#110 LA CHARGERS (-) over Minnesota at 8:15 PM EST
After getting hammered at home by the Colts and suffering though a string of four consecutive pointspread losses, the Chargers will finally cash a ticket when they host the struggling Vikings on Thursday night. Minnesota enters this non-conference tilt off a SU and ATS home loss to Philadelphia and, on a 2-3 SU and ATS run in their last five battles, the Purple People Eaters will continue to struggle in this spot.

There are a handful of solid angles that support this investment. As a non-division host lined up against an opponent that slips in without steam off a SU and ATS home loss, the Bolts hold a lucrative 38-10 SU and 32-14-2 ATS record in their last 48 games including an elite 25-3 SU and 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 in this setting. In addition, when checking in off a double-digit straight up home loss, Los Angeles sports a solid 15-5 SU and ATS mark. Finally, short non-division home favorites on Thursday that are priced at -5 or less hold a profitable 39-17 SU and 34-18-4 ATS tally in their last 56 tries.

The Vikes are locked into one of their worst roles. As a guest arriving off a pointspread loss, head coach Kevin O’Connell and his troops own a soft 24-47-1 SU and 25-46-1 ATS record provided their opponent busts in angry off a straight up loss. In this setting match up against a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .575 or less, this angle falls to a miserable 18-35-1 SU and 17-36-1 ATS including a nasty 6-23 SU and 6-22-1 ATS provided the Purple arrive off the comforts of a home game. Lastly, the Vikings are just 7-16 SU and 9-13-1 ATS in their last 23 when priced as a pup including a disturbing 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS provided they storm in off a straight up loss.

After getting lit up for 38 points by Daniel Jones and the Colts, the Chargers defense will keep Carson Wentz in check and be the key to this primetime payday. Take LA Chargers. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#730 DELAWARE (-) over Middle Tennessee at 7:30 PM EST
Off a pair of humbling SU and ATS home losses to WKU and Jax State, Delaware will have no trouble when it steps down in class on Wednesday and battles this struggling MTSU squad. The Blue Raiders enter this CUSA matchup off three consecutive straight up losses and head coach Derek Mason and his players will have issues here once again.

Technically speaking, this is a highly profitable wagering spot for the Blue Hens. Since 1982, game seven home favorites priced at -6.5 or less own a lucrative 66-36 ATS record provided they check in without confidence off a straight up loss. If our "play on" side was on the road last and is currently facing an opponent that arrives without steam off a straight up loss, this technical situation tightens up to a spectacular 34-12 ATS including an elite 20-3 ATS provided they hold a pointspread won/loss percentage less than .500. That bodes well for Delaware.

In the middle of a dismal 13-26 SU and 12-24 ATS run, Middle Tennessee just isn't playing good football right now. If the Blue Raiders are priced as an underdog of +3.5 or more, this technical situation falls to a woeful 3-18 SU and 6-15 ATS including a nasty 1-12 SU and 2-11 ATS provided this is a conference game. Also, as a conference guest, MTSU carries a feeble 18-30 SU and 16-29-3 ATS tally including a poor 1-16 SU and 4-13 ATS provided Coach Mason and his boys are priced as a pup of +6.5 or more.

Packing an offense that is tops in the CUSA in total offense (429.7 ypg) and passing offense (302.5 ypg), the Blue & Gold will have no trouble moving the chains matched up against a Middle Tennessee defense that is surrendering an average of 29.5 points and 379.7 yards per game. Take Delaware. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#103 WESTERN KENTUCKY (+) over Louisiana Tech at 7:30 PM EST
After last Tuesday's embarrassing 25-6 home loss to FIU, WKU will stroll right into Joe Aillet Stadium in Ruston and knock off Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs off an ugly 35-7 blemish on the road in conference play to the Owls and head coach Sonny Cumbie and his boys will have issues here again.

If the 19-point loss to the Panthers won't have the Hilltoppers fired up for this game, then the memory of last year's beating (-11.5 at home and lost outright 12-7) by LA Tech will be more than enough to keep head coach Tyson Helton and his players focused on the task at hand. When locked in a payback mode, Western Kentucky has been worth the financial risk inking a profitable 34-16 ATS mark in its last 50 battles including a tremendous 20-3 ATS if the Hilltoppers are priced as an underdog between +1.5 and +12 points. With those two parameters live and Coach Helton and his kids tackling an opponent that is not off a blowout victory of 10 points or more, this angle cruises to a golden 13-0 ATS.

This isn't the best wagering spot for the Bulldogs either. When competing with a won/loss percentage of .660 or higher, LA Tech holds a soft 28-40-2 ATS record in its last 70 games including a timid 6-14-1 ATS if they are going into revenge. Additionally, in conference play, Coach Cumbie and his troops have struggled a touch inking a soft 17-27 SU and ATS mark in their last 44 tries including a dismal 5-16 ATS provided they are priced as a favorite of -2 or more.

With a chance to become bowl eligible for the seventh time in seven seasons, Coach Helton and the Hilltoppers will pull off the upset. Take Western Kentucky. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#471 GREEN BAY (-) over Arizona at 4:25 PM EST
The Packers went through the motions in last Sunday’s 27-18 home win (no cover) over the Bengals. Off that less than impressive victory, the Cheeseheads will stroll over to the desert and do a number on the Redbirds. Arizona stumbles into this non-division war off four consecutive straight up losses (2-2 ATS) and this will be another difficult challenge for head coach Jonathan Gannon and his boys.

Green Bay’s 0-3-1 SU and 0-4 ATS record in its last four road games is certainly noted. However, as a guest arriving off a pointspread loss, the Packers have been worth the financial risk notching a 49-33-1 ATS mark in their last 83 games. In this situation tackling a foe that enters without momentum off a straight up loss, the Cheeseheads improve to a lucrative 30-16-1 ATS including an elite 20-6-1 ATS provided they slip in off a non-division game. Also, in their last 14 games against NFC West foes, head coach Matt LaFleur and his men hold a sensational 12-2 SU and 13-1 ATS tally.

Holding a rough 19-44 SU and 32-31 ATS record, Arizona hasn’t been anything special in its last 63 games. In this run tackling a foe that arrives off an ATS loss, the Cardinals fall to a poor 9-21 SU and 12-18 ATS including a stiff 3-14 SU and 5-12 ATS provided their opponent owns a team won/loss percentage of .400 or higher. In addition, when priced as an underdog and lined up against a foe that failed to cover as a favorite in their last game, ‘Zona holds a horrible 50-77-3 ATS mark including a filthy 2-25 SU and 6-19-2 ATS if the Cards arrive off two or more straight up losses.

The Packers haven’t played particularly well in their last three games (1-1-1 SU and 0-3 ATS) and they will final get it right matched up against a Cardinals unit that continues to struggle. Take Green Bay. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#466 LA CHARGERS (-) over Indianapolis at 4:05 PM EST
On a 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS run in their last three games and currently tied for the top spot in the AFC West with the Broncos, the Chargers will pick up a statement victory when the surprising 5-1 SU Colts come to town. Indianapolis just knocked Las Vegas and Arizona off at home by the combined score of 71-33 and this trip out west will prove to be a challenging one for head coach Shane Steichen and his players.

A quick look at the History Book shows that the Bolts have dominated AFC South opposition inking a tremendous 34-15 SU and 34-11-4 ATS record in their last 49 tries including an elite 20-6 SU and 21-3-2 ATS if their opponent checks in off a non-division game. With those two parameters live and head coach Jim Harbaugh and his troops facing a foe that played in the comforts of home last, this angle improves to a sensational 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS. Also, when stepping up in class and competing against a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage of .801 or higher, the Chargers own a respectable 15-8-1 ATS tally in their last 24 games including a nearly perfect 8-1 ATS in their last nine provided they bust in with confidence off a straight up win.

Holding a 10-17-1 SU and 12-16 ATS mark, Indianapolis hasn't been anything special on the road lately. In this run tackling a non-division foe, the Horseshoes fall to a miserable 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in their last nine tries. To make matters worse, game seven road teams that carry a spiff 5-1 SU record hold a surprising 31-47 SU and 29-47-2 ATS record including a rough 19-41-1 ATS provided their opponent did not smash the Las Vegas pointspread by nine points or more last. With those two parameters cranking away and this a non-division matchup, our "play against" side falls to a woeful 9-25-1 ATS. That spells trouble for the Colts.

Defensively, Indy has a number of injuries in the secondary and Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert will utilize Keenan Allen, Ladd McConkey, and Quentin Johnston to expose that weakness. Take Los Angeles. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#468 DENVER (-) over NY Giants at 4:05 PM EST
Off three consecutive straight up wins over the Bengals, Eagles, and Jets, the Broncos will stay hot and pick up another dub and cover when the overachieving G-Men come to town. New York just upset the defending Super Bowl Champions last Thursday night in its own backyard and this trip to Mile High will be a very tough encore for head coach Brian Daboll and his boys.

In case you haven't been paying attention, Denver has played extremely well lately when priced as a favorite inking a 12-0 SU and 10-2 ATS record in its last 12 games. Equally impressive, when hosting an opponent that arrives with confidence off a straight up division win, the Orange Crush hold a highly profitable 56-14 SU and 46-22-2 ATS mark including an amazing 47-6 SU and 38-13-2 ATS if head coach Sean Payton and his kids hold a team won/loss percentage of .500 or better. With those two parameters live and the Broncos priced as an underdog or a favorite of -8.5 or less, this angle improves to a healthy 38-6 SU and 33-9-2 ATS. Finally, Denver holds a respectable 15-7 SU and 14-7-1 ATS tally in its last 22 when facing an NFC foe.

This is a rough wagering spot for the visitors. Since 1980, NFL road teams hold a weak 160-191-9 ATS record provided they won straight up as a division home dog in their last battle. If our "play against" side is stepping up in class and fighting a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage of .580 or higher, this angle crashes to a nasty 32-66-3 ATS including a disturbing 8-32-1 ATS if their opponent slips in off a pointspread loss. With those three parameters live and the team we are fading holding a won/loss percentage of .200 or better, this angle falls to a horrible 6-32-1 ATS. The Giants fit all four parts of that negative wagering situation.

Defensively, the Orange Crush are as good as they come and they'll have no trouble putting New York rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart in his place. Take Denver. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#332 SOUTH FLORIDA (-) over Florida Atlantic at 7:30 PM EST
Since getting spanked by the Hurricanes, the Bulls have ripped off three consecutive wins by the combined score of 180-76. Matched up against an FAU squad that checks in off a pair of straight up (and ATS) victories over UAB and Rice, South Florida will have no trouble extending the margin in this mismatch.

This is a tremendous wagering spot for USF. Since 1980, college football home teams that take the field with momentum off back-to-back SU and ATS wins hold a remarkable 138-74-6 ATS record provided they scored 50 or more points on the road in their last contest. If our “play on” side is matched up against an opponent that did not fall to the Las Vegas pointspread by 10 points or more last, this system jets to a powerful 113-51-4 ATS including a stunning 37-13-1 ATS if they are priced as a favorite of -19.5 or more. That bodes well for South Florida.

Off the dubs and covers over the Owls and Blazers, FAU will have all kinds of issues when they step way up in class and compete with USF. As an underdog grabbing +8.5 or more and now fighting a foe that slips in off a straight up win, head coach Zach Kittley and his players own a soft 1-43 SU and 17-26-1 ATS record including an ugly 1-35 SU and 12-23-1 ATS provided their opponent carries a team won/loss percentage of .601 or better. Even worse, when taking the field of battle off a blowout victory of 10 points or more, the Owls hold a horrible 1-14 ATS tally in their last 15 tries including a filthy 0-13 AS provided they are rolling without rest.

Ranked 12th nationally in scoring (40.7 ppg) and 18th in total yards (468.3 ypg), the Bulls high octane offense will torch the scoreboard in this conference mismatch. Take South Florida. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#412 VIRGINIA (-) over Washington State at 6:30 PM EST
Busting in rested and off a pair of overtime wins and covers over No. 8 Florida State and Louisville, Virginia will have no trouble extending the margin against Washington State in its 100th Homecoming battle. The Cougars enter this matchup after giving the fourth-ranked Rebels a game in Oxford and this will prove to be a difficult matchup for head coach Jimmy Rogers and his Coogs.

There are a number of reliable trends that support this non-conference wager. At home competing with rest, the Cavaliers have been a great source of revenue posting a proud 24-9 SU and 21-9 ATS record. In this setting tackling a foe that enters without confidence off a straight up loss, the Hoos improve to a nearly perfect 12-1 SU and ATS. Equally impressive, in their last 19 priced as a favorite of -11.5 or more, Virginia owns a powerful 19-0 SU and 13-6 ATS mark provided it owns a team won/loss percentage of .801 or higher. As long as head coach Tony Elliott and his crew are not fighting a foe that arrives off a double-digit straight up loss, this angle explodes to a stunning 13-0 SU and 11-2 ATS.

Kudos to WSU for its performance at Mississippi. The Cougars owned a 14-10 advantage late in the third quarter but couldn’t hold on in the end. Washington State left with a 24-21 loss in its pocket. Holding a soft 12-15 SU and 12-13 ATS record in its last 27 games, WSU hasn’t been anything special lately. To make matters worse, Coach Rogers and his crew have struggled in true road games notching a horrible 17-32 SU and 13-34 ATS record provided they were guests in their last game including a woeful 9-29 SU and 8-30 ATS if their opponent arrives off a conference battle. With those two parameters in play and the Cougars facing a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .601 or higher, this angle falls to a nasty 1-13 SU and ATS including a filthy 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS as long as they are not priced as a pup of +30 or more.

Packing a high-octane offense that is averaging 43.0 points and 489.2 yards per game, the Cavaliers will be too much for this exhausted Cougars stop unit to handle. Take Virginia. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#403 MEMPHIS (-) over UAB at 4 PM EST
Well rested and on a blistering 10-0 SU and 7-0-2 ATS run in its last 10 games, Memphis will have absolutely no trouble shredding UAB in Saturday’s Battle for the Bones. The Blazers fired head coach Trent Dilfer off last week’s 20-point road loss to the Owls and interim skipper Alex Mortensen and his kids will have all kinds of trouble matched up against the 22nd-ranked team in the country.

A quick peek at the History Book shows that the Tigers have been in control of this series lately inking a solid 3-0 SU and ATS record in the last three meetings. In addition, on the road fighting a sub .500 opponent that enters without confidence off a straight up loss, Memphis holds a rewarding 42-27 SU and 43-21-3 ATS mark including a blistering 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS in its last 14 provided it is priced as a double-digit favorite. Lastly, when competing with rest, head coach Ryan Silverfield and his men hold a tremendous 19-8 SU and 17-8-1 ATS tally including a golden 10-0 SU and ATS if they are priced as a favorite of -7 or more.

In the middle of a dismal 15-27 SU and 14-24-1 ATS run, UAB will continue to have problems in this matchup. It won’t help that American home dogs that enter off a straight up conference loss hold a poor 12-61 SU and 29-44 ATS record provided they are facing a conference opponent that slips in with confidence off a straight up American win. If our “play against” side is tackling a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .570 or higher, this technical situation crashes to a weak 7-49 SU and 20-36 ATS. Finally, after scoring 30 points or more, the Blazers have experienced financial troubles in their next game inking a poor 3-14 SU and 3-13-1 ATS tally.

Checking in with an offense that is averaging 40.5 points and 449.3 yards per game, the Tigers will steamroll and Blazers stop unit that has allowed an average of 41.3 points and 452.5 yards per game. Take Memphis. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

#392 GEORGIA (-) over Mississippi at 3:30 PM EST
Off back-to-back straight up wins over Kentucky and Auburn and already holding one SEC loss to Alabama, Georgia will knock No. 5 Mississippi from the ranks of the unbeaten with a solid performance inside Sanford Stadium. The Rebels slip into Athens off a less than impressive 24-21 non-conference home win over the Washington State Cougars and head coach Lane Kiffin and his crew will be in trouble here.

Revenge motivation will have the Bulldogs focused on the task at hand. Last year, UGA (-2) traveled to Oxford and left with an ugly 28-10 beating in its pocket. Even with that blemish, the Dawgs hold a solid 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS record in the last 13 meetings and hold a dominant 19-4-1 SU record when playing the Rebels in their own backyard. Equally impressive, when competing with revenge, head coach Kirby Smart and his troops have been worth the financial risk posting a proud 30-15 SU and 29-13-3 ATS record in their last 45 tries including a lucrative 25-2 SU and 21-4-2 ATS provided they are priced as a favorite of -2.5 or more. With those two parameters live and Georgia arriving off a straight up win of five points or more, this angle jets to a jaw-dropping 19-1 SU and 18-1-1 ATS including a golden 18-0 SU and 17-0-1 ATS provided this is a regular season game.

This isn't the best wagering spot for Ole Miss either. When going into revenge, the Rebels hold a soft 70-88-1 ATS record in their last 159 battles including a weak 48-70-1 ATS provided they are lined up against a conference foe. In this setting priced as an underdog or a short favorite of -3 or less, Coach Kiffin and his troops fall to a miserable 24-44-1 ATS including a timid 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 in this role. Also, as an SEC guest arriving with confidence off two or more straight up wins, Mississippi holds a rough 5-17 SU and 6-16 ATS record including a woeful 2-12 SU and ATS provided its opponent arrives with steam off a straight up victory.

The Rebels have only ventured out on the road once this season (escaped with a 30-23 victory at Kentucky) and they'll have issues matched up against a Bulldogs squad that has been the FBS's best since 2021 (58-6 SU). Take Georgia. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.