Eagles.  Easy to look past the Bengals.  Cincy has covered their last 10 games as home dogs against NFC teams and the Bengals enter this one off of they bye week so they have had extra time to prep for this one.  Take the home dog Bengals here as the play of the day.

#222 Arizona State Sun Devils -12.5 (2:00 est)

Have to love laying the points here with Arizona State since the Bruins have been absolutely pitiful this season with only 2 SU wins and their loss last week eliminates them from bowl consideration.  The Bruins defense has been awful lately giving up over 40 points in their last 2 games and they beat Arizona State last season giving the Sun Devils revenge motivation here. Arizona State has been energized this season by coach Edwards - look for a full effort from them here to get their 6th SU win and get bowl eligible. 

#113 Fresno State Bulldogs -3 (10:15 est) ESPN2

Fresno State has been unstoppable in conference play going 5-0 SU and ATS.  Heck, they have only given up 36 points total in all of their conference games this season.  Since coach Tedford took over in Fresno the Bulldogs are 12-1-1 ATS in conference games and you know the coach has been stirring up the revenge angle since his team lost to Boise last year in the MW title game.  Boise has been terrible ATS at home over the last several years and their offense has been hit or miss this season.  Look for the Fresno defense to be the story of this game in leading the Bulldogs to this win/cover.

#107 - #108 Carolina Panthers - Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 51.5 (8:20 est) FOX

Both of these teams are on a roll right now - especially on defense.  Pittsburgh has won 4 games in a row and they are giving up just an average of 18 points a game in those games while the Panthers have won their last 3 giving up an average of 22 points per game.  The short week of prep should be an advantage for each defense here and you have to believe the weather will not be kind on the river front in Pittsburgh on a November night.  Play this under as the play of the day from Jeffrey.