#923 TIGERS with Morton (-) over Athletics with Bido at 10:05 PM EST
Off a pair of losses to the A's and Royals in which they allowed 18 runs combined, the Tigers will get after it in this right back rematch. Detroit's lead in the AL Central still sits at 10.5-games and manager A.J. Hinch wants to make sure that advantage remains at double-digits after this victory.

Veteran right-hander Charlie Morton will toe the rubber for the home team. So far this year, No. 50 has made four starts for the Motor City Kitty's and was tripped for only nine earned runs and 16 hits in 22.1 innings of work. Charlie struck out 29 and walked eight on his way to a 2-2 record with a 3.63 ERA. Overall, with 27 appearances on the season (the other 23 were with the O's) including 21 starts, Morton was clipped for 70 earned runs and 126 hits in 123.2 frames. That adds up to a 9-10 mark with a 5.09 ERA.

Holding the pearl for the home team will be right-hander Osvaldo Bido. In 2025, No. 45 has taken the mound 19 times (nine in the role of a starter) and bee tagged for 39 earned runs and 78 hits in 65.1 innings. Osvaldo fanned 49 and issued 25 free passes on his way to a 2-4 record with a soft 5.37 ERA. As a starter in nine games, Bido was bombed for 28 earned runs and 52 hits in 43.1 frames. That's bad enough for a 2-4 mark with a dismal 5.82 ERA.

On a technical note, Detroit has picked up wins in 57 of its last 99 when facing a right-handed starter, 50 of its last 80 when fighting a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage less than .500, and 31 of its last 54 when coming off a loss. Meanwhile, the Athletics have fallen in 37 of their last 64 in their own backyard and 35 of their last 61 when facing a winning team.

After pounding Tarik Skubal for five earned runs and seven hits (two of which left the park) in last night five-run blowout victory, the A's will get a quick reality check here. Take Detroit with Morton. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#919 ROYALS with Lorenzen (-) over White Sox with Perez at 7:40 PM EST
Off three consecutive wins by the combined score of 22-3 and back-to-back shutouts, the Pale Hose will crash and burn in this spot. Kansas City pulled off a three-game sweep at home against Chicago in the middle of August and manager Matt Quatraro will have his players ready to go here.

Seasoned right-hander Michael Lorenzen will get the nod for the visitors. With a total of 20 starts in the books, No. 24 was nicked for 54 earned runs and 113 hits in 108.0 innings of work. Michael whiffed 94 and walked 32 on his way to a 5-8 record with a 4.50 ERA. Even better, in 11 career appearances against the ChiSox including eight starts, Lorenzen has assembled a sweet 2-0 mark with a powerful 2.47 ERA.

Left-hander Martin Perez will take the mound for the home team. So far this year, No. 54 has hit the hill six times (five in the role of a starter) and was popped for eight earned runs and 20 hits in 28.2 innings. Martin struck out 27 and walked 13 on his way to a 1-3 record with a 2.51 ERA. In a pair of August outings versus the Braves and Tigers, Perez was popped for just one earned run and six hits in 8.2 frames. That adds up to a 0-2 record with a 1.04 ERA.

Several quality trends support this Best Bet. Chicago has fallen in 138 of its last 229 when coming off a win, 140 of its last 210 when priced as a home dog, and 138 of its last 220 when fighting a division foe. On the flip side, Kansas City has scooped up wins in 42 of its last 72 when facing a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage less than .500 and 33 of its last 58 when favored.

Sitting 4.0-games back in their hunt for an American League Wild Card spot, the Royals will make sure they bounce back after yesterday's embarrassing loss. Take Kansas City with Lorenzen. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#909 LA DODGERS with Yamamoto (-) over San Diego with Pivetta at 4:10 PM EST
Off a pair of tough division losses to the Friars, the Dodgers high-octane offense will finally come back to life and help key this victory over the Padres. Los Angels now sits 1.0-game back in the NL West and manager Dave Roberts wants to leave PETCO Park tied for the division lead by grabbing the dub here.

Toeing the rubber for the visitors will be right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto. In 2025, No. 18 had his number called 24 times and was nicked for only 43 earned runs and 98 hits in 133.2 innings of work. Yoshinobu whiffed 151 and walked 46 on his way to a 10-8 record with an amazing 2.90 ERA. Since July 1st, Yamamoto has made eight starts and been scratched for 17 earned runs and 35 hits in 44.0 frames. That shakes down to a 3-2 tally with a 3.48 ERA.

Aging righty Nick Pivetta will get the nod for the road squad. So far this year, No. 27 has made 25 starts and been cracked for 46 earned runs and 101 hits in 147.1 innings. Nick struck out 154 and walked 38 on his way to a 13-4 record with a 2.81 ERA. Matched up against the Giants (twice) and Red Sox in his last three performances, Pivetta was popped for seven earned runs and 12 hits in 18.2 frames. After the math, that adds up to a 2-1 tally with a 3.38 ERA.

Technically speaking, this is a phenomenal spot for the visitors. Los Angeles has picked up wins in 154 of its last 242 when coming off a loss, 181 of its last 316 on the road, 364 of its last 570 when favored, and 147 of its last 227 against division foes. On the other side of the chalk line, San Diego has fallen in 31 of its last 57 when facing a winning team.

In danger of being swept, the Dodgers bats will wake up in a hurry and be the driving force behind this critical division victory. Take Los Angeles with Yamamoto. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#924 MARINERS with Gilbert (-) over Athletics with Lopez at 4:10 PM EST
Checking in hungry off yesterday's 2-1 home loss to the A's and with blemishes in eight of their last 10 overall, the Mariners will approach this game with a sense of urgency. Seattle is sitting 3.0-games back in its hunt for the top spot in the AL West and with a tough three-game set in their own backyard against the Padres up next, manager Dan Wilson and his troops desperately need a win in this spot.

On the bump for the home team will be right-hander Logan Gilbert. With 18 official starts in the books, No. was touched for just 39 earned runs and 74 hits in 91.2 innings of work. Logan fanned 125 and issued 23 free passes on his way to a 3-5 record with a 3.83 ERA. In his last performance at Philadelphia, Gilbert suffered through one of his worst outings of the season giving up six earned runs and nine hits in just 2.0 frames. After that nasty start, the former Stetson hurler will be ready to rock and roll here.

Countering for the visitors will be southpaw Jacob Lopez. So far this year, No. 57 has appeared in 20 games (16 actual starts) and was slapped for 33 earned runs and 75 hits in 90.2 innings. Jacob fanned 111 and issued 31 free passes on his way to a 7-6 record with a 3.28 ERA. In the month of August, Lopez has started four games against the Twins, Devil Rays, Nats, and Diamondbacks and nicked for only two earned runs and 16 hits in 25.2 frames. That shakes down to a 4-0 mark with a strong 0.70 ERA.

With both pitchers capable of throwing a gem, there are a handful of power angles that will key this victory. Seattle has won 91 of its last 148 when fighting a division foe, 132 of its last 226 when rolling at home, and 112 of its last 211 when coming off a loss. Meanwhile, the Athletics have dropped 107 of its last 178 when coming off a win and 90 of its last 146 when fighting an AL West foe.

If the Mariners want to stay in the division race, then they'll need to pick up the pace especially in their own backyard (just 38-26 this year). Take Seattle with Gilbert. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#961 DODGERS with Glasnow (-) over Padres with Cortes at 8:40 PM EST
In a bad mood off yesterday's 2-1 road loss to the Friars, the Dodgers will bounce back with a solid effort in this critical division contest. Los Angeles is currently tied with San Diego for the top spot in the NL West and manager Dave Roberts and his crew understand the importance of this victory.

Taking the mound for the visitors will be right-hander Tyler Glasnow. With 12 stars completed this year, No. 31 has been touched for only 20 earned runs and 38 hits in 57.2 innings of work. Tyler fanned 72 and issued 28 free passes on his way to a 1-1 record with a reliable 3.12 ERA. Facing the Padres, Blue Jays, and Cardinals in three August performances, Glasnow was scratched for only five earned runs and 13 hits in 17.2 frames. After the math, that adds up to a 0-0 record with an elite 2.55 ERA.

Left-hander Nestor Cortes will grab the pill for the home squad. So far, No. 65 has made three starts for the Friars and been cracked for seven earned runs and 16 hits in 15.0 innings of work. Nestor whiffed 14 and walked eight on his way to a 0-1 record with a 4.20 ERA. Overall, with only five outings combined this season (three with the Padres and two with the Brew Crew), Cortes was crunched for 15 earned runs and 23 hits in 23.0 frames. After the math, that equates to a 1-2 tally with a rough 5.87 ERA.

Technically speaking, this is a phenomenal spot for the visitors. Los Angeles has picked up wins in 154 of its last 241 when coming off a loss, 181 of its last 315 on the road, 364 of its last 569 when favored, and 147 of its last 226 against division foes. On the other side of the chalk line, San Diego has fallen in 31 of its last 56 when facing a winning team.

Off Friday's blemish and with the top spot in the NL West on the line, the Dodgers will pick up a little sweet revenge here. Take Los Angeles with Glasnow. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#311 STANFORD (+) over Hawaii at 7:30 PM EST
Under the leadership of general manager Andrew Luck and interim head coach Frank Reich, the Cardinal will travel to Honolulu and pull off the minor upset over the Rainbows in this Week Zero college football matchup. Hawaii welcomes back quarterback Micah Alejado and a good portion of its starting defense. However, that's not going to be enough matched up against a Stanford unit that looks to turn things around immediately under the guidance of Luck and Reich.

Back on September 1st, 2023, the Tree (-2') visited the 'Bows in their season opener and picked up a solid 37-24 win and cover. Expect a repeat performance here. Technically speaking, the Cardinal has played extremely well in season openers posting a solid 18-7 SU and 14-8 ATS record in their last 25 tries. As long as Coach Reich and his troops aren't priced as a hefty double-digit underdog, this situation improves to a powerful 18-4 SU and 14-5 ATS.

When this line opened, Hawaii was a 2.5-point home underdog. That was attractive. However, there is no way this Rainbows squad can be trusted as a home favorite. According to the Team Stryker Database, the 'Bows own a disturbing 4-21-1 ATS mark in their last 26 as home chalk. Also, when priced as a competitive favorite of -3.5 or less, UH sports a stiff 2-10 ATS tally.

With 17 players added from the portal including former Oregon State quarterback Ben Gulbranson, the Cardinal will get their season started off on the right foot with an upset on the island. Take Stanford. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#952 PHILLIES RUN LINE with Nola (-) over Nationals with Parker at 6:05 PM EST
Off yesterday's surprising 5-4 home loss to the Nats, the Phillies will respond with a beating of their own here. In the NL East standings, Philadelphia still owns a comfortable 6.0-game lead over New York and manager Rob Thomson wants to make sure that advantage stays right where it's at with a victory on Saturday.

On the bump for the home team will be veteran right-hander Aaron Nola. In his first start back off a three-month stint with an ankle and a rib, No. 27 pitched at Washington and was roughed up for six earned runs and seven hits in just 2.1 innings of work. Aaron fanned four and issued one free pass but failed to earn a decision in the Phillies 11-9 victory. Thankfully, in 35 career starts against the Nationals, Nola holds a respectable 10-9 mark with a solid 3.97 ERA.

Young southpaw Mitchell Parker will toe the rubber for the visitors. With 25 starts in the books this season, No. 70 has been hammered for 84 earned runs and 142 hits in 129.2 innings. Mitchell whiffed 84 and walked 52 on his way to a 7-13 mark with a rough 5.83 ERA. Even worse, in four August outings versus the Phils, Royals, A's, and Brew Crew, Parker has been pummeled for 22 earned runs and 24 hits in just 16.0 frames. That shakes down to a nasty 0-3 tally with an elevated 12.38 ERA.

There are a handful of lucrative trends that support this investment. Philadelphia has tasted victory in 31 of its last 53 against the run line when coming off a loss and 66 of its last 120 versus the run line when rolling with equal rest. On the other side of the field, Washington has fallen in 62 of its last 123 against the run line when coming off a win.

The Phillies own a team batting average of .258 and they'll have no trouble extending the margin facing a Nats pitching staff that holds a team ERA of 5.31 and a WHIP of 1.44. Take Philadelphia on the run line with Nola. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.